BO Germany/Austria: Dune first 2024 blockbuster (3mil admissions)

[IndustriousAngel]

Friday numbers are in and the trend for the weekend looks a bit mor sensible now - still very good for A2-AoU:

 

#1: A2 - 800k admissions

#2: FF7 - 175k

#3/4/5: Nanny, PBMC2, RaN with 50k each

[IndustriousAngel]

Final weekend trend and A2 keeps on falling - but still the best opening for a MCU movie! Seems very frontloaded, though, since all other releases went up with the last estimates.

 

#1: A2 - 675k admissions

#2: FF7 - 190k

#3: PBMC2 - 75k

#4: Nanny - 70k

#5: RaN - 55k

[keysersoze123]

900k to 675k. That must be among the biggest over estimations ever.

[fmpro]

900k to 675k. That must be among the biggest over estimations ever.

Ouchhh. Lets just hope actuals will be over 500k

[keysersoze123]

Ouchhh. Lets just hope actuals will be over 500k

 

I doubt it will drop anymore as its already sunday.

[IndustriousAngel]

I doubt it will drop anymore as its already sunday.

I think so, too. The over-estimates might be because of extremely inflated previews on Wednesday and Avengers double-features. Plus, weather is turning rather grey which is always good for admissions.

[Cynosure]

Avengers: Age of Ultron boycotted by hundreds of German cinemas

 

http://www.theguardian.com/film/2015/apr/27/avengers-age-of-ultron-boycotted-by-hundreds-of-german-cinemas

[KATCH-2D2]

Avengers: Age of Ultron boycotted by hundreds of German cinemas

 

http://www.theguardian.com/film/2015/apr/27/avengers-age-of-ultron-boycotted-by-hundreds-of-german-cinemas

 

So I take it that the boycotting happened before the OW? Then AOU could have opened higher. Damn Disney for being greedy.

[ShouldIBeHere]

A lot of these 150-200 screens would probably not have screened, AoU, though, as I have read on some reports about the boycott.

 

 

It isn't influencing the BO numbers in any extreme way, I am sure.

[IndustriousAngel]

This really concerns only small-town theaters, so people who absolutely wanted to see AoU and lived in a small town just had to drive to a bigger town in the vicinity - no big deal, I guess the overall effect was <5%.

 

edit: A bigger problem might be the complete lack of any 2D shows ... while AoU seems to have the highest ticket prices since the Hobbit films, it's very probable that this policy leads to some people avoiding the movie completely (it's only anecdotical evidence, but me and my ladyfriend refuse to pay that 3D charge, and my son has shown no interest in AoU either, we'll watch Ex Machina instead tomorrow)

Edited April 28, 2015 by IndustriousAngel

[IndustriousAngel]

Germany's Top20 last weekend:

	title	admissions	th.	PTA	total	drop	week
1	Avengers 2	709.614	500	1.419	709.614	-	1
2	Fast & Furious 7	200.642	660	304	3.618.276	-47	4
3	Paul Blart Mall Cop 2	84.520	589	143	621.063	-19	3
4	Der Nanny	64.730	595	109	1.404.650	-28	5
5	Shaun the Sheep	63.142	740	85	1.484.001	+4	6
6	Run All Night	51.612	413	125	161.797	-40	2
7	Home	34.142	559	61	559.541	+3	5
8	Halbe Brüder	31.988	411	78	191.110	-36	3
9	Ex Machina	25.702	92	279	46.684	-	1
10	Big Eyes	22.434	133	169	39.454	-	1
11	Best Exotic Marigold Hotel 2	18.194	366	50	205.287	-23	4
12	Cinderella	17.398	335	52	1.009.307	-19	7
13	Honig im Kopf	15.050	383	39	6.782.823	-12	18
14	Gespensterjäger	11.446	400	29	144.797	+11	4
15	Fünf Freunde 4	10.392	140	74	943.020	-1	13
16	Elser - Er hätte die Welt verändert	10.315	165	63	82.742	-35	3
17	Une heure de tranquillité	10.070	200	50	51.877	-44	2
18	Kingsman - The Secret Service	8.392	198	42	750.796	-50	7
19	Insurgent	7.876	191	41	546.089	-45	6
20	La famille Bélier	7.612	187	41	312.742	-15	8

 

Very good opening for A2, despite the boycot from smaller cinemas. Depending on WOM and weather, 3mil total might be in play (but I'd rather bet on 2.5mil). Also a good opening for "Ex Machina" which might see a slight expansion next weekend; "Big Eyes" otoh is a complete flop - as is BEMH2 which keeps on dropping and will probably finish with one third of the admissions of part 1. Family stuff did well as expected, Shaun is still going strong and Home is making up a bit for the floppy opening.

