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Anyone else starting to wonder if next weekend's Top 2 will be Despicable Me 2 and Monsters University?

Well, Disney will be happy and sad at the same time. :lol:

Edited by druv10
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Anyone else starting to wonder if next weekend's Top 2 will be Despicable Me 2 and Monsters University?

Yeah it depends how well it holds this weekend. IF it stays at number one is around 50 million. It could be the top 2. However TLR is tracking very well. So if it meets the tracking expectations then MU will be bumped to numbers 3. 

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That would be awesome especially with DM2 opening in a week. :D

 

True, but at least a 3.5 multiplier.  Maybe 4 is too high.

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MU will fall close to 50% that week.  Look at KFP when WallE opened:

 

http://boxofficemojo.com/weekend/chart/?yr=2008&wknd=26&p=.htm

 

MADAGASCAR: EMW had a good drop when BRAVE opened. http://www.boxofficemojo.com/weekend/chart/?yr=2012&wknd=25&p=.htm

 

The same thing with TOY STORY lll when DESPICABLE ME opened. http://www.boxofficemojo.com/weekend/chart/?view=&yr=2010&wknd=28&p=.htm

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MADAGASCAR: EMW had a good drop when BRAVE opened. http://www.boxofficemojo.com/weekend/chart/?yr=2012&wknd=25&p=.htm

 

The same thing with TOY STORY lll when DESPICABLE ME opened. http://www.boxofficemojo.com/weekend/chart/?view=&yr=2010&wknd=28&p=.htm

 

TS3 is a freak

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MADAGASCAR: EMW had a good drop when BRAVE opened. http://www.boxofficemojo.com/weekend/chart/?yr=2012&wknd=25&p=.htm

 

The same thing with TOY STORY lll when DESPICABLE ME opened. http://www.boxofficemojo.com/weekend/chart/?view=&yr=2010&wknd=28&p=.htm

 

The real problem is maintaing healthy number of screens, average be damned.

With LONE RANGER, a Disney movie, opening, BV has to concede some

screens to Johnny Depp's potential franchise. Plus, DM2 will steamroll

everything else. That weekend is very trying for MU

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The real problem is maintaing healthy number of screens, average be damned.

With LONE RANGER, a Disney movie, opening, BV has to concede some

screens to Johnny Depp's potential franchise. Plus, DM2 will steamroll

everything else. That weekend is very trying for MU

 

MU has just opened. And it's doing well too. I don't think it's the movie that will lose screens.

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great?

 

Monsters,Inc. did $256m 12 years ago($290m with th re-release in 3d)

 

So 290 M is terrible now? Things have changed. Hollywood didn't have huge piracy-downloading issues before. When MI was released, there were just like what, 2 high profile animated films. Now it's at least 12 a year. This comparison isn't really fair, imo.

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No one thought this would pass IM3.

Telemachos did said this could pass Spider-Man 1, so you are either not paying attention or you are flip flopping. Regardless, I did some reserarch on the MoS thread and I will post it here:

 

 

Where the fuck did we get 1B from? Seriously guys, chill out.You guys are setting this forum up for disappointments.Lets keep the cool and remain at80M - 100M OW280M - 310M DOM600M - 700M WW

 

 

I have this at 850 M worldwide.

 

 

I think people fail to realize that MoS BO will probably have more in common to STiD than IM3. Less than a month to find out.

 

 

That's not going to work either. Buzz is through the roof and trailers for it have been best so far this year. :wub::wub::wub:

 

125/350/500/850

 

 

Domestically Man of Steel will be closer too Iron Man 3 than people expect IMO

 

 

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I heard that the chinese release date is set for late august, early september.

 

Honestly I love superman to death and I believe in the character's potential but I really hope people here aren't serious when they say they're expecting numbers between 700-1billion, this simply won't happen especially with a stagnant franchise that's trying to rebuild it's once blockbuster status. Even if the movie is brilliant (think casino royale, BB, ST09 as reboot examples) it would be hard pressed to make numbers that exceed SR's (adjusted + 3D+market expansion), which is around 500-550 mill; you all have to remember that even a mega popular character like batman had to claw its way up to the top, it didn't happen over night. 

I really hope that this movie proves its quality and builds a strong reputation over the short coming years thus allowing the sequels to reach their billion dollar numbers.

 

 

You don't love Superman to death.

 

 

Why? because I don't think superman is going to make a billion? I'm simply being pragmatic with my expectations; one has to remember that this film is primarily about rebuilding faith rather than breaking records.

 

 

250m domestic would be shockingly low. that is about as many tickets as SR sold.

 

 

If MoS makes a similar run to STiD instead of the insane expectations people have been throwing at this thread it'll be nothing to be ashamed of, neither means that the general audience only cares about Marvel films. If MoS makes $250m DOM and fest to $500m-$700m OS it'll mean that Warner has successfully established Superman as one of the big players once again. MoS isn't a sequel like STiD, it's the first chapter of a reboot after Superman Returns seven years ago. I wouldn't be surprised or sad if MoS acts like a successful reboot, I'll be scared if the movie isn't good, thankfully that doesn't seem the case.

 

 

It'll be like TASM last year if everything goes according to the plan. Hopefully people will understand that a reboot doing similar or surpassing TASM at the box office is a huge thing, since TASM stands right now as the most successful reboot box office wise and one of the most successful reboots out there quality wise, next to Batman Begins.

 

 

I think if it does 600M WW+, everything will be fine. Of course I´m hoping for much more   :ph34r:

 

 

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