Olive Posted May 17, 2018 Share Posted May 17, 2018 Just now, jiangsen said: Maoyan predicting ALOT less. 64.5M Fri (+23%), 100M Sat (+55%), 74M Sun (-26%). 239M total (-81% last weekend). Any chance you’re really overshooting the weekend? I'm sure I'll be more accurrate than Maoyan , its PS data for IW are not right these days. 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
POTUS 2020 Posted May 17, 2018 Share Posted May 17, 2018 (edited) They still haven't cleared a 1000 shows for Solo, that's unusually late. PS wont go any where until there are 10k+. Should ramp up tomorow 41 minutes ago, Mrstickball said: A Quiet Place is matching Infinity War's pre-sales for Friday. This is the best timeline, folks. The best. but IW PSm will be higher friday and bump much greater on Saturday. IW $50m AQP $20-25m 1 hour ago, Proxima Olive said: Thurs est IW 52.3M -19.3% same drop as BP, steeper than FF8's 18% Total 1578.5M should +40% +100% -10%(520 boost) for the nex days looks good to me. PS up 40% for sat FF8 IW CA3 Day Yn DoD WoW Tot $Tot Yn DoD WoW Tot $Tot Yn DoD WoW Tot $Tot Fri 417 480 70 386 445 70 181 198 30 Sat 488 17.0% 968 141 493 27.6% 938 148 249 37.6% 447 69 Sun 385 -21.1% 1353 197 331 -32.8% 1269 200 180 -27.7% 627 96 Mon 163 -57.7% 1516 220 109 -67.1% 1378 217 60 -66.7% 687 106 Tues 121 -25.8% 1637 238 81 -25.9% 1458 230 49 -18.3% 736 113 Wed 94 -22.3% 1731 252 65 -19.8% 1523 240 40 -18.4% 776 119 Thur 77 -18.1% 1808 263 53 -19.0% 1576 249 33 -17.5% 809 124 Fri 103 33.8% -75.3% 1911 278 74 41.0% -80.8% 1650 260 49 48.5% -72.9% 858 132 Sat 160 55.3% -67.2% 2071 301 140 89.2% -71.6% 1790 282 92 87.8% -63.1% 950 146 Sun 117 -26.9% -69.6% 2188 318 126 -10.0% VD day 1916 302 67 -27.2% -62.8% 1017 156 Mon 42 -64.1% -74.2% 2230 324 33 -73.8% -69.7% 1949 307 20.0 -70.1% -66.7% 1037 160 Tue 37 -11.9% -69.4% 2267 330 29 -12.1% -64.1% 1978 312 18.0 -10.0% -63.3% 1055 162 Wed 33 -10.8% -64.9% 2300 334 26 -10.3% -59.9% 2004 316 15.4 -14.4% -61.5% 1070 165 Thu 29 -12.1% -62.3% 2329 339 23 -11.5% -56.2% 2027 319 13.8 -10.4% -58.2% 1084 167 Fri 30 3.4% -70.9% 2359 343 28 21.7% -62.2% 2055 324 24.0 73.9% VD Day 1108 170 Sat 60 100.0% -62.5% 2419 352 56 100.0% -60.0% 2111 332 31.0 29.2% -66.3% 1139 175 Sun 75 25.0% -35.9% 2494 363 40 -28.6% -68.3% 2151 339 23.6 -23.9% -64.8% 1163 179 Mon 58 -22.7% 38.1% 2552 371 14 -66.3% -59.1% 2164 341 7.5 -68.2% -62.5% 1170 180 Tue 18 -69.0% -51.4% 2570 374 12 -11.1% -58.6% 2176 343 6.9 -8.0% -61.7% 1177 181 Wed 14 -22.2% -57.6% 2584 376 11 -12.5% -59.6% 2187 344 6.3 -8.3% -58.9% 1184 182 Thu 13 -7.1% -55.2% 2597 377 9 -14.3% -60.9% 2196 346 6.1 -3.6% -55.8% 1190 183 . Fri 8 -38.5% -73.3% 2605 379 11 22.2% -60.7% 2207 348 6 -1.6% -75.0% 1196 184 Sat 13.4 67.5% -77.7% 2618 381 21 90.9% -62.5% 2228 351 13 115.0% -58.4% 1209 186 Sun 11.4 -14.9% -84.8% 2630 382 15 -28.6% -62.5% 2243 353 11 -18.6% -55.5% 1219 188 2670 388 2285 360 1244 191 Edited May 17, 2018 by POTUS 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HouseOfTheSun Posted May 17, 2018 Share Posted May 17, 2018 4 hours ago, baumer said: Just curious, why does everyone take pleasure in Star Wars not doing well in China? Disney doesn’t fail very much. Compared to other studios, they basically never fail, whereas even WB and Universal throw out stinker on the regular. So people get super excited when Disney does have a misstep. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Barnack Posted May 17, 2018 Share Posted May 17, 2018 (edited) 5 hours ago, baumer said: Just curious, why does everyone take pleasure in Star Wars not doing well in China? Nothing about Star Wars in particular, and only combined with that achieve to do well can be satisfying in term of hope for an healthy competition to the franchise world. 27 A Dog's Purpose n/a $88,226,996 3/3 36 Rogue One: A Star Wars Story Disney $69,484,899 1/6 35 Hacksaw Ridge n/a $62,124,942 12/8 38 The Revenant n/a $58,684,119 3/18 46 Mechanic: Resurrection n/a $49,243,215 10/21 20 Star Wars: The Last Jedi Disney $42,577,974 1/5 There is a bit of a fear that a giant world market will make it extra hard for non giant obvious to be worldwide compatible story (set in magical world, space world, with worldwide stake, etc...) to be made. That movie's will be made taken most market do and do not into account, making the range of the possible more and more smaller (do not put ghost possession in your movie or that political message you will loose China or Russia, etc...). Having some failure and those that do try really hard at getting China, while large success from movies that didn't even knew or sure in advance they would be able to play there like Revenant, keep