Weekend Estimates: Thor TDW 86.1M, Ender 10.25, Free Birds 11.2, Grav 8.4, BG 11.3, Last Vegas 11.1

[Talkie]

Anyway, disappointing numbers for Thor. I really hope other movies are holding well to pick up the slack.

 

Are you talking about the $88M OW projection? Or have concrete OD numbers come out? 

[kayumanggi]

Are you talking about the $88M OW projection? Or have concrete OD numbers come out? 

 

Only estimates from Nikki and Gitesh. Both say mid 70s to low 80s.

[sdeezy]

I'm waiting for RTH the gawd to grace us with his presence

[Captain Craig]

http://www.boxoffice.com/latest-news/2013-11-07-north-america-thor-the-dark-world-already-selling-well-on-fandangoFriday Update #2: Thor: The Dark World looks to be on pace for $88 million based on early Friday grosses. A surge this evening is likely, and the sequel could end up with more than $90 million if everything goes well.Thor: The Dark World is the latest effort to benefit from the success of The Avengers. An opening of $88 million would represent a 34% increase over the $65.7 million debut of 2011's Thor.The first two weekends of release are crucial for The Dark World because the release of The Hunger Games: Catching Fire on November 22 will definitely hinder it.Check back tomorrow morning for official studio estimates and updated projections.

I'll take it, I think I predicted 95m at one point during all this.

[Deep Wang]

Jesus. Another Friday estimate thread, another night of constant ups and downs.I'm waiting for RTH.

[FTF]

I wish BKB was here. Please unbann him.

BKB says: a $85m ow is thunderous and right on track for the $400m dom total I predicted it, and every marvel superhero movie, would make after Avengers.

[FTF]

Jesus. Another Friday estimate thread, another night of constant ups and downs.I'm waiting for RTH.

So goes every Friday thread for big releases unfortunately.

[ecstasy]

So if this finishes with 182 M, that's a win? If X-M: DOFP finishes with 147 M, 150 M, 160 M it's also a win?

 

I also don't think anyone here apart from BKB expected this to be IRON MAN. Most of the predictions are between 90 M - 100 M for the opening and 240 M - 300 M for the total.

 

And now if those estimates from Nikki and Guru hold, 200 M might not even happen. Of course the numbers can still change, but I'm not sure if "win" would be an apt word considering all factors.

 

I'm not about to get into this with you Kayu. 

[Magic]

Maybe Rth isn't coming. 

[ecstasy]

Hello ECSTACY.I disagree that there is "no IM3 effect" otherwise you have to discount any "Avengers Effect" (who the heck really knows anyway?).However, I wholeheartedly agree that "Thor was never gonna be a huge blockbuster like IM". Just a regular blockbuster, nothing huge about it. Low 200s is a good target. You'd probably just call that "sequel growth".

 

 

I'm sorry you just can't convince me that IM3 has any kind of negative effect on Thor.  If you say that then it would have to apply to Captain America too.

[kowhite]

BKB says: a $85m ow is thunderous and right on track for the $400m dom total I predicted it, and every marvel superhero movie, would make after Avengers.

It's be right on track for 400m DBO for the...Thor franchise.I'm SURE that's what he meant. Really, I mean it.

[kowhite]

I'm sorry you just can't convince me that IM3 has any kind of negative effect on Thor.  If you say that then it would have to apply to Captain America too.

Yeah I don't buy that. The biggest thing Thor (and Cap) have going against it is...well, it's not iron man.

[iceroll]

So if this finishes with 182 M, that's a win? If X-M: DOFP finishes with 147 M, 150 M, 160 M it's also a win?

 

I also don't think anyone here apart from BKB expected this to be IRON MAN. Most of the predictions are between 90 M - 100 M for the opening and 240 M - 300 M for the total.

 

And now if those estimates from Nikki and Guru hold, 200 M might not even happen. Of course the numbers can still change, but I'm not sure if "win" would be an apt word considering all factors.

Yea I agree that anything under 200m would be a disappointment, and under Thor would be a failure compared to expectations, like ST2 was.  There were so many factors that should have made Thor 2 so much bigger and just about everybody expected it to benefit and have a sizable increase.

[MrPink]

Yeah I don't buy that. The biggest thing Thor (and Cap) have going against it is...well, it's not iron man.

 

More specifically it's not RDJ, yo.

[kowhite]

More specifically it's not RDJ, yo.

Fair point, I agree.

[kayumanggi]

I'm not about to get into this with you Kayu. 

 

No, please reply. What were your predictions by the way?

[ban1o]

where is RTH? 

[ecstasy]

No, please reply. What were your predictions by the way?

 

85-90m. 250m max.

[lab276]

As long as it opens bigger and grosses more than the first one. It's a win. Stop the madness. And there is no IM3 effect. I guess if Thor is suffering from it, then Captain America will too. Thor was never gonna be a huge blockbuster like IM. It just wasn't. There was no way it could go from a 60m opening weekend to a some ridiculous 120.  It's a lovely thought but it just wasn't happening.

I don't think 90m was asking for that much.

[Chewy]

where is RTH? 

 

Doing godly stuff