Jake Gittes Posted January 3, 2015 Share Posted January 3, 2015 Whiplash is getting nominated in any case I think. I'd certainly place it above Into the Woods, Unbroken and Sniper. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoolioD1 Posted January 3, 2015 Share Posted January 3, 2015 Whiplash, American Sniper, Unbroken, Nightcrawler are all movies I could see doing better than people expect w/ nominations. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
All about Eve - old Posted January 3, 2015 Share Posted January 3, 2015 (edited) Boyhood, Birdman be darned. If Paddington doesn't sweep - best actor for the bear included, Hollywood should burrrrn. And the tiny tot behind me who screamed throughout and kicked my seat repeatedly surely agrees. Edited January 3, 2015 by All about Eve 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Empire Posted January 3, 2015 Share Posted January 3, 2015 Boyhood, Birdman be darned. If Paddington doesn't sweep - best actor for the bear included, Hollywood should burrrrn. And the tot behind me who screamed throughout and kicked my seat repeatedly probably agrees. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Asyulus Posted January 4, 2015 Share Posted January 4, 2015 1.GOTG 2.Hobbit 3 3.Transformers 4 4.Boyhood 5.Birdman 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Halba Posted January 4, 2015 Share Posted January 4, 2015 (edited) Birdman, it should get at least 8 (BP, BD, Screenplay, 3 acting noms, Cinematography, Editing). Can't see Selma or The Imitation Game match that. doesnt mean birdman > boyhood, selma. selma, boyhood are better movies. Edited January 4, 2015 by Halba Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Asyulus Posted January 4, 2015 Share Posted January 4, 2015 I hate Boyhood, it was way boring. So nothing special 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Halba Posted January 4, 2015 Share Posted January 4, 2015 (edited) nominations will be - in order of contention 1. boyhood 2. selma* 3. birdman 4. the imitation game 5. grand budapest hotel 6. the theory of everything 7. whiplash 8. foxcatcher 9. gone girl 10. nightcrawler alternates: mr turner, a most violent year i am picking * = selma to win. Edited January 4, 2015 by Halba Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahnamahna Posted January 4, 2015 Share Posted January 4, 2015 nominations will be - in order of contention 1. boyhood 2. selma* 3. birdman 4. the imitation game 5. grand budapest hotel 6. the theory of everything 7. whiplash 8. foxcatcher 9. gone girl 10. nightcrawler alternates: mr turner, a most violent year i am picking * = selma to win. Sorry, I don't see Into the Woods missing. Meryl Streep will assure a BP nod It'll get in over Foxcatcher or Nightcrawler, I think. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jake Gittes Posted January 4, 2015 Share Posted January 4, 2015 Meryl Streep will assure a BP nod The last Streep film to be nominated for BP came out in 2002 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MovieMan89 Posted January 4, 2015 Share Posted January 4, 2015 After the big 8, there seems to be lots of things working against any other movie getting a BP nom. Foxcatcher has lost too much steam and I think too many people are finding it forgettable. Unbroken has the Globes snubs+poor reviews and given its director it needed much stronger ones to have a chance. Into the Woods is a Disney Rob Marshall musical so 3 strikes its out (yeah I know Marshall won big a decade or so ago but they haven't wanted to touch him with a ten foot pole ever since). A Most Violent Year and Inherent Vice are likely only getting 1 other nom, if even that, so a Picture nom would be odd. American Sniper hasn't gotten much of any awards attention and it's not very likely to get any noms so a BP nom would be even odder. Nightcrawler is too unusual for them and too much of an indie dark horse, especially since they already have that spot filled with Whiplash. Wild probably has the best shot since it could get 2 acting noms and a screenplay one and it's coming off a director with big awards momentum from last year, but BP still seems like a stretch for it. So yeah, sticking with just 8 this year. Maybe only 7 if Gone Girl does keep losing its momentum. