Jump to content
A Marvel Fanboy

China Box Office: General Discussion Thread | Wonder Woman - Dec 18, Soul - Dec 25

Recommended Posts

3 minutes ago, Stewart said:

What I've noticed is that the film seems to divisive (that or the trade war has attracted review bombers):

8g9PlpG.png

 

As you can see, there's a lot more 1-2 then you'd expect.

 

Perhaps this will be one of those rare movies that keeps creeping up on Maoyan until the potential bombing has gone down?

 

The only counterpoint to this is that the 3-4 is quite high relative to the 5-6 range.

I understand the complaints of have lack of story 

 

but yeah I don’t think at any point movie justify a 1-2

  • Not Cool 1
Link to post
Share on other sites
2 hours ago, Olive said:

87174422gy1g2l4564xfnj21h40u0thx.jpg

they have. And every poster has a special meaning.

6 = original six avengers

10= 10 heroes left at the begining of A4

22 = MCU movie count

....

38 = Tony became Iron Man at 38 

All small posters will form a big one in the end.

 

Really like such creative work. A blend of commercialism, fandom and art.

  • Like 1
Link to post
Share on other sites
1 hour ago, Brainbug said:

God, why is this stupid trade war even happening? (I mean, i know the orange answer, but still) :( This could be very bad news for the later May Hollywood films as well.

China tariffs US goods at a rate. The US has charged China little to none for decades and the trade deficit is huge and manufacturing jobs are lost.

Michael Moore has complained about the conditions of Flint for 30 years. Trump is trying to fix it.:ca:

  • Like 1
  • Astonished 1
Link to post
Share on other sites
1 minute ago, VanillaSkies said:

Endgame already past 23m for the day, should see a nice Friday bump followed by another nice Saturday bump.
Still hoping for an extension for it and a 640-650 million USD total. One can dream, can't 

What do you expect for tomorrow (Saturday) bump in China?

Link to post
Share on other sites
4 minutes ago, Nakamura said:

What do you expect for tomorrow (Saturday) bump in China?

A while back @POTUS 2020 said he expected a flat Friday followed by 100% increase on Saturday. 

While Friday will end up having a nice bump (probably thanks to softer Pika numbers), I still think his 100% increase for Saturday is achievable. 

 

It could look something like this;

28m Friday

56m Saturday 

40m Sunday 

 

124m weekend / 18m USD weekend.

That seems a little high, but given the Friday bump it looks to perform strongly this weekend.

And Sat PS are already looking quite good.

 

But I admittedly am not an expert on the China BO, so take it with a grain of salt...

Link to post
Share on other sites
29 minutes ago, JimiQ said:

I don't think Pika is getting to 80m today. It's at 66 at 20:00 and did like 3m in last 30 minutes

pika 2,56 last half hour, 68,6 total at 20:30

EG 1,5 last half hour, 24 total at 20:30

  • Thanks 1
  • Astonished 1
Link to post
Share on other sites
49 minutes ago, POTUS 2020 said:

China tariffs US goods at a rate. The US has charged China little to none for decades and the trade deficit is huge and manufacturing jobs are lost.

Michael Moore has complained about the conditions of Flint for 30 years. Trump is trying to fix it.:ca:

Please don't do this. No more politics and I value your contribution from the box office analysis you provide.

 

As to everyone asking about it, Google is your friend. Let's keep the focus on the box office here imo

Edited by cdsacken
  • Like 2
Link to post
Share on other sites

 

 So someone help me out here what will the tariffs exactly due to future Hollywood films in the near future? 

 

 For me obviously my concern is the Godzilla film.  However A China company bought stakes in the film to help promote it and Wanda owns legendary so not sure how much Godzilla is actually affected by this. 

 

Edit:  I want to add that this is strictly a box office question nothing to do with Trump and politics. 

Edited by Cookson
Link to post
Share on other sites
7 minutes ago, Cookson said:

 

 So someone help me out here what will the tariffs exactly due to future Hollywood films in the near future? 

