China Box Office Thread | Oppenheimer-August 30

[CoolK]

SS going to cross 100mn$ today....when is the last day for it in china?

I certainly do not think it will be around during CNY

[A Marvel Fanboy]

1 hour ago, CoolK said:

SS going to cross 100mn$ today....when is the last day for it in china?

I certainly do not think it will be around during CNY

it can still make one or two extra million $ during CNY

[seduh]

why no more post here? TMK3 open today!

[TigerPaw]

1 hour ago, seduh said:

why no more post here? TMK3 open today!

Already opened yesterday. Word of mouth is bad

 

[seduh]

1 hour ago, TigerPaw said:

Already opened yesterday. Word of mouth is bad

 

yes, but it made +$30 million dollars on it's opening day

[NCsoft]

Yeah, what happened to this thread, why is nobody posting when we're approaching the most exciting time of the year.

[TigerPaw]

4 hours ago, seduh said:

yes, but it made +$30 million dollars on it's opening day

So what... Mixed WoM impact is not shown in its first day.

and also it was Valentine’s Day, I expected more.. to be honest. 

Don’t forget this particular MK3 is very focused on Love..and Valentine’s Day was its best chance to do well..

[kswiston]

Regardless of whether Monkey King 3 sucked or not, did the regulars from this thread move to another forum or something? I mostly lurk, but I have been following this thread for years, and can't remember it ever going a week without a post. 

[fmpro]

177 mill OD for MK3 

Today were looking at 6-7 mill

[peludo]

44 minutes ago, fmpro said:

177 mill OD for MK3 

Today were looking at 6-7 mill

I guess that during New Year's eve everything is quiet.

 

Presales for tomorrow are, right now:

Monster Hunt 2: 248.2m

Detective Chinatown 2: 147.9m

Monkey King 3: 72.6m

Operation Red Sea: 47.9m

Boonie Bears: 34.2m

[a2k]

Which Hollywood films have the potential for 150m+ USD this year? China is tough to gauge and last year Coco surprised with close to 190m, but atm can't think of any movies except JW2 and AIW.

 

-Guessing if BP surprises it could do SMH numbers.

-Don't know if Bumblebee will make it this year but that could also do big.

-Pacific Rim 2?

Edited February 15, 2018 by a2knet

[Premium George]

4 minutes ago, a2knet said:

Which Hollywood films have the potential for 150m+ USD this year? China is tough to gauge and last year Coco surprised with close to 190m, but atm can't think of any movies except JW2 and AIW.

 

-Guessing if BP surprises it could do SMH numbers.

-Don't know if Bumblebee will make it this year but that could also do big.

-Pacific Rim 2?

Last year movies like RE, kong also surprised. So, movies of DJ can do $150+ too.

[KP1025]

1 minute ago, a2knet said:

Which Hollywood films have the potential for 150m+ USD this year? China is tough to gauge and last year Coco surprised with close to 190m, but atm can't think of any movies except JW2 and AIW.

IW and JW2 should be locked for over $150 million. Looking at this year's releases, I think these also have a shot.

 

-Pacific Rim 2 (the first film made $112 million in 2013)

-Rampage (monster movie starring the Rock, could approach Skull Island numbers)

-Skyscraper (takes place in China, also starring the Rock)

-MI6 (MI5 earned $136 million)

-Dark Phoenix (Apocalypse made $121 million)

-Bumblebee (probably a 2019 release in China though)

 

[peludo]

10 minutes ago, a2knet said:

Which Hollywood films have the potential for 150m+ USD this year? China is tough to gauge and last year Coco surprised with close to 190m, but atm can't think of any movies except JW2 and AIW.

 

-Guessing if BP surprises it could do SMH numbers.

-Don't know if Bumblebee will make it this year but that could also do big.

-Pacific Rim 2?

People have said here that Black Panther seems to have a bad release date. They did not seem optimistic about it.

 

Beyond Avengers and Jurassic World, maybe Incredibles 2 could repeat the Coco's success? Just guessing.

[KP1025]

2 minutes ago, peludo said:

People have said here that Black Panther seems to have a bad release date. They did not seem optimistic about it.

