Weekend Estimates: Gravity - 55.5M; CWACM - $21.5M ;RR - 7.6M;

[Bond Bug]

I seriously wouldn't count 300m out if this nears 60m for OW. 5x multi is in the cards, imo.

Agreed there. If this opens to 60m with this level of WOM, 250m is almost a lock and 300m is very possible. 

[ChD]

I wouldn't be too excited just now. It might end up like Prisoners. A great Drama/Thriller that's going to drop normally.

[Claire of Themyscira]

I'd love that to happen, but I'm afraid we might overpredict this. I want that to happen so much though, ugh.

[Dementeleus]

The 

Clooney spirit guide telling her about the landing rocket.

That just felt very contrived and written out of convenience. Not enough of a quibble to prevent enjoyment of the movie, but it just felt weird since it is pretty clear that 

it is either a dream, or she is in heaven since her character survived explosive decompression.

 

Oh. See, I took that as

her subconscious talking to her. Low oxygen levels make people loopy, so (in retrospect) her hallucination wasn't surprising... as it was information she should/would already know.

[Dementeleus]

I wouldn't be too excited just now. It might end up like Prisoners. A great Drama/Thriller that's going to drop normally.

 

I'll just say this. Ask anyone (here or elsewhere) who's seen it (1) they plan to see it again and (2) if they're going to recommend to friends that they *have* to see it in theaters. I think the vast majority will answer "yes" to both.

[The Stingray]

Are we seriously talking about 300m now? Really?

[TLK]

Wait for Saturday numbers at least before talking about $300 million. I think the hype will make this movie frontloaded and this will end up doing much better in bigger markets,

[tonytr87]

I wouldn't be too excited just now. It might end up like Prisoners. A great Drama/Thriller that's going to drop normally.

 

Not sure how you can compare. Prisoners was great but it's a film about child abduction and it intentionally robs the audience of an emotional catharsis in the end. That combination is the reason for its relatively mediocre legs. 

[Gopher]

Wait for second weekend numbers before talking about 200 million, let alone 300. 

[Bond Bug]

Wait for Saturday numbers at least before talking about $300 million. I think the hype will make this movie frontloaded and this will end up doing much better in bigger markets,

I'm not seeing a lot of hype for this movie, other than incredible reviews.

[Bond Bug]

Wait for second weekend numbers before talking about 200 million, let alone 300. 

Come next weekend it will have already made $125m. 

[The Stingray]

Wait for second weekend numbers before talking about 200 million, let alone 300. 

A movie does a little better than expected (on day 1, mind you), and fanboys go nuts. Happens over and over again.

[Bond Bug]

A movie does a little better than expected (on day 1, mind you), and fanboys go nuts. Happens over and over again.

Who are the "fanboys" for this movie? It is original material.

[Dementeleus]

Who are the "fanboys" for this movie? It is original material.

 

Cuaronites. You gotta watch out for those scumbags.

[vc2002]

 

Pamela McClintock ‏@PamelaDayM7m

#Gravity gets an A- CinemaScore, not the A or A+ that some were expecting. 'Runner Runner' almost flunks, gets a C.

 

 

hmm......

[fmpro]

hmm......

 

[Chewy]

Cuaronites vs GDTZombies is the new Marvel vs DC

[DeeCee]

Pretty disappointing. Gravity will open nowhere near $100m now.

[zackzack]

Are we seriously talking about 300m now? Really?

 

$200M plus DOM can be expected.

Bigger overseas, this can be a very 

good success for Warner:

$500M to $600M WW is very possible now...

[Tower]

when a movie is good, shorter runtime = more screening = bigger box office

when a movie is bad, longer runtime = less screening = smaller box office

 

So not a joke

 

Checks the biggest DOM all time... Avatar was 2H 40M.

Checks biggest opening of all time... The avengers was 2H 22M.

 

I don't think that the runtime is the problem.

Edited October 5, 2013 by Tower