China Box Office Thread | Oppenheimer-August 30

[JonahVex]

4 hours ago, Issac Newton said:

2022 Chinese New Year Pre-sales (so far)

1️⃣ Water Gate Bridge : ¥9.95M

2️⃣ Nice View : ¥4.73M

3️⃣ Too Cool To Kill : ¥3.45M

4️⃣ Only Fools Rush in : ¥2.66M

5️⃣ Sniper : ¥1.92M

 

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I missed the exact time when it started? is it 3 hrs or 4 hrs?😓

Whats your OW prediction for Water Gate Bridge?

 

[Issac Newton]

3 minutes ago, JonahVex said:

Whats your OW prediction for Water Gate Bridge?

2x of TBALC ($410M+)

 

Day 1 of pre-sale is almost ending at ¥16M, which is more than 2x of Nice View at same time

[XXR vs XXR]

Just now, Issac Newton said:

2x of TBALC ($410M+)

 

Day 1 of pre-sale is almost ending at ¥16M, which is more than 2x of Nice View at same time

Whats the comp to something we know the opening weekend of? Like DC3?

[Issac Newton]

Just now, RiddlerXXR said:

Whats the comp to something we know the opening weekend of? Like DC3?

Can not pair with DC3. Originally, I forecast $480M, but 1st Day seem slow (neither I was alive at that period). Let me see how Day 2 runs. I do not know what will happen tomorrow but at this moment your bet ($300M) is safest one. Maoyan Anticipation is about 860K 

[JonahVex]

whats your total prediction? 1.5b possible?

Edited January 21, 2022 by JonahVex

[Issac Newton]

4 hours ago, Issac Newton said:

2022 Chinese New Year Pre-sales (so far)

1️⃣ Water Gate Bridge : ¥9.95M

2️⃣ Nice View : ¥4.73M

3️⃣ Too Cool To Kill : ¥3.45M

4️⃣ Only Fools Rush in : ¥2.66M

5️⃣ Sniper : ¥1.92M

2022 Chinese New Year Pre-sales (Day 1 ending at 24:00 CST)

1️⃣ Water Gate Bridge : ¥15.7M

2️⃣ Nice View : ¥6.9M

3️⃣ Too Cool To Kill : ¥5.5M

4️⃣ Only Fools Rush in : ¥4.7M

5️⃣ Sniper : ¥4.2M

6️⃣ Boonie Bear : Back To Earth : ¥0.86M

7️⃣ Dunk For Future : ¥0.36M

8️⃣ Run, Tiger Run ! : ¥0.1M

 

In Compare To Their Anticipation At Maoyan:

Water Gate Bridge : 860K

Nice View : 580K

Too Cool To Kill : 446.5K

Only Fools Rush in : 510K

Sniper : 124K

Boonie Bear : Back To Earth : 302K

Dunk For Future : 110K

Run, Tiger Run ! : 18K

[Issac Newton]

6 minutes ago, JonahVex said:

whats your total prediction? 1.5b possible?

$1.2B is my highest bet. I do not think $1.5B is possible. Well, Our present target is to reach $1B in single market. Anything above like $1.5B is great but can not think about it as of now.

[Issac Newton]

First 24 Hours of pre-sales

Avengers: Endgame : ¥137M /$20M

Detective Chinatown 3 : ¥103M /$15M

 

Detective Chinatown 3's Pre-sales Records

103% of Avengers: Endgame ($331M /5-days)

202% of Avengers: Infinity War ($201M /3-days)

237% of Monster Hunt 2 ($190M /3-days)

307% of Furious 8 ($196M /3-days)

358% of it's former (DC2) ($156M /3-days)

 

Detective Chinatown 3 Closed in $75M pre-sales

OD : ¥1,040M /$160M

(Via Gavin)

Edited January 21, 2022 by Issac Newton

[XXR vs XXR]

23 minutes ago, Issac Newton said:

First 24 Hours of pre-sales

Avengers: Endgame : ¥137M /$20M

Detective Chinatown 3 : ¥103M /$15M

 

Detective Chinatown 3's Pre-sales Records

103% of Avengers: Endgame ($331M /5-days)

202% of Avengers: Infinity War ($201M /3-days)

237% of Monster Hunt 2 ($190M /3-days)

307% of Furious 8 ($196M /3-days)

358% of it's former (DC2) ($156M /3-days)

 

Detective Chinatown 3 Closed in $75M pre-sales

OD : ¥1,040M /$160M

(Via Gavin)

Not that presales matter in the end, but yea it’s way behind these others. You would think given TBALC was just 4 months ago there would be much more “hype”.

