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China Box Office Thread | Oppenheimer-August 30

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Current sales as of 8am local time for Sunday:

Detective Chinatown - ¥120m

Monster Hunt 2 - ¥92.7m

Red Sea - ¥72.6m

 

There's a very real chance that Red Sea could jump ahead of Monster hunt even today, it has much better WOM and is only ¥20m behind this morning. And it could do that whilst having the half the showtimes! Current showtime count for Sunday:

 

DC - 98,500

MH2 - 109,000

RS - 55,000

Edited by feasby007
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13 hours ago, ZeeSoh said:

I dont think it will do well. No matter how good a movie it may be but it doesnt have Aamir Khan in it. Plus it is coming only 2 weeks after the super blockbusters which will still be going strong so yeah i wouldnt expect too mich from it 

Can you give a range of how much it can do in China.I don't think there is any visibility for non-Aamir Indian movies in China.

2-5M$

6-10M$

11-20M$

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9 hours ago, the beast said:

anyone know if black panther can outgross thor ragnarok in china?

 

I doubt it.. Its not a typical blockbuster and the only thing that will make do fairly is the connection to the Marvel brand

 

My guesstimate is 60-80 mill range

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It should be noted that on Maoyans pages:

 

http://maoyan.com/films/248170 - Avengers 3

 

http://maoyan.com/films/341138 - Black Panther

 

Avengers has a huge 150k+ "want-to-see" but Black Panther actually has 121k+, which is quite high. Higher than Jurassic World 2 currently (42k)

 

I think Black Panther certainly has a shot at 100m, but it depends on how well non-marvel fans receive it.

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17 minutes ago, feasby007 said:

It should be noted that on Maoyans pages:

 

http://maoyan.com/films/248170 - Avengers 3

 

http://maoyan.com/films/341138 - Black Panther

 

Avengers has a huge 150k+ "want-to-see" but Black Panther actually has 121k+, which is quite high. Higher than Jurassic World 2 currently (42k)

 

I think Black Panther certainly has a shot at 100m, but it depends on how well non-marvel fans receive it.

During CNY holiday,there is more Audiences use Maoyan than usual.Each new release in March gets extremely rise “want to see”,including Black panther.XxX and Resident Evil both got a great promotion on CNY holiday last year.Bp buzz is good.It depends on GA WoM

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On 2/17/2018 at 9:23 AM, Saurabh said:

I am from India.Don't go by wiki.Screens in India wld be close to 10k. 2.2b admissions is more than impossible.Even the biggest Blockbusters nowadays have less than 40 million admissions in India. Baahubali2(105 million) was an exception as it cut the North-South barrier.Even Dangal had around 39.5million admissions and apart from Dangal and Sultan(32.5million) no other movie in 2016 even hit 15 million admissions.I think 1.1-1.2 billion annual admissions likely for India.

Here are two links that state over 2b in admissions and there are others including wiki.  I read that local language films make up for a lot sales in make shift "shanty" theaters. Cant find that article. He also stated over 2b in tix.

 

https://www.statista.com/topics/2140/film-industry-in-india/

http://greenash.net.au/thoughts/2011/07/world-domination-by-box-office-cinema-admissions/

 

Edited by POTUS
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16 minutes ago, POTUS said:

Here are two links that state over 2b in admissions and there are others including wiki.  I read that local language films make up for a lot sales in make shift "shanty" theaters. Cant find that article. He also stated over 2b in tix.

 

https://www.statista.com/topics/2140/film-industry-in-india/

http://greenash.net.au/thoughts/2011/07/world-domination-by-box-office-cinema-admissions/

 

Yes, 2b is very possible. Regional films tickets can go as low as $0.2. And many people watch them but they never get their figures published.

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1 hour ago, feasby007 said:

It should be noted that on Maoyans pages:

 

http://maoyan.com/films/248170 - Avengers 3

 

http://maoyan.com/films/341138 - Black Panther

 

Avengers has a huge 150k+ "want-to-see" but Black Panther actually has 121k+, which is quite high. Higher than Jurassic World 2 currently (42k)

 

I think Black Panther certainly has a shot at 100m, but it depends on how well non-marvel fans receive it.

total number of want to see is useless. increasing speed of want to see is more useful.

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