charlie Jatinder Posted December 22, 2019 Share Posted December 22, 2019 (edited) 45 minutes ago, pepsa said: So TROS made 16.9m today, OW: 85.1m or around $12.15m USD. TROS OW was a 4.5 day release so multi won't go higher than 1.6 at max I think. 1.6 multi would give it $19.5m, I am thinking around $18m seems more likely. Under $16mn Spoiler 85 5 4 4 2.5 // 100.5 1.5 3.5 2.5 // 108 0.7 0.8 0.7 0.3 // 110 Edited December 22, 2019 by Jedi Jat 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ymblcza Posted December 22, 2019 Share Posted December 22, 2019 (edited) Its weekend number is identical to Solo, which added 42m after Sunday, so probably 125m-ish finish. Surprisingly my 140m prediction is very close despite the doom and gloom after the underperforming Wed and Thur. Edited December 22, 2019 by ymblcza Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pepsa Posted December 22, 2019 Share Posted December 22, 2019 4 minutes ago, ymblcza said: It’s weekend number is identical to Solo, which added 42m after Sunday, so probably 125m-ish finish. Surprisingly my 140m prediction is very close despite the doom and gloom after the underperforming Wed and Thur. Wait what? a $12m OW wasn't doom and gloom. SW set the bar pretty high on this one, in the future it needs a 6m or lower OD to be actualy Doom and Gloom 😛 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gavin Feng Posted December 23, 2019 Share Posted December 23, 2019 I don't mean to start a fan war but Spoiler Knives Out is higher than TROS here. 2 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dxmatrixdt Posted December 23, 2019 Share Posted December 23, 2019 (edited) . Edited June 26, 2020 by abusive brainwashed Christ Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
charlie Jatinder Posted December 23, 2019 Share Posted December 23, 2019 1 hour ago, Gavin Feng said: Hide contents Knives Out is higher than TROS here. I don't mean to start a fan war but Even in India most likely. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LPLC Posted December 23, 2019 Share Posted December 23, 2019 Your first expectations for Mulan and Black Widow ? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
POTUS 2020 Posted December 26, 2019 Share Posted December 26, 2019 SW9 Bad news: will lose 70% of shows on friday. Good news: it will clear $16m and beat Solo. Bad news: $17m out of reach F2 still on track for $120m 3 1 9 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LPLC Posted December 27, 2019 Share Posted December 27, 2019 Really ? $16M for TROS : ok easy but $17M out of reach ? how ? I don't understand Chinese market Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerPaw Posted December 27, 2019 Share Posted December 27, 2019 9 minutes ago, LPLC said: Really ? $16M for TROS : ok easy but $17M out of reach ? how ? I don't understand Chinese market It is all about showtimes and word of mouth in the Chinese market - especially for 2nd weekends; most holdovers lose a huge percentage (>50%) of their showtimes when new openers enter on Fridays. Only movies with strong WoM (hence attendance) can retain most of their showtimes; and so IpMan4 and Sheep without Shepherd will retain their showtimes and IpMan4 will probably lead the weekend again. TRoS has the weakest attendance of all openers last week; I think that the cinema chains are already generous by not scrapping its showtimes completely. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
a2k Posted December 27, 2019 Share Posted December 27, 2019 (edited) 1 hour ago, LPLC said: Really ? $16M for TROS : ok easy but $17M out of reach ? how ? I don't understand Chinese market it's on 102m atm, 10m more will give it 112m/$16. to hit $17/119m it needs 17m more and maybe that's too far? haven't tracked it so can't say much. Edited December 27, 2019 by a2k Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jb007 Posted December 27, 2019 Share Posted December 27, 2019 So a remake of an Indian movie/Japanese novel will bitchslap IP man 4? Am I right? 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
POTUS 2020 Posted December 27, 2019 Share Posted December 27, 2019 (edited) 17 hours ago, LPLC said: Really ? $16M for TROS : ok easy but $17M out of reach ? how ? I don't understand Chinese market 16 hours ago, a2k said: it's on 102m atm, 10m more will give it 112m/$16. to hit $17/119m it needs 17m more and maybe that's too far? haven't tracked it so can't say much. What @TigerPaw said plus 3 releases on the Mon the 31st will take 60% of shows. With SwoS and IP4 holding well(high PTA) they will strip the shows from SW9 and others. Daily BO for SW9 will drop below 100k. and not recover as we have recently seen with J2 F2 has had a good PTA and continues to hold a decent % of shows. SW9 will hit 115m on Sunday 115m/$16.3m and make very little after Edited December 27, 2019 by POTUS 2020 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LPLC Posted December 27, 2019 Share Posted December 27, 2019 5 hours ago, POTUS 2020 said: What @TigerPaw said plus 3 releases on the Mon the 31st will take 60% of shows. With SwoS and IP4 holding well(high PTA) they will strip the shows from SW9 and others. Daily BO for SW9 will drop below 100k. and not recover as we have recently seen with J2 F2 has had a good PTA and continues to hold a decent % of shows. SW9 will hit 115m on Sunday 115m/$16.3m and make very little after Ok ok thank you for your analyse, so Star Wars is dead in China, and can frozen 2 reach $125M ? Is there holidays which could help box office in china ? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
XXRDJisDoctorDoom Posted December 27, 2019 Share Posted December 27, 2019 On 12/23/2019 at 6:30 AM, LPLC said: Your first expectations for Mulan and Black Widow ? Mulan: No clue as I don't know what the historical precedent would be for this film. It has a lot of cultural beats for China, but it's from Disney. Will it be $150m or $450m? Maybe @Gavin Feng or @Olive could better answer?Black Widow: Spider-Man: Far From Home is so far the only post-Endgame MCU film we have and it pulled $210m. I think Black Widow will do less than this but more than Captain Marvel. I'd go with $175m. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cdsacken Posted December 27, 2019 Share Posted December 27, 2019 Hmm hard to say on Black Widow. Civil War did 180m Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cooper Legion Posted December 27, 2019 Share Posted December 27, 2019 I think BW will beat FFH. But then again I'm about to make a club that every phase 4 film beats FFH in China, so... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
XXRDJisDoctorDoom Posted December 27, 2019 Share Posted December 27, 2019 13 minutes ago, Arendelle Legion said: I think BW will beat FFH. But then again I'm about to make a club that every phase 4 film beats FFH in China, so... 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerPaw Posted December 28, 2019 Share Posted December 28, 2019 9 hours ago, jb007 said: So a remake of an Indian movie/Japanese novel will bitchslap IP man 4? Am I right? Not sure why your comment is so smug / sarcastic / vulgar? The answer is Not really; IpMan4 will lead the weekend again. Overall Takings for both will be close. Both films are helping to heat up this awful December box office They are of different genre - so I would not say that they are necessarily competing, but one thing for sure - they are both killing all other openers including TRoS. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jb007 Posted December 28, 2019 Share Posted December 28, 2019 9 minutes ago, TigerPaw said: Not sure why your comment is so smug / sarcastic / vulgar? The answer is Not really; IpMan4 will lead the weekend again. Overall Takings for both will be close. Both films are helping to heat up this awful December box office They are of different genre - so I would not say that they are necessarily competing, but one thing for sure - they are both killing all other openers including TRoS. It is not being smug. It is shocking. I don't know who the actors are in that movie or their popularity. But to see it perform the way it is against a known franchise movie like IP 4 is something else. The other interest in that movie is because I have watched the original tens of times. It is a perfect movie for multiple viewings. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...