[The GOAT]

if only DC3 wasn't terrible.

[Issac Newton]

14 hours ago, RiddlerXXR said:

Not that presales matter in the end, but yea it’s way behind these others. You would think given TBALC was just 4 months ago there would be much more “hype”.

Given Sequel was announced 1 month after releasing TBALC. Yes, that 875K anticipation is a lots of hypes in 3-months.

[porginchina]

Some factors with Battle at Lake Changjin 2:

-the first movie opened impressively on its first day but then grew throughout the National Day week… more of a Hi, Mom pattern than a Detective Chinatown 3 pattern (so expecting the sequel to break all the opening records seems… not the most likely)

-the first movie had the advantage of opening during National Day, when more people might feel social pressure to participate in patriotic activities like seeing a patriotic movie

-there's more competition during Spring Festival than there was during National Day

-quickly browsing through reviews for the first one on social media, much of the praise is directed at elements external to the quality of the movie itself (i.e., the popularity of actors like Wu Jing and Jackson Yee, expressing support for soldiers in the People's Liberation Army, expressing appreciation for the peaceful/prosperous life modern Chinese enjoy thanks to the sacrifices that PLA soldiers made in conflicts like the Korean War/War to Resist American Aggression and Aid Korea (one of the main messages/themes in the movie))

-while the Battle of Choisin Reservoir was a tactical victory for the Chinese, it wasn't a clear-cut strategic victory and I'm not sure how this sequel will handle that (the best military history comparison for Changjin 2 is that it's kinda like making a movie about Dunkirk from the perspective of the Germans; granted, the first movie veered between indifference to historical accuracy and good old-fashioned tactical incomprehensibility, so basically all bets are off for part 2)

-the first movie has some flat-out incompetent filmmaking with awful visual effects, atrocious editing, abysmal action sequences, etc. etc.

 

I'm personally not sure how this sequel is going to do overall. The simple fact that it's a big propaganda movie doesn't mean anything since expensive government-endorsed movies don't always break box office records. I'm sure it'll make a lot of money, but I'll be surprised if it equals its predecessor. Going to be an interesting next week or so of pre-sales!

Edited January 22, 2022 by porginchina

[Issac Newton]

Anime Box Office in Mainland China:

2021 : ¥4,175,030,000 (JPY75B) (1.5x of 2020)

2020 : ¥2,787,070,000 (JPY50.1B)

 

More than 20 Japanese Anime Film has been released in 2021 &Japanese Animation Share is about ¥748M (JPY13.4B), where STAND BY ME 2 (¥277M), Detective Conan: The Scarlet Bullet (¥216M), Hello World (¥136M) takes No.1, 2, 3 respectively.

 

2021 Total Box Office in Mainland China : ¥47,038,350,000 (JPY840B) 

 

[charlie Jatinder]

On 1/20/2022 at 6:48 PM, peludo said:

Maybe China does not want nothing coming from Western countries that can beat their products? 

Nothing from west can beat the local products. This isn't just China. Most Asians countries have their own industries movies at top, South East Asia is bit lacking but getting there.

[charlie Jatinder]

Please take the pre-sales discussion in pre-sales thread.

[xieh tie]

 

 

must see movie for wuxia fans

[Lion Roar]

7 hours ago, xieh tie said:

 

 

must see movie for wuxia fans

 

Jesus yet another adaptation of 倚天屠龍記. Each new version gets progressively worse. This looks like a parody. 

[xieh tie]

On 11/13/2021 at 3:07 PM, xieh tie said:

 

theatrical release is most-likely planned for Chinese New Year 2022

 

 

Dec 31 2022 release

[Issac Newton]

11 minutes ago, xieh tie said:

Dec 31 2022 release

Clash with Avatar 2? or just neck-neck competition?

 

In USA, Aquaman 2 vs Avatar 2

In Mainland, Ride On vs Avatar 2

In Japan, Suzume Locking Up the Doors vs Avatar 2.

Edited January 27, 2022 by Issac Newton

[peludo]

2 minutes ago, Issac Newton said:

Clash with Avatar 2? or just neck-neck competition?

You asume that Avatar 2 will be released in China. I do not see it clear.