 

Next weekend:

"The longest Ride" brings (finally!) some stuff for female audiences and might surprise (no, I don't really think so); "Gunman" is starting without much noise - the biggest opener should be "Legend of the Neverbeast" - the Tinkerbell movies are not really hits but always get some business, an opening in the 150-200k range seems possible (depending on weather as always) and accordingly, "Home" and "Shaun" will drop. A2 will stay on top, of course! - the question is just, how hard will it fall? A1 had a super-nice drop of only about 25% in WE2 - I'd guess we'll see rather something like 40% for A2 but of course I'm keeping my fingers crossed for something better!

[IndustriousAngel]

while not all bad, weather looks movie-friendly for the weekend - a bit rainy and not very warm for most of Germany and Austria. I'm hoping for a really good trend with very soft drops tomorrow!

[IndustriousAngel]

.. aaand here's the first trend from insidekino - drrrrumroll:

 

#1: A2 - 500k admissions (-30%, sweeet)

#2: The Longest Ride - 160k (I suspect that includes the Lady's night previews and so on)

#3: FF7 - 150k (-25%)

#4: Tinkerbell-Neverbeast - 125k (seems very low for it, I guess actuals will be higher)

[Olive]

Hope it won't go down like last weekend

[TalismanRing]

Hope it won't go down like last weekend

 

Pray for grey skies and rain.

 

Really, how much the weather affects box office Europe is always so surprising. Heatwave or blizzard in the US it hardly makes a difference unless it's a record breaking in nature.  But some rain or sun in Europe changes everything.

[IndustriousAngel]

Weather seems to be cinematic, since the 2nd trend is higher for everything:

#1: A2 - 550k (-25%)

#2: FF7 - 175k (-15%)

#3/4: The Longest Ride / TB-Neverbeast with 175k each

#5: PBMC2 - 100k (+20% ... wow)

#6: Shaun - 85k (+35% ... insane)

 

Gunman will open to about 75k, nobody expected much anyway. But the story this (long) weekend are the family movies - especially Shaun going up that much with the latest Tinkerbell adventure opening, this should be the same age group and TB is doing exactly as predicted - really a surprise.

[IndustriousAngel]

final weekend trend looks even a bit better, for A2 and FF7 (575k and 200k)

[IndustriousAngel]

Germany's Top20 last weekend:

	title	admissions	th.	PTA	total	drop	week
1	Avengers 2	578.384	500	1.157	1.479.865	-18	2
2	Fast & Furious 7	198.092	625	317	3.859.798	-1	5
3	Tinkerbell / Neverbeast	171.770	433	397	186.085	-	1
4	The Longest Ride	163.376	375	436	185,034	-	1
5	Paul Blart Mall Cop 2	124.069	584	212	528.517	+47	4
6	Shaun the Sheep	91.672	733	125	1.585.263	+45	7
7	Der Nanny	81.283	555	146	1.503.109	+26	6
8	Run All Night	51.869	430	121	226.466	+0	3
9	The Gunman	49.990	325	154	74.397	-	1
10	Home	45.980	508	91	610.238	+35	6
11	A Little Chaos	35.403	78	454	38.593	-	1
12	Ex Machina	31.407	112	280	89.917	+22	2
13	Halbe Brüder	31.116	291	107	229.365	-3	4
14	Big Eyes	22.014	135	163	71.701	-2	2
15	Honig im Kopf	21.548	360	60	6.810.863	+43	19
16	Best Exotic Marigold Hotel 2	19.806	367	54	235.543	+9	5
17	Cinderella	18.324	284	65	1.030.878	+5	8
18	Gespensterjäger	15.710	335	47	162.394	+37	5
19	Elser - Er hätte die Welt verändert	15.182	190	80	104.786	+47	4
20	Fünf Freunde 4	13.079	128	102	959.194	+26	14

 

Very nice holds and increases all around, overall an extremely strong weekend with virtually no losers (except maybe opener "The Gunman" but nobody expected anything here in the first way). While this was a holiday weekend and we should expect step drops next week, A2 is firmly on track to 2,5mil admissions - 3mil however seem hard.

 

Next weekend:

Obviously distributors shied away from the coming weekend; nothing really interesting will be opening - Ferrell comedy "Get Hard" won't be more of a success than his previous outings; maybe "The Babadook" can surprise a little bit since horror fans must be starving by now. And "The Water Diviner" has ok reviews and Crowe, but with its foreign theme I doubt if it can reach 50k.

[IndustriousAngel]

First trend for the weekend on insidekino.de, and it's back to workday business:

 

#1: A2 - 300k admissions (-50%)

#2: The Longest Ride - 100k (-40%)

#3/4: FF7 and TB-NB with 80k each (-60% FF7, -55%TB)

 

as mentioned, those drops are coming from a very strong holiday weekend so everything within expectations. A2 ahead of A1 by about 300k.

 

Best opener with about 50k: The Babadook, pleasant surprise.

[IndustriousAngel]

ugh ... if the 2nd trend holds true, this is shaping up to become one ugly ugly weekend

 

#1: A2 - 210k (-65%)

#2: The Longest Ride - 100k (-40%)

#3: FF7 - 70k (-65%)

#4: TB-NB - 50k (-70%)