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahnamahna Posted January 5, 2015 Share Posted January 5, 2015 After the big 8, there seems to be lots of things working against any other movie getting a BP nom. Foxcatcher has lost too much steam and I think too many people are finding it forgettable. Unbroken has the Globes snubs+poor reviews and given its director it needed much stronger ones to have a chance. Into the Woods is a Disney Rob Marshall musical so 3 strikes its out (yeah I know Marshall won big a decade or so ago but they haven't wanted to touch him with a ten foot pole ever since). A Most Violent Year and Inherent Vice are likely only getting 1 other nom, if even that, so a Picture nom would be odd. American Sniper hasn't gotten much of any awards attention and it's not very likely to get any noms so a BP nom would be even odder. Nightcrawler is too unusual for them and too much of an indie dark horse, especially since they already have that spot filled with Whiplash. Wild probably has the best shot since it could get 2 acting noms and a screenplay one and it's coming off a director with big awards momentum from last year, but BP still seems like a stretch for it. So yeah, sticking with just 8 this year. Maybe only 7 if Gone Girl does keep losing its momentum. I don't see just 8. Since there isn't really a BP frontrunner yet (some say Boyhood, some say Birdman, some say Selma, some say Imitation Game) - I could see 9-10 films getting 5-10% of the first-place votes. 7 definitely not, since there's nothing in 2014 that's truly dominant with the awards. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stripe Posted January 5, 2015 Share Posted January 5, 2015 I don't see just 8. Since there isn't really a BP frontrunner yet (some say Boyhood, some say Birdman, some say Selma, some say Imitation Game) - I could see 9-10 films getting 5-10% of the first-place votes. 7 definitely not, since there's nothing in 2014 that's truly dominant with the awards. That's why we could see a few surprising omissions / inclusions I'm still waiting for PGA and DGA 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahnamahna Posted January 5, 2015 Share Posted January 5, 2015 That's why we could see a few surprising omissions / inclusions I'm still waiting for PGA and DGA The only surprising inclusion for me would be LEGO Movie or Interstellar. Any other film was either a lock, dark-horse or longshot. No one is giving either of those two a chance. I could see surprise omissions, but surprise inclusions? Not likely. The Oscars are generally predictable. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
riczhang Posted January 5, 2015 Share Posted January 5, 2015 Of course we'll have 9 nominees again. We always have 9. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
filmlover Posted January 5, 2015 Share Posted January 5, 2015 What a mess. After PGA I'm thinking the line-up will be: American Sniper Birdman Boyhood Gone Girl The Grand Budapest Hotel The Imitation Game Selma The Theory of Everything Whiplash With Nightcrawler and Foxcatcher being the only movies that find a place (taking out one of American Sniper, Whiplash, or, given its weakness so far, Selma). Everything else is officially not even in the race anymore at this point. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalismanRing Posted January 5, 2015 Share Posted January 5, 2015 (edited) Selma is not going to be left off for Best Picture for not only less well reviewed films for less socially resonant ones. This is a template Oscar kind of film that's critically lauded unlike say Unbroken and by far the best reviewed Bio Pic on the slate. This is a matter of screener availability and the Academy got theirs. Edited January 5, 2015 by TalismanRing 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MovieMan89 Posted January 5, 2015 Share Posted January 5, 2015 (edited) Excluding Pixar films, Beauty and the Beast and Mary Poppins are the only 2 Disney films to ever be nominated for BP. So that's a big reason in itself why Woods is highly unlikely to get in, especially without the rave reception and massive success the aforementioned two movies recieved. Edited January 5, 2015 by MovieMan89 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rockNrollaDIM Posted January 5, 2015 Share Posted January 5, 2015 Will be hilarious if Selma missed best picture after all this. Mostly for the ultimate Crone meltdown. 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoolioD1 Posted January 5, 2015 Share Posted January 5, 2015 Def can be narrowed down to 11 films going for 9 (at most, but probably 9) spots. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