 

Beyond Avengers and Jurassic World, maybe Incredibles 2 could repeat the Coco's success? Just guessing.

 

Black Panther faces Tomb Raider one week after and then Pacific Rim 2 the week after that. It looks like a very tight competition for screens, especially if those two films break-out. I'm unsure how Tomb Raider will do in China, but Pacific Rim 2 should be very big.

[Gavin Feng]

1 hour ago, a2knet said:

Which Hollywood films have the potential for 150m+ USD this year? China is tough to gauge and last year Coco surprised with close to 190m, but atm can't think of any movies except JW2 and AIW.

 

-Guessing if BP surprises it could do SMH numbers.

-Don't know if Bumblebee will make it this year but that could also do big.

-Pacific Rim 2?

 

Pacific Rim 2 is the 2nd most-anticipated import movie on Douban site. So it definitely have a chance to make $150M.

 

Then only Infinity War & Jurassic World 2 can be expected to do that high.

 

Incredibles 2 have a wonderful buzz compared to previous Pixar movies. May have a chance to make $100M.

 

Don’t think Black Panther can be huge like Homecoming after seeing it in HK. It really does feel different from any other Marvel movies. More like a James Bond movie.

 

Probably next year for Bumblebee. And $70M budget Transformers movie could do far worse than TF5.

 

[Gavin Feng]

Tomb Raider - Mar.16

Shape of Water - Mar.16 (limited. cut and new stuffs for passing the censorship. F**k you Fox)

Pacific Rim 2 - Mar.23

 

Ready Player One may open on Mar.30.

 

A secret non-english movie may open on Apr.(Qingming festival)

 

Deadpool 2 have a great chance to get a release date in China. Just like Logan, Alien: Covenant & Shape of Water, cutting some shoots & changing by new stuffs. 

 

For Fox I say this again with respect

 

 

 

[Gavin Feng]

Monster Hunt 2 has already earned $49M in ticket pre-sale, breaking the record set by The Fate of the Furious($47M) ! It’s projected to make $75-80M on Feb.16. $200-220M for 3-day debut. 

[IronJimbo]

14 minutes ago, Gavin Feng said:

Monster Hunt 2 has already earned $49M in ticket pre-sale, breaking the record set by The Fate of the Furious($47M) ! It’s projected to make $75-80M on Feb.16. $200-220M for 3-day debut. 

What are it's chances of beating Wolf Warrior 2?

[Avatree]

3 hours ago, a2knet said:

Which Hollywood films have the potential for 150m+ USD this year? China is tough to gauge and last year Coco surprised with close to 190m, but atm can't think of any movies except JW2 and AIW.

 

-Guessing if BP surprises it could do SMH numbers.

-Don't know if Bumblebee will make it this year but that could also do big.

-Pacific Rim 2?

i'm no china expert but there's plenty.

 

- Pacific Rim definitely. First one made over 100M that was 5 years ago so I've got no doubt PR2 can do 150M, probably alot more.

- Rampage. Kong made 168M last year and slightly edged out the US gross! by no means a guarantee, 150 is a lot, but definitely the potential to. Also Dwayne Johnson has starred in quite a few high grossing films in China so that probably helps.

- Skyscraper. Pretty sure its a Chinese co-production and think it's set in China too.

- Animated movies? A few animated films have done huge in China, although there's no clear pattern, seems a bit random. Coco and Zootopia did gangbusters as does Despicable Me. Theres Incredibles 2, Wreck it Ralph 2, Dr Seuss, not sure what else there is but definitely a possibility.

- Mission Impossible. Rogue Nation did 135M in China, Fallout wouldn't have to increase much to reach 150M.

- The Meg. Think this is also a Chinese funded movie, and co stars a Chinese actor so clearly targeting that market.

- Mowgli. The Jungle Book grossed exactly 150M in China.

- Bumblebee will do 150M but may not be this year.

 

Think that's probably it of films that have realistic potential. Theres also the crop of superhero stuff + Predator which you never know might exceed the usual 120M barrier.