China Box Office Thread | Oppenheimer-August 30

[a2k]

18 minutes ago, danhtruong5 said:

I mean it needs miracle for 200, but for 150?

Or it is go big or go home case? 110 or 200, not in between? 

150 needs 2.8x multi too using $53.5 ow.

Very tough if not miraculous for China on 9.0 rating (99.5k ratings).

Coco was 9.6 if I remember correctly.

[PKMLover]

2 minutes ago, a2k said:

150 needs 2.8x multi too using $53.5 ow.

Very tough if not miraculous for China on 9.0 rating (99.5k ratings).

Coco was 9.6 if I remember correctly.

What about 120-125....? Increase 70-75m from the 1st one, can help balance out one part of the loss due to Japan.

[POTUS 2020]

1 hour ago, a2k said:

150 needs 2.8x multi too using $53.5 ow.

Very tough if not miraculous for China on 9.0 rating (99.5k ratings).

Coco was 9.6 if I remember correctly.

Coco and zoo were new material which needs big WoM to boost the BO

F2 has a 6 year fanbase now.

RPO had under 9 rating and was able to to 3x OW if i recall correctly.. 

I just think the 130% bump meant something.

Im sticking with $125-150m until tues.

 

[PKMLover]

18 minutes ago, POTUS 2020 said:

Coco and zoo were new material which needs big WoM to boost the BO

F2 has a 6 year fanbase now.

RPO had under 9 rating and was able to to 3x OW if i recall correctly.. 

I just think the 130% bump meant something.

Im sticking with $125-150m until tues.

 

Tuesday is discount ticket day in China or what?

[POTUS 2020]

10 minutes ago, PKMLover said:

Tuesday is discount ticket day in China or what?

No. Typical weekday demand burn is 15-20%. If tuesday is -5-10% then 2.5-3x OW is likely depending also on future competition and screen loss.

Flat or bumped tuesday can lead to 5 to 10x OW which usually happens with smaller openers like Zoo Dangal Coco etc

Edited November 24, 2019 by POTUS 2020

[Mau]

Is frozen 2 facing huge competition in china? 

[fmpro]

52 minutes ago, Mau said:

Is frozen 2 facing huge competition in china? 

6 new releases on friday

 

120 mill total max IMO

[Damien]

2 hours ago, POTUS 2020 said:

Coco and zoo were new material which needs big WoM to boost the BO

F2 has a 6 year fanbase now.

RPO had under 9 rating and was able to to 3x OW if i recall correctly.. 

I just think the 130% bump meant something.

Im sticking with $125-150m until tues.

 

I agree here there is a reason why the movie had a 130% bump on Saturday. I don't think Monday is a holiday, maybe if the movie is big with families that might have led to weaker evenings. Let's see how next weekend goes.

[Mau]

Does anyone know what are the most popular WDAS movies in china? Not pnly in terms of box office, but merchandising or popularity over the years?

[keysersoze123]

I dont think we get this kind of data. But @Olive or @Gavin Feng can give their perspective.

 

That said F2 OW in China is very impressive. After not so good OD. I think this movie will continue to play strong on sat till sunday evening while having meh numbers during weekdays. Where it ends up depends on how it holds the showcount against new releases. Let us wait and see. But I am not feeling a 3x multi kind of run. Probably closer to 2.1x or so .

[Jamiem]

4 hours ago, Mau said:

Does anyone know what are the most popular WDAS movies in china? Not pnly in terms of box office, but merchandising or popularity over the years?

Most likely Zootopia, it’s so popular they are making a land at Shanghai Disneyland’s based on the film. Will be the first Zootopia based land at any of the Disney parlance worldwide (and off the top of my head I believe none of the other parks even have a ride based of Zootopia, I could be incorrect here though) 

 

Source: https://variety.com/2019/biz/asia/zootopia-land-shanghai-disneyland-1203115032/

[A Marvel Fanboy]

Jumanji 3 release date now bumped to Dec 6 since SW9 is opening on Dec 20.

[UserHN]

7 minutes ago, A Marvel Fanboy said:

Jumanji 3 release date now bumped to Dec 6 since SW9 is opening on Dec 20.

Jumanji has nothing to fear from SW9 in China. The last SW flopped hard in the country. But it's a totally different conversation if we're talking US/Canada, where SW9 will be super huge.

[Legion Again]

Seems more likely to be moving from Ip Man than moving from Star Wars 😛 

Edited November 25, 2019 by Thanos Legion

[A Marvel Fanboy]

38 minutes ago, UserHN said:

Jumanji has nothing to fear from SW9 in China. The last SW flopped hard in the country. But it's a totally different conversation if we're talking US/Canada, where SW9 will be super huge.

 

29 minutes ago, Thanos Legion said:

Seems more likely to be moving from Ip Man than moving from Star Wars 😛 

haha probably

 

Jumanji was moved by the Film Administration, not by Sony though.

 

[keysersoze123]

What is the midpoint for a monday. I am assuming it will be something crazy like 6PM as morning shows would be empty. F2 is just above 9m yuan at this point. I am assuming since there is no holiday it will drop 70% from yesterday for around 40 yuan.

[Olive]

12 hours ago, keysersoze123 said:

I dont think we get this kind of data. But @Olive or @Gavin Feng can give their perspective.

 

That said F2 OW in China is very impressive. After not so good OD. I think this movie will continue to play strong on sat till sunday evening while having meh numbers during weekdays. Where it ends up depends on how it holds the showcount against new releases. Let us wait and see. But I am not feeling a 3x multi kind of run. Probably closer to 2.1x or so .

Yeah, 700-800m yuan.IT won't have any holiday boost

[fmpro]

2 hours ago, keysersoze123 said:

What is the midpoint for a monday. I am assuming it will be something crazy like 6PM as morning shows would be empty. F2 is just above 9m yuan at this point. I am assuming since there is no holiday it will drop 70% from yesterday for around 40 yuan.

Im not an toon expert at all but my guess would be around 4pm

Maybe you can check @Jedi Jat s lists for help

Edited November 25, 2019 by fmpro

[keysersoze123]

1 minute ago, fmpro said:

Im not an toon expert at all but my guess would be around 4pm

This has very less PS. I would think walkin's after 6PM could double it at the current level. But previously you are right 4-430PM used to be it. Not sure for toons. @POTUS 2020 would know for sure.

[fmpro]

1 hour ago, keysersoze123 said:

This has very less PS. I would think walkin's after 6PM could double it at the current level. But previously you are right 4-430PM used to be it. Not sure for toons. @POTUS 2020 would know for sure.

I have never seen a first monday midpoint at 6pm. I can`t recall any movie.

 

But if midday is 4pm we are looking at 28 mill monday. Must be a bit later.

So around 30-31 mill Monday maybe