it a bit more in a you never know status and if you never know you can less use formula. Obviously there is a list of people that either do not like Disney, Star Wars or what they did with Star Wars (or where it went since Awaken) that schadenfreude in any place or MCU fans that just like the idea of having good chance of seeing MCUs movie go over SW world result. Almost on people not working in the industry would ever follow box office at all without having some of those petty ridiculous team rooting for and against title like that, to give it stake. If people do not remember that fear (that is still going on), better text to explain it: https://www.theguardian.com/film/2013/may/30/hollywood-china-film-industry https://www.vanityfair.com/hollywood/2016/08/did-you-catch-the-ways-hollywood-pandered-to-china-this-year http://www.scmp.com/news/china/society/article/1843700/hollywood-blockbusters-tailored-please-censors-and-access Edited May 17, 2018 by Barnack 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vc2002 Posted May 17, 2018 Share Posted May 17, 2018 (edited) 13 hours ago, baumer said: Just curious, why does everyone take pleasure in Star Wars not doing well in China? I think the real reason is very simple: everyone loves to see a dramatic boxoffice run, no matter whether it's a dramatic success or a dramatic bomb like TLJ. I don't think people really have a thing against SW or Disney. If TLJ made let's say $80m, that'd still be a boxoffice disappointment, but surely not an entertaining disappointment. You can't deny a 92% second wknd drop is dramatic and entertaining, and that's what TLJ had. People are still mocking Justice League, not because all of them are against DC, but because JL' pathetic boxoffice run is entertaining. Edited May 18, 2018 by vc2002 6 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
meriodejaneiro Posted May 18, 2018 Share Posted May 18, 2018 5 hours ago, HouseOfTheSun said: Disney doesn’t fail very much. Compared to other studios, they basically never fail, whereas even WB and Universal throw out stinker on the regular. So people get super excited when Disney does have a misstep. I understand people can feel surprised about Disney failing, but here some people really enjoy those Disney bad numbers (wether they are anti-Disney, or just anti-SW, or anti-MCU ...). I do not understand that "anti-studio" feeling ... as if their life/salary/happiness depended on it. On the other side i people supporting the movies they like, rooting for their good box office runs, that's positive, supportive ... I like Disney and mostly everything involving it. So I have been supporting Solo, wanting it to make a big dom ow, 500M dom run ... I can be right or wrong, i can seem foolish, but it's a positive way. I don't go trashing other studios/movies trolling on the forums to the edge just because they are Disney rivals. 2 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gavin Feng Posted May 18, 2018 Share Posted May 18, 2018 11 hours ago, baumer said: Just curious, why does everyone take pleasure in Star Wars not doing well in China? Probably because with a level of 1.2%* TLJ in advance ticket sale at the same point, people in Disney still believe it can make more than $16M in China. 1 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A Marvel Fanboy Posted May 18, 2018 Author Share Posted May 18, 2018 11 hours ago, Valonqar said: Because it's hilarious. The biggest franchise in the world (no more cause MCU is now it) cannot penetrate the most sought-after market in the world. Nobody saw that coming and that's exciting. It's simply the thrill of the unexpected. I do have some personal reasons such as that I hate NuWars focus on OT era and want them to start thinking outside of that box. And failure is the only thing that can make them do it. I too want the boring ongoing Skywalker series to fail so that they start to make Old Republic movies and as such. 10 hours ago, Fake said: What do you think.... Solo OW < IW 3rd weekend? Locked. Even Italy's Perfect Strangers also coming May 25th will beat SoLo. