Mau Posted November 26, 2019 Share Posted November 26, 2019 How can the lion king, which had pretty similar opening weekend as frozen 2, less scote in maoyan and far more competition reach 150 USD in china, but its difficult for frozen 2 to reach even 100 USD? also does anyone know if any of the songs or the sountrack are getting huge sales/downloads? 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cooper Legion Posted November 26, 2019 Share Posted November 26, 2019 8 minutes ago, Mau said: How can the lion king, which had pretty similar opening weekend as frozen 2, less scote in maoyan and far more competition reach 150 USD in china, but its difficult for frozen 2 to reach even 100 USD? also does anyone know if any of the songs or the sountrack are getting huge sales/downloads? Lion King just 120M. It benefitted from summer unlike F2. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mau Posted November 26, 2019 Share Posted November 26, 2019 8 minutes ago, Thanos Legion said: Lion King just 120M. It benefitted from summer unlike F2. Oh ok, my mistake, and what is your prediction for frozen 2 rn? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
keysersoze123 Posted November 26, 2019 Share Posted November 26, 2019 1 hour ago, Mau said: Oh ok, my mistake, and what is your prediction for frozen 2 rn? @Olive said somewhere in 700-800m. Conservatively I would say expect 100m USD or around 703m Yuan. THis friday there are multiple releases that will take away shows as well. I dont know how many shows F2 would retain, but that would have material effect on its hold. generally very leggy movies show amazing weekdays that help in keeping more shows and have great weekend holds as well, Not sure F2 has done that so far. But let us wait and watch. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
fmpro Posted November 26, 2019 Share Posted November 26, 2019 1 hour ago, keysersoze123 said: @Olive said somewhere in 700-800m. Conservatively I would say expect 100m USD or around 703m Yuan. THis friday there are multiple releases that will take away shows as well. I dont know how many shows F2 would retain, but that would have material effect on its hold. generally very leggy movies show amazing weekdays that help in keeping more shows and have great weekend holds as well, Not sure F2 has done that so far. But let us wait and watch. With 6 new releases, 9,0 rating, huge monday drop and a tuesday 10-15% drop i could see sub 100 mill$ atp. Weekdays are just too low. 1,8-1,9 OW multiplier 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
charlie Jatinder Posted November 26, 2019 Share Posted November 26, 2019 (edited) Trending is okayish so far, it was about 2.5x Ralph 2 on OD so almost there in weekdays but Ralph rebounded very well in week two, gonna be tough for Frozen 2, but it need to. If it do 2.47x Ralph from here, it will just cross $100mn, which is pretty tough. Frozen II Ralph Breaks The Internet Difference Previews ¥1,162 ¥423 2.75 Friday ¥73,350 ¥28,623 2.56 Saturday ¥166,824 ¥59,847 2.79 Sunday ¥132,326 ¥46,776 2.83 Monday ¥23,532 ¥9,548 2.46 Tuesday ¥20,000 ¥8,055 2.48 Wednesday ¥6,860 0.00 Thursday ¥6,031 0.00 Week One ¥166,163 0.00 Friday ¥11,050 0.00 Saturday ¥33,785 0.00 Sunday ¥26,200 0.00 Monday ¥3,926 0.00 Tuesday ¥3,290 0.00 Wednesday ¥3,019 0.00 Thursday ¥2,611 0.00 Week Two ¥83,881 0.00 Rest ¥21,130 Total ¥271,174 Multiple 2.00 Edited November 26, 2019 by Jedi Jat 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
POTUS 2020 Posted November 26, 2019 Share Posted November 26, 2019 4 hours ago, fmpro said: With 6 new releases, 9,0 rating, huge monday drop and a tuesday 10-15% drop i could see sub 100 mill$ atp. Weekdays are just too low. 1,8-1,9 OW multiplier Friday will suck but expect a 130% bump again on Sat as it gets shows back. It should clear 2x with better than 15% drop today. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
