Clef Ment Posted November 13, 2013 Share Posted November 13, 2013 Thor2 Tues about 5.4m Nooo. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stripe Posted November 13, 2013 Share Posted November 13, 2013 FLOP Avengers 2 will be lucky to reach 200M now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Goffe Posted November 13, 2013 Share Posted November 13, 2013 I concur, look at this weekend http://boxofficemojo.com/weekend/chart/?yr=2013&wknd=21&p=.htmMarvel films always seem to have decent holds regardless of competition did I miss something? IM3 multiplier was 2.3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stripe Posted November 13, 2013 Share Posted November 13, 2013 did I miss something? IM3 multiplier was 2.3 Multipliers are usually lower when the film opens massively. Looking at IM3 weekly drops, it weren't that bad. -58% -48% -38% -59% -31% Now, let's translate this drops to Thor 2 projecting a first week of 110M 46M 24M 15M 6M 4M After week 6, following IM3 legs, it will be at 205M. That's a x2.4 multiplier, better than IM3 and without late legs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LexJoker Posted November 13, 2013 Share Posted November 13, 2013 Predicting the Fri to Sat jump next weekend for TDW to be between 80-100% Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lilmac Posted November 13, 2013 Share Posted November 13, 2013 (edited) So a 50% drop for Tuesday since Monday was a Holiday? Edited November 13, 2013 by lilmac Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
keysersoze123 Posted November 13, 2013 Share Posted November 13, 2013 Predicting the Fri to Sat jump next weekend for TDW to be between 80-100% 100% jump for this is impossible. its not a kids film. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rashad30 Posted November 13, 2013 Share Posted November 13, 2013 So a slight drop for Tuesday since Monday was a Holiday? Slight? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lilmac Posted November 13, 2013 Share Posted November 13, 2013 (edited) Slight? Yes, we had an abnormally large Monday so.... Edited November 13, 2013 by lilmac Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sdeezy Posted November 13, 2013 Share Posted November 13, 2013 5.4 mill is a very harsh drop 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MadeofStars Posted November 13, 2013 Share Posted November 13, 2013 Quick hypothesis about Tuesday #'s (this will be quickly proven or disproven tomorrow). While Agents of S.H.I.E.L.D. isn't exactly a monster hit, it does seem to be drawing around 7 million viewers each Tuesday -- it would only take about 3% of those viewers to make up the difference between Skyfall's Tuesday #'s and Thor's Tuesday #'s. I'm not saying that the #'s would necessarily be the same without the show, but if 3% or more of those folks would've watched the Marvel movie on Tuesday night and decided, instead, that they wanted to catch the Marvel TV show, then we'd be seeing a slightly larger dip than normal. Just need to wait and see if there's an atypical jump on Wednesday. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LexJoker Posted November 13, 2013 Share Posted November 13, 2013 Why are numbers coming out so late? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ecstasy Posted November 13, 2013 Author Share Posted November 13, 2013 Why are numbers coming out so late? It's still early. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stripe Posted November 13, 2013 Share Posted November 13, 2013 (edited) Quick hypothesis about Tuesday #'s (this will be quickly proven or disproven tomorrow). While Agents of S.H.I.E.L.D. isn't exactly a monster hit, it does seem to be drawing around 7 million viewers each Tuesday -- it would only take about 3% of those viewers to make up the difference between Skyfall's Tuesday #'s and Thor's Tuesday #'s. I'm not saying that the #'s would necessarily be the same without the show, but if 3% or more of those folks would've watched the Marvel movie on Tuesday night and decided, instead, that they wanted to catch the Marvel TV show, then we'd be seeing a slightly larger dip than normal. Just need to wait and see if there's an atypical jump on Wednesday. Very interesting factor Welcome to the forums! Edited November 13, 2013 by stripe Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
keysersoze123 Posted November 13, 2013 Share Posted November 13, 2013 Quick hypothesis about Tuesday #'s (this will be quickly proven or disproven tomorrow). While Agents of S.H.I.E.L.D. isn't exactly a monster hit, it does seem to be drawing around 7 million viewers each Tuesday -- it would only take about 3% of those viewers to make up the difference between Skyfall's Tuesday #'s and Thor's Tuesday #'s. I'm not saying that the #'s would necessarily be the same without the show, but if 3% or more of those folks would've watched the Marvel movie on Tuesday night and decided, instead, that they wanted to catch the Marvel TV show, then we'd be seeing a slightly larger dip than normal. Just need to wait and see if there's an atypical jump on Wednesday. Welcome to the forums. Even though this seems out of left field thanks for bringing it up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Squaremaster316 Posted November 13, 2013 Share Posted November 13, 2013 because Catching Fire has more male appeal than Twilight does which can cross over with Thor. Reviews indicate Catching Fire also seems to be a stronger film quality wise. Larger, more diverse fan base than Twilight + strong critical reviews = Poor late legs for Thor. When TDKR debuted, TASM made an additional 44M+. Any thoughts as to how much Thor will make beyond its first two weeks of release? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Terrific Posted November 13, 2013 Share Posted November 13, 2013 I'm hopeful that the AoS theory explains the severity of the drop. Conservatively...To $110m through 11/14To $145 through 11/17To $155 through 11/21To $170 through 11/24To $190 through 12/1To $200 through 12/8 I hoped for something more, but it keeps the Marvel train moving. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
grim22 Posted November 13, 2013 Share Posted November 13, 2013 (edited) Quick hypothesis about Tuesday #'s (this will be quickly proven or disproven tomorrow). While Agents of S.H.I.E.L.D. isn't exactly a monster hit, it does seem to be drawing around 7 million viewers each Tuesday -- it would only take about 3% of those viewers to make up the difference between Skyfall's Tuesday #'s and Thor's Tuesday #'s. I'm not saying that the #'s would necessarily be the same without the show, but if 3% or more of those folks would've watched the Marvel movie on Tuesday night and decided, instead, that they wanted to catch the Marvel TV show, then we'd be seeing a slightly larger dip than normal. Just need to wait and see if there's an atypical jump on Wednesday. SHIELD had it's lowest rating so far with a 2.2 in the demo (down over 50% from the premiere episode of 4.7) With most of the die-hards watching it "On demand" I really doubt if it had a huge impact yesterday. But we will have to wait for Wednesday numbers like you said http://tvbythenumbers.zap2it.com/2013/11/13/tv-ratings-tuesday-marvels-agents-of-s-h-i-e-l-d-hits-low-chicago-fire-returns-up-person-of-interest-the-originals-supernatural-rise/215372/ On ABC, Marvel’s Agents of S.H.I.E.L.D. scored a series low 2.2 down 12 percent from last week’s 2.5 adults 18-49 rating. Edited November 13, 2013 by grim22 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jessie Posted November 13, 2013 Share Posted November 13, 2013 Reviews indicate Catching Fire also seems to be a stronger film quality wise. Larger, more diverse fan base than Twilight + strong critical reviews = Poor late legs for Thor. When TDKR debuted, TASM made an additional 44M+. Any thoughts as to how much Thor will make beyond its first two weeks of release?Not a fair comparison, TDKR and TASM appeal to the same audience. Catching Fire, whether people like to admit it or not appeals to the twilight crowd. It will still effect thor, but not as much as TDKR affected Spidey. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
fmpro Posted November 13, 2013 Share Posted November 13, 2013 Thor2 Tues about 5.4mYouMustBe KiddingMe Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