 

 For me obviously my concern is the Godzilla film.  However A China company bought stakes in the film to help promote it and Wanda owns legendary so not sure how much Godzilla is actually affected by this. 

 

Edit:  I want to add that this is strictly a box office question nothing to do with Trump and politics. 

 

Let's not bring international trade policy into the box office threads. 

No one can truly know what the impacts, if any, will be to Hollywood films. We will simply have to wait and see, and given that both sides are meeting today there might be a resolution soon. 

 

But let's stick to what we know, BO figures. 

Link to post
Share on other sites
11 minutes ago, Cookson said:

 

 So someone help me out here what will the tariffs exactly due to future Hollywood films in the near future? 

 

 For me obviously my concern is the Godzilla film.  However A China company bought stakes in the film to help promote it and Wanda owns legendary so not sure how much Godzilla is actually affected by this. 

  

Edit:  I want to add that this is strictly a box office question nothing to do with Trump and politics. 

Godzilla 2 will have tons of Local competitions and Dark Phoenix , this is more effective than everything else.

  • Like 1
Link to post
Share on other sites
13 minutes ago, Cookson said:

 

 So someone help me out here what will the tariffs exactly due to future Hollywood films in the near future? 

 

 For me obviously my concern is the Godzilla film.  However A China company bought stakes in the film to help promote it and Wanda owns legendary so not sure how much Godzilla is actually affected by this. 

 

Edit:  I want to add that this is strictly a box office question nothing to do with Trump and politics. 

It's going to lead to politics because people can't help themselves. Massive bias on both sides makes it impossible for people to have reasonable arguments detached from emotion. With that said let's hope it gets resolved so the pain will be minimal.

 

 

Link to post
Share on other sites
8 minutes ago, Cookson said:

 

 So someone help me out here what will the tariffs exactly due to future Hollywood films in the near future? 

 

 For me obviously my concern is the Godzilla film.  However A China company bought stakes in the film to help promote it and Wanda owns legendary so not sure how much Godzilla is actually affected by this. 

 

Edit:  I want to add that this is strictly a box office question nothing to do with Trump and politics. 

There are 2 answers to that:

 

1. If the Chinese felt disadvantaged by the tariffs, then there will be a rise of nationalism once again and the US hate will also rise. IW was affected by this last year. When IW came out, many people who hated the US because of the trade war gave the film a score of 1 or 2. If you look at the relatively high 1 or 2 scores of Pika in Maoyan, I think it's happening again.

 

2. The exchange rate will drastically change. As someone pointed out earlier in this thread, 1 USD = 6.74 CNY suddenly became 1 USD = 6.82 CNY. It will translate to lesser USD equivalent for the Hollywood films.

  • Like 3
Link to post
Share on other sites
2 minutes ago, Nero said:

So will Endgame's gross be affected ? Like will they allocate it according to new ER?

I don't think that's the case since 90%+ of EG's gross was under the old ER. But BoxOfficeMojo will surely calculate it based on the new ER 😑. I really can't trust BOM's foreign table. Good thing is that BOM's foreign adjustments doesn't affect the total gross reported by the studios.

  • Like 1
Link to post
Share on other sites
1 hour ago, VanillaSkies said:

A while back @POTUS 2020 said he expected a flat Friday followed by 100% increase on Saturday. 

While Friday will end up having a nice bump (probably thanks to softer Pika numbers), I still think his 100% increase for Saturday is achievable. 

 

It could look something like this;

28m Friday

56m Saturday 

40m Sunday 

 

124m weekend / 18m USD weekend.

That seems a little high, but given the Friday bump it looks to perform strongly this weekend.

And Sat PS are already looking quite good.

