China Box Office Thread | Oppenheimer-August 30

[charlie Jatinder]

28

85-90

60

 

175

 

That will do.

[PKMLover]

Frozen 2 Sat passed Fri at 11.40 am local time

[danhtruong5]

.

Edited November 30, 2019 by danhtruong5

[PKMLover]

4 hours ago, PKMLover said:

Frozen 2 Sat passed Fri at 11.40 am local time

+100% Fri at 15.45 PM local time.

Edited November 30, 2019 by PKMLover

[A Marvel Fanboy]

18 hours ago, lorddemaxus said:

Knives Out has a 9.1 on Maoyan. Can it break out here?

Not a breakout. It's having a normal run.

[fmpro]

43 minutes ago, A Marvel Fanboy said:

Not a breakout. It's having a normal run.

A little better than a normal run IMO

 

* Screens increases over the weekend

* Great attendence pr screen

* Big Sat jump for a adult movie only 9,0 rating

* Sunday Presales looking good

 

All the chinese new openers are not even close to this

[PKMLover]

4 hours ago, PKMLover said:

+100% Fri at 15.45 PM local time.

+200% Fri at 20.25 PM local time

8610

Edited November 30, 2019 by PKMLover

[POTUS 2020]

On 11/30/2019 at 10:42 AM, A Marvel Fanboy said:

Not a breakout. It's having a normal run.

 

On 11/30/2019 at 11:31 AM, fmpro said:

A little better than a normal run IMO

 

* Screens increases over the weekend

* Great attendence pr screen

* Big Sat jump for a adult movie only 9,0 rating

* Sunday Presales looking good

 

All the chinese new openers are not even close to this

100%+ increase for KO to 40m.  That's huge compared to the normal 30%. Lets see what it does tomorrow, typical drop is 28-30%

 

On 11/26/2019 at 10:18 AM, fmpro said:

With 6 new releases, 9,0 rating, huge monday drop and a tuesday 10-15% drop i could see sub 100 mill$ atp. Weekdays are just too low.

1,8-1,9 OW multiplier

 

On 11/26/2019 at 2:36 PM, POTUS 2020 said:

Friday will suck but expect a 130% bump again on Sat as it gets shows back.

It should clear 2x  with better than 15% drop today.

 

On 11/26/2019 at 2:59 PM, Jedi Jat said:

If Friday suck, 130% Sat bump don't mean much.

Say Friday is even equal to Tuesday, 130% bump will mean only 46mn Saturday. Need 200% bump on Saturday atleast if Friday grow well, if Friday is just 20mn, then even bigger increase needed.

 

On 11/26/2019 at 3:11 PM, PKMLover said:

Can it finish with $90M ?

$53M x 1.69 = $90M

 

On 11/28/2019 at 7:44 AM, PKMLover said:

Don't tell me it can not even pull 1.7x legs to finish at $90M after a $53M OW !!!!

 

On 11/28/2019 at 1:23 PM, PKMLover said:

Can it pass $90M ??

Again we had premature estimation and a doom and gloom midweek.

F2 90m sat down 46% WoW.  thats a great hold these days even for a toon

Worst case 725-750m,  around 2x OW, $103-107m

Best case.  It holds well next weekend(sat) -50-60%.  and bounces back to -45% then legs to the holidays where we saw coco and AQM get a bump the last 2 years.  A movie that holds 45-50% for several weeks will double its opening week(447m). That brings F2 close to 900m/$128m or 2.4x opening weekend(373m)

Edited November 30, 2019 by POTUS 2020

[Damien]

Good to see frozen 2 having a great drop. Hopefully it will follow Potus's best case scenario.

[A Marvel Fanboy]

17 hours ago, fmpro said:

A little better than a normal run IMO

 

* Screens increases over the weekend

* Great attendence pr screen

* Big Sat jump for a adult movie only 9,0 rating

* Sunday Presales looking good

 

All the chinese new openers are not even close to this

I always expected KO to do 200m+ ... so performance in line with expectation

 

KO was bought for $4m. The distributor will barely make money.

 

The Sat increase was good though.

[1Robert1]

What is your expectation for Jumanji?

[TalismanRing]

On 11/30/2019 at 5:31 AM, fmpro said:

A little better than a normal run IMO

 

* Screens increases over the weekend

* Great attendence pr screen

* Big Sat jump for a adult movie only 9,0 rating

* Sunday Presales looking good

 

All the chinese new openers are not even close to this

If Mayoan is accurate it looks around a 14% Sunday drop for KO

 

 

 

[Valonqar]

So what lifetime totals for KO and F2 can we expect in China?

[danhtruong5]

Sun 1st Dec

$9.85M

Total: $90.4M 

[lor15]

If Frozen 2 stop making money from today $90.4M is already huge increase

[POTUS 2020]

1 hour ago, Valonqar said:

So what lifetime totals for KO and F2 can we expect in China?

KO $30-40m, need to see weekday holds if it can do 40m

F2  $120m+ if it holds -50% against J2, which I think it will.  6 releases took 75% of shows and made 90m on Fri.  J2 and other releases may take 70% of shows and make 120m.  F2 should hold well again come saturday

Edited December 1, 2019 by POTUS 2020

[Valonqar]

15 minutes ago, POTUS 2020 said:

KO $30-40m need to see weekday holds if it can do 40m

F2  $120m+ if it holds -50% against J2, which I think it will.  6 releases took 75% of shows and made 90m on Fri.  J2 and other releases may take 70% of shows and make 120m.  F2 should hold well come saturday

Thank you!

 

 

[A Marvel Fanboy]

5 hours ago, 1Robert1 said:

What is your expectation for Jumanji?

$70mish similar to the last one

[Michael Seng Wah]

Knives Out 40m, if it can reach there, consider good.

[XXR vs XXR]

Are there any 2020 films (local titles) that we think will make a big splash (assuming censorship doesn't nix them)? I'm talking about over $500m.