Weekend Estimates: Thor TDW 86.1M, Ender 10.25, Free Birds 11.2, Grav 8.4, BG 11.3, Last Vegas 11.1

[boomboom234]

Okay I was talking about major tent pole movies not sleeper hits which by definition have to have decent to great legs if they want to be succesful

[baumer]

No movie not named despicable Me 2 had great legs this summer it was too crowded for the first couple months

 

Now You See Me

This is the End

WWZ

The Heat

We're The Millers

The Butler

The Conjuring

Grown Ups 2

Planes 

Turbo

 

All had multipliers over 3.

 

Plenty of films had good multipliers this summer.

[baumer]

If that is true, then he needs to edit a tom of posts in the Thor thread.

 

You guys should know the rules by now.  This is to discuss box office, not plot and definitely not spoilers.

[Jonwo]

Thor has done very well, I imagine Captain America will try and beat the $89m April OW record set by Fast and Furious 5 same with Guardians of the Galaxy in August.

[John Marston]

Can Cap 2 open higher than this?

[baumer]

Not really, it can do 25m previews + 22m midnights then all it needs to do is 45m day business.

 

And what films have done that before?  You think midnights and previews are going to add up to 47 mill?  Sorry Ice, you're one of my fave posters but that is absolutely impossible.

[Magic]

Can Cap 2 open higher than this?

 

Don't know. I'm doubtful.

[Chewy]

Can Cap 2 open higher than this?

 

Let's see how high this opens first, lol

[AdamKendall]

Can Cap 2 open higher than this?

I sense huge female fan base for Loki & Thor ... I don't think the same for Cap, but I know gals who love Chris Evans as well.

 

Regardless, I'll be there opening Thursday evening.

Edited November 9, 2013 by Adam

[CaptainJackSparrow]

Can Cap 2 open higher than this?

YES! That will be marketed as Avengers 1.5!

[DMan7]

Still waiting for official numbers for this but it seems pretty underwhelming so far. The Loki factor hasn't helped much at all but it still got an avengers boost.

[Blankments]

Let's see how high this opens first, lol

 

I wonder how this opening affects Avengers 3 box office projections.

[boomboom234]

Going into the summer the biggest movies were Star Trek, Man of Steel, Iron Man 3 , Gatsby, Despicable Me 2, WWZ, Monsters university, and Lone Ranger only a few of those movies had good multipliers and those other movies that you mentioned were not considered actual summer tent poles and the amount of money they made can't really be compared to the amount of money the tent poles make. We're the Millers was a success but Iron man 3 out grossed the movie domestically in its opening weekend

[starkster]

Can Cap 2 open higher than this?

It's getting amazing reactions so far since the 5 mins footage leaked and with a better marketting strategy why not? It would be very very tough but I hope it can tbh

[baumer]

Okay I was talking about major tent pole movies not sleeper hits which by definition have to have decent to great legs if they want to be succesful

 

Every movie I mentioned is a tent-pole.

[iceroll]

Going into the summer the biggest movies were Star Trek, Man of Steel, Iron Man 3 , Gatsby, Despicable Me 2, WWZ, Monsters university, and Lone Ranger only a few of those movies had good multipliers and those other movies that you mentioned were not considered actual summer tent poles and the amount of money they made can't really be compared to the amount of money the tent poles make. We're the Millers was a success but Iron man 3 out grossed the movie domestically in its opening weekend

You're comparing IM3 to a Jennifer Aniston comedy...

[CaptainJackSparrow]

You guys should know the rules by now. This is to discuss box office, not plot and definitely not spoilers.

I'm just Saying, by that definition, a lot of people have broken the rules in the Thor thread.

[Jonwo]

I think Captain America has the potential to do $75-80m minimum, it had a slightly bigger opening than Thor and that was against Deathly Hallow Part II's second weekend, the competition in April with Divergent, Noah, Muppets Most Wanted is nowhere near as tough.

[boomboom234]

Now You See Me  75 million

This is the End 32 million

The Heat  43 million

We're The Millers 37 million

The Butler 30 million

The Conjuring 20 million

Grown Ups 2 80 million

Planes 50 million

Turbo was a bomb

 

Tent Poles are films that usually have at least over 100 million in production costs the only two by the loosest definition are Now You see Me and Grown Ups 2 the rest are not no matter how much they made

[John Marston]

Cap 's trailer was far and away better than Thor. 2'a. That's one advantage