 

But I admittedly am not an expert on the China BO, so take it with a grain of salt...

yup. 100% bump on Saturday regardless of today's performance. could go 110% due to DP weakness

Expecting flat was being conservative, was hoping for a 20%+ bump. Expect a 40-50% bump next Friday w/o competition

 

DP going to do just 75m with just a 2.5 PSm instead of 3x+. Maoyan data has changed and an 8.7 isn't helping. expect 3.3x that for OW. 225m/$33m

 

  EG       XR 6.73 IW       XR 6.35
Day Yn DoD WoW Tot $Tot Yn DoD WoW Tot $Tot
Wed 534     725 108          
Thur 316 -40.8%   1041 155          
Fri 424 34.2%   1465 218 387     447 70
Sat 551 30.0%   2016 300 493 27.5%   940 148
Sun 208 -62.3%   2224 330 332 -32.8%   1272 200
Mon 124 -40.4%   2348 349 109 -67.1%   1381 217
Tues 255 105.6%   2603 387 81 -25.7%   1462 230
Wed 501 96.5%   3104 461 65 -20.0%   1526 240
Thur 337 -32.7%   3441 511 53 -19.0%   1579 249
                     
Fri 241 -28.5% -43.2% 3682 547 72 36.4% -81.5% 1650 260
Sat 141 -41.5% -74.4% 3823 568 142 98.2% -71.2% 1792 282
Sun 51 -63.8% -75.5% 3874 576 132 -7.0% -60.2% 1924 303
Mon 33.8 -33.7% -72.7% 3908 581 31.6 -76.1% -71.0% 1956 308
Tue 28.2 -16.6% -88.9% 3936 585 25.2 -20.3% -68.9% 1981 312
Wed 24.3 -14.0% -95.2% 3960 588 21.1 -16.3% -67.4% 2002 315
Thu 20.9 -13.8% -93.8% 3981 592 18.6 -11.8% -64.6% 2021 318
                     
Fri 28.0 34.0% -88.4% 4009 596 23.1 24.2% -67.7% 2044 322
Sat 56.0 100.0% -60.3% 4065 604 50.8 119.9% -64.2% 2095 330
Sun 41.0 -26.8% -19.6% 4106 610 39.9 -21.5% -69.8% 2135 336
Mon 13.5 -67.1% -60.1% 4120 612 12.0 -69.9% -62.0% 2147 338
Tue 11.5 -14.8% -59.2% 4131 614 11.1 -7.5% -56.0% 2158 340
Wed 10.0 -13.0% -58.8% 4141 615 10.5 -5.9% -50.5% 2168 341
Thu 8.8 -12.0% -57.9% 4150 617 12.1 15.8% -34.9% 2180 343
                     
Fri 12.5 42.0% -55.4% 4162 618 35.2 190.9% 52.4% 2215 349
Sat 25.0 100.0% -55.4% 4187 622 31.6 -10.2% -37.8% 2247 354
Sun 18.0 -28.0% -56.1% 4205 625 23.2 -26.6% -41.9% 2270 358
Mon 6.0 -66.7% -55.6% 4211 626 7.8 -66.4% -35.0% 2278 359
Tue 5.2 -13.3% -54.8% 4217 627 8.5 9.0% -23.4% 2287 360
Wed 4.5 -13.5% -55.0% 4221 627 8.9 4.1% -15.3% 2295 361
Thu 3.9 -13.3% -55.7% 4225 628 7.8 -11.9% -35.5% 2303 363
                     
            8.5 9.5% -75.7% 2312 364
            18.4 115.5% -41.8% 2330 367
            15.5 -15.8% -33.2% 2346 369
      Proj 4280 636       2390 376

 

 

 

 

 

Edited by POTUS 2020
  • Like 3
  • Thanks 2
Link to post
Share on other sites
18 minutes ago, Nero said:

So will Endgame's gross be affected ? Like will they allocate it according to new ER?

Mojo will report the wrong amount maybe. The real number won't be affected.

Link to post
Share on other sites

Join the conversation

You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.

Guest
Reply to this topic...

×   Pasted as rich text.   Paste as plain text instead

  Only 75 emoji are allowed.

×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.


  • Recently Browsing   0 members

    No registered users viewing this page.




×
×
  • Create New...

Important Information

By using this site, you agree to our Terms of Use and Guidelines. Feel free to read our Privacy Policy as well.