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Indian Box Office Thread | Jawan overtakes Pathaan, becomes highest grossing Indian movie of 2023

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grim22 Global Phenomenon

grim22

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This week, one of the biggest Bollywood blockbusters 'Ek Tha Tiger' will be released.

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Advance sales are simply phenomenal. All opening records are going to be shattered. It is releasing on Wednesday which is a a holiday (Independence Day). The opening day gross should cross 25 crore nett mark.

The 5-day opening might even come close to 100-crore mark if the WOM is good.

Predictions:

OD: 26 crore ($6.5M)

OW: 95 crore ($24M)

This one is going to be HUGE. Kabir Khan directing gives me hope that it will also be a good movie in addition to being a Salman Khan movie. These movies have become their own sub-genre: Bhai Porn. Opening weekend can be depressed a bit since Eid is a couple of days away, but i think this can be the second 200 crore grosser in history. The 300 crores of "3 Idiots" is out of reach IMHO.

Looking at the release slate this year, i can't see any movie challenging this for biggest grosser. The SRK-YRF collaboration on Diwali would have been a contender, but clashing with "Son of Sardaar" will not do it any good. "Talaash" has not looked exciting yet and the buzz is just not present for the movie.

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Fake Global Phenomenon

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This one is going to be HUGE. Kabir Khan directing gives me hope that it will also be a good movie in addition to being a Salman Khan movie. These movies have become their own sub-genre: Bhai Porn. Opening weekend can be depressed a bit since Eid is a couple of days away, but i think this can be the second 200 crore grosser in history. The 300 crores of "3 Idiots" is out of reach IMHO.

If you are talking about total gross, Dabangg and Bodyguard also grossed 200 crore or thereabouts.

Looking at the release slate this year, i can't see any movie challenging this for biggest grosser. The SRK-YRF collaboration on Diwali would have been a contender, but clashing with "Son of Sardaar" will not do it any good. "Talaash" has not looked exciting yet and the buzz is just not present for the movie.

You forgot Dabangg 2. It can definitely challenge Ek Tha Tiger. Sequels always increase here.As for Talaash, the buzz is not much at the moment, agreed, but I am sure it will pick up in coming months. It won't get record-breaking opening, that's for sure, but the movie could definitely get some sweet legs if it is good enough.
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grim22 Global Phenomenon

grim22

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If you are talking about total gross, Dabangg and Bodyguard also grossed 200 crore or thereabouts.You forgot Dabangg 2. It can definitely challenge Ek Tha Tiger. Sequels always increase here.As for Talaash, the buzz is not much at the moment, agreed, but I am sure it will pick up in coming months. It won't get record-breaking opening, that's for sure, but the movie could definitely get some sweet legs if it is good enough.

I am going by Boxofficeindia.com Dabangg grossed 187.5 crore. Bodyguard figures are not given yet, but after week 1 it fell off drastically, so safe to assume it grossed less than Dabangg overall. http://www.boxofficeindia.com/showProd.php?itemCat=317&catName=MjAxMC0yMDE5I completely forgot about Dabangg 2, i feel it will open huge like always, but the novelty factor which was present with the original Dabangg may be missing this time. The only currently announced movie which i think can open really huge (maybe even 100 crore in 5 days huge) is Dhoom 3. It has a lot of factors working for it, the return of Jai and Ali after a long time, Aamir Khan playing a villain for the first time (IIRC), and the goodwill built up by the last 2 installments.
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grim22 Global Phenomenon

grim22

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If you are talking about total gross, Dabangg and Bodyguard also grossed 200 crore or thereabouts.You forgot Dabangg 2. It can definitely challenge Ek Tha Tiger. Sequels always increase here.As for Talaash, the buzz is not much at the moment, agreed, but I am sure it will pick up in coming months. It won't get record-breaking opening, that's for sure, but the movie could definitely get some sweet legs if it is good enough.

Apparently, "3 Idiots" ended with 269 crore, so it is the only one to cross 200 crore in India.
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Fake Global Phenomenon

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Ek Tha Tiger has taken mind-blowing opening all over India. It is demolishing records in each and every part of the country.

But more importantly, the movie is getting very good WOM as well.

It is not as amazing as '3 Idiots' of course, but most critics are calling it the best Salman Khan movie yet. Still the opening will be so huge that it might even challenge 3 Idiots' gross!

At this point 150 crore is locked. Only question is, how high can it go.

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Rudolf Box Office Gold

Rudolf

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Ek Tha Tiger grossed 32 crore nett on its opening day!

In USD, that equates to over $8M.

Previous record was 22 crore nett only!

that is a lot

Japanese record Alice is 7.6m

Russian record JC 6m

China record TF3 15m

Australia record DH2 7m

UK DH1(?old record) £5.9 m

France record SM2 804 345 admissions

SK record Transformers 3: 544,995 admissions

That are about 4m admissions?

Edited by Rudolf
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Fake Global Phenomenon

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that is a lotJapanese record Alice is 7.6mRussian record JC 6mChina record TF3 15mThat are about 4m admissions?

Ticket prices were hiked at many places. So probably closer to 3.5m.That's the attendance record outside NA for sure. Do you know what is the gross record? If Japan had only 7.6m, then only China and UK might have gotten bigger OD than this.
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grim22 Global Phenomenon

grim22

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So will Avatar 2 or Avengers 2 or Spiderman movie beat this number.

No Hollywood movie will ever get this wide a release nor appeal to the Indian heartland enough to come anywhere close to this number. Of the future movies, only "A Yash Raj Romance"(Untitled), "Dabangg 2" and "Dhoom 3" have a chance to break this.
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jb007 Box Office Gold

jb007

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"Ek Tha Tiger" did some stupendous business on Day 1 and it has created some new records by some distance. Film is now poised to post record breaking numbers in coming days.

As we reported earlier in the day, film will drop today as it is not holiday. But situation has become really interesting after we spoke to few distributors of different territories.

Film has witnessed heavy drops in most of the circuits. In CI where film smashed all records yesterday, film dropped around 55% to 60%. Film dropped more drastically in interiors and single screens which is surprising considering Salman's pull in these areas.

Film dropped at similar levels in Mysore, Nizam, West Bengal, CP and Rajasthan. Delhi/UP still doing fine and Mumbai dropped by 50%. Overall drop is a bit worrisome for distributors and it is a drop of 55% on an average all India level.

There might be reasons for this drop i.e. today is a working day and yesterday film witnessed such a high number that there was bound to be a drop. But there is feeling among trade that word of mouth is negative and too much international feel harmed the prospects especially loyal fan base of Sallu Bhai in smaller centers. Audience did not like Kabir Khan's direction and too much of romance instead of action.

We will update you with final figures in the evening but it seems that today will be a tough day for TIGER after 32 cr nett plus on Day one.

http://www.boxofficecapsule.com/boxoffice-collections.aspx

Looks like the movie dropped heavily on the second day. It was bound to drop on a working day. But if the 55% national drop turns out to be true, the movie may not sustain given the negative WOM.

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