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A Marvel Fanboy

China Box Office Thread | Deadpool & Wolverine- July 26

By A Marvel Fanboy, in China At The Box Office

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Gavin Feng Blockbuster

Gavin Feng

Posted
Posted
7 minutes ago, druv10 said:

Really, that would be great for CW especially with Friday opening. It could be looking at 100M OW and 250M total and with great WOM maybe even 300M. 

If CW is really good like CA2,the problem would be whether it could beat TA2.I am worried the negative effective given by TA2 is still here.

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druv10 Global Phenomenon

druv10

Posted
Posted
1 minute ago, Gavin Feng said:

If CW is really good like CA2,the problem would be whether it could beat TA2.I am worried the negative effective given by TA2 is still here.

Wouldn't the negative effect OD? Which you're predicting as a minimum 35M.

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TigerPaw Box Office Gold

TigerPaw

Posted
Posted (edited)

This weekend (Fri to Sun). Zootopia will Easily be the no 1 movie, improving from its last week gross. 300m Yuan or more this weekend very likely.

2nd should be close either Ip Man 3 or Gods of Egypt. Ip Man 3 should have won but HK Bluray version came out yesterday and its available on every torrent site and chinese pirated movie site, over 1 million views in total in the past 12hours, its drop today was quite significant already.... Gods of Egypt will have bad WOM. Pre-sales on Friday already looks weak.
So its Piracy vs Bad WOM for 2nd place, which impact is greater?

 

The runner up should get 150m Yuan this weekend, half of Zootopia. =/

 

PS: Agree/Disagree/opinions? Feel free to discuss=)

Edited by TigerPaw
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fmpro Global Phenomenon

fmpro

Posted
Posted
43 minutes ago, EVANGELyang said:

BVS 1.2b rmb

CW 1.5b rmb

What does hun dashi think of my prediction?

 

BvS is around 15-20% to high IMO. 

CW looks fine. Could go higher

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Agafin Sleeper Hit

Agafin

Posted
Posted

Is there any particular reason why SARFT has been so kind to Hollywood lately? I mean, every single major HLW blockbuster seems to have received a good release date (Friday release, day and date with the US to prevent piracy, no cannibalization of different movies by putting them against each other etc). Is it because of Mermaid's success?

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Infernus Box Office Gold

Infernus

Posted
Posted (edited)
20 minutes ago, boomboom234 said:

For reference how much did other superhero movies or mega blockbusters gross, outside of transformers and FF as those are outliers.

 

Factored for the yearly market growth plus the fact that these are at the top of their genre, yes this would seem to be the correct, albeit conservative (and looking at the recent Hollywood movies, that is needed), range. Infact 150m would be somewhat of a pretty low predict keeping in mind that Ant-Man made around 110m last year. Yes DC is not that popular here but one has to keep in mind the level of its genre this film is at. This is an outlier. Its Batman vs Superman with Wonder Woman! Its superheroes like Ant Man that need built up brand recognition, not these! so yeah 150-180 would be a correct and conservative range and if it turns out to be good, passing the 200m mark is a possibility. Of course we just had KFP3 not being able to even come close to 200m when it should have made 350m going by this. But, as@MinaTakla often said, we should have kept in mind the fact that animations simply hadn't been able to compete with the other genres in the many years following KFP2 and there were of course many other factors contributing to that disaster (it would still have made atleast 250m in given a better market time), while superhero movies have been continuously proving themselves to be increasingly loved by the GA.

Edited by Infernus
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