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rebeccas Posted May 18, 2018 Share Posted May 18, 2018 2 hours ago, Gavin Feng said: Probably because with a level of 1.2%* TLJ in advance ticket sale at the same point, people in Disney still believe it can make more than $16M in China. LOL 1.2%??? HOW Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cooper Legion Posted May 18, 2018 Share Posted May 18, 2018 (edited) 13 hours ago, baumer said: Just curious, why does everyone take pleasure in Star Wars not doing well in China? I don’t think it’s particularly related to Star Wars, Disney, China, or anything like that. It’s just that medium box office performances are boring, while extremes, by dint of being less common, are more interesting. So anything that does extremely good or extremely bad in any big territory becomes an interesting narrative to focus on and talk about. In service of that, when a movie is tracking for a 90th percentile performance, people will hop for it to overperform — end up at 98th, rather than end up at 75th. 98th is just more interesting that 75th. But when a movie’s is expected to perform around the 10th percentile, people will hope that it bombs even more, with a 2nd percentile rather than 25th percentile performance, simply because 2nd is more exciting than 25th. In my opinion, this desire for the more exciting narrative on either extreme is a core dynamic behind people wanting to see IW beat Titanic or JL fall below Man of Steel. Edited May 18, 2018 by Thanos Legion 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UserHN Posted May 18, 2018 Share Posted May 18, 2018 1 hour ago, firedeep said: I too want the boring ongoing Skywalker series to fail so that they start to make Old Republic movies and as such. Locked. Even Italy's Perfect Strangers also coming May 25th will beat SoLo. I think they will eventually make an Old Republic series in their own streaming service. Or maybe it will be the movie trilogy that the showrunners of GoT will helm. Who knows. They won't say anything. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
POTUS 2020 Posted May 18, 2018 Share Posted May 18, 2018 (edited) 3 hours ago, Rebeccas said: LOL 1.2%??? HOW Solo barely has any shows listed to buy tix. just 1000. nearly all movies have 30k+ shows listed by now, at 7 days out IW sales midpoint should be 5pm today, tracking to 37m at that time. going with 70-75m. 40 percentage-ish bump as we expected. 90-100% bump likely tomorrow. VD bumped CA3 an extra 30%, Sunday could be flat on VD Edited May 18, 2018 by POTUS 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Darth Lehnsherr Posted May 18, 2018 Share Posted May 18, 2018 3 hours ago, Thanos Legion said: In my opinion, this desire for the more exciting narrative on either extreme is a core dynamic behind people wanting to see IW beat Titanic or JL fall below Man of Steel. Agreed for me when I see that a film is clearly going down a certain trend I want to see that film hit the most extreme version of that trend (positive or negative) as possible. Boring box office runs like say Civil War are no fun to discuss. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
a2k Posted May 18, 2018 Share Posted May 18, 2018 (edited) if hit hits 1900 ($298) by sunday as expected can't see below 2150 ($337) even if it looses steam while 2250 ($353) is a reasonable goal. Edited May 18, 2018 by A2k Raptor Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ZeeSoh Posted May 18, 2018 Share Posted May 18, 2018 A Quiet Place with a 7.6 rating on Maoyan and 7.2 on Douban. Thats very low and pretty much the opposite of what I thought it would be at. Legs will be short 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
POTUS 2020 Posted May 18, 2018 Share Posted May 18, 2018 AQP with a 7.6 rating, heading to 35-40m OD. PS look weak for tomorrow, may not bump. 110-120m OW $16-18m 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KP1025 Posted May 18, 2018 Share Posted May 18, 2018 12 minutes ago, ZeeSoh said: A Quiet Place with a 7.6 rating on Maoyan and 7.2 on Douban. Thats very low and pretty much the opposite of what I thought it would be at. Legs will be short I would guess it's too slow-paced for China. Audiences probably expected a lot more action and gore from it. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fake Posted May 18, 2018 Share Posted May 18, 2018 Heading for 70-72M today. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
a2k Posted May 18, 2018 Share Posted May 18, 2018 42 minutes ago, Fake said: Heading for 70-72M today. 72+133(+85%)+120(-10%) = 325 (74-75% drop); 1901 cume 325 more in rest of the run gives 2226 total ($349) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bangbingchan Posted May 18, 2018 Share Posted May 18, 2018 (edited) 3 hours ago, ZeeSoh said: A Quiet Place with a 7.6 rating on Maoyan and 7.2 on Douban. Thats very low and pretty much the opposite of what I thought it would be at. Legs will be short WoM is quite normal for a horror film.Most horror films are 5-6 on Maoyan.it's very empty this week and upcoming week.A quite place will easily break horror film record Edited May 18, 2018 by bangbingchan 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...