charlie Jatinder Posted November 26, 2019 Share Posted November 26, 2019 (edited) 23 minutes ago, POTUS 2020 said: Friday will suck but expect a 130% bump again on Sat as it gets shows back. It should clear 2x with better than 15% drop today. If Friday suck, 130% Sat bump don't mean much. Say Friday is even equal to Tuesday, 130% bump will mean only 46mn Saturday. Need 200% bump on Saturday atleast if Friday grow well, if Friday is just 20mn, then even bigger increase needed. Edited November 26, 2019 by Jedi Jat Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cdsacken Posted November 26, 2019 Share Posted November 26, 2019 Lion King was live action and animals. Hard to compare to cartoon. I wish Frozen did better as well Lion King at 1.6B ww absolutely underperformed. By 400m+ 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PKMLover Posted November 26, 2019 Share Posted November 26, 2019 11 minutes ago, Jedi Jat said: If Friday suck, 130% Sat bump don't mean much. Say Friday is even equal to Tuesday, 130% bump will mean only 46mn Saturday. Need 200% bump on Saturday atleast if Friday grow well, if Friday is just 20mn, then even bigger increase needed. Can it finish with $90M ? $53M x 1.69 = $90M Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
fmpro Posted November 26, 2019 Share Posted November 26, 2019 6 hours ago, POTUS 2020 said: Friday will suck but expect a 130% bump again on Sat as it gets shows back. It should clear 2x with better than 15% drop today. 5 hours ago, Jedi Jat said: If Friday suck, 130% Sat bump don't mean much. Say Friday is even equal to Tuesday, 130% bump will mean only 46mn Saturday. Need 200% bump on Saturday atleast if Friday grow well, if Friday is just 20mn, then even bigger increase needed. I agree with Jatinder here Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LegendaryBen Posted November 26, 2019 Share Posted November 26, 2019 How is Knives Out tracking in China? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ymblcza Posted November 27, 2019 Share Posted November 27, 2019 8 hours ago, LegendaryBen said: How is Knives Out tracking in China? $10 - 15M Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A Marvel Fanboy Posted November 27, 2019 Author Share Posted November 27, 2019 Knives Out is going to make than more 15 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gavin Feng Posted November 27, 2019 Share Posted November 27, 2019 Detective Chinatown 3, biggest title of 2020 CNY. 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LegendaryBen Posted November 27, 2019 Share Posted November 27, 2019 8 hours ago, ymblcza said: $10 - 15M I assume $10-15M USD Opening Weekend, right? 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
fmpro Posted November 27, 2019 Share Posted November 27, 2019 28 minutes ago, LegendaryBen said: I assume $10-15M USD Opening Weekend, right? 15 mill is way to high. Even 10 mill will be tough Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ymblcza Posted November 27, 2019 Share Posted November 27, 2019 1 hour ago, LegendaryBen said: I assume $10-15M USD Opening Weekend, right? Normal trend and WoM gives about $5-8M OW and $10-15M total, could be higher if WoM is great Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
a2k Posted November 27, 2019 Share Posted November 27, 2019 (edited) Frozen2 Mon-Wed 23.5 19.6 (-16.6%) 16.2 (-17.3%) 426.5 cume removing all the presales (hope am right in doing that). So week1 should be about 440 (~$62.5). Is it heading for under 700 finish? (current rating is 8.9) Edited November 27, 2019 by a2k Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
keysersoze123 Posted November 28, 2019 Share Posted November 28, 2019 5 hours ago, a2k said: Frozen2 Mon-Wed 23.5 19.6 (-16.6%) 16.2 (-17.3%) 426.5 cume removing all the presales (hope am right in doing that). So week1 should be about 440 (~$62.5). Is it heading for under 700 finish? (current rating is 8.9) depends on where the friday ends up at. I am thinking 50-60% increase can happen. But its losing showcount big time. How much we will know by end of day. it needs 150m 2nd weekend to keep 700m in play. Looks tough but you never know. last weekend it did pull a rabbit out the hat on saturday. its number 3 on PS for friday but number 1 on saturday and so that is something for sure. One thing about this weekdays is it had very tiny PS to final multi. normally weekdays used to do better than weekends sometime ago. 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...