Avatar: The Way of Water | 16 DEC 2022 | Don't worry guys, critics like it

[Deep Wang]

50 minutes ago, stuart360 said:

Kind of hope Ironjimbo is correct on all those clubs. Silencing the doubters yet again will be sooo sweet.

 

I'm considered a 'doubter' because I think it will only make it to(at least) the top 15 Domestic and Top 3 Worldwide.

 

Think about that for just one second, please!

[XXRDJisDoctorDoom]

Just now, Deep Wang said:

 

I'm considered a 'doubter' because I think it will only make it to(at least) the top 15 Domestic and Top 3 Worldwide.

 

Think about that for just one second, please!

Only top 15? John Carter of Pandora!

[Menor the Destroyer]

Anything below 3.5B is a flop. 

[IronJimbo]

15 minutes ago, Deep Wang said:

 

I'm considered a 'doubter' because I think it will only make it to(at least) the top 15 Domestic and Top 3 Worldwide.

 

Think about that for just one second, please!

James Cameron's last two films

Avatar: #1 Domestic, #1 Worldwide

Titanic: #1 Domestic, #1 Worldwide

Edited November 28, 2022 by IronJimbo

[Reddroast]

36 minutes ago, Deep Wang said:

 

I'm considered a 'doubter' because I think it will only make it to(at least) the top 15 Domestic and Top 3 Worldwide.

 

Think about that for just one second, please!

I have it penciled in for 1.5-1.85 billion WW and I'm a Doubter. It's insane

[Reddroast]

23 minutes ago, IronJimbo said:

James Cameron's last two films

Avatar: #1 Domestic, #1 Worldwide

Titanic: #1 Domestic, #1 Worldwide

2 films in 25 years is a worrying small sample size

[stuart360]

1 hour ago, NCsoft said:

There has been some comment from Landau that Disney is committed to a healthy theatrical window for this film, which to me, sounds like it's gonna be at least 90 days. 

 

Hopefully its daily numbers will be well below 1mil by that point. Dont want streaming to mess too much with the films gross!.

[stuart360]

2 minutes ago, Reddroast said:

2 films in 25 years is a worrying small sample size

Wow imagine trying to diminish the ridiculous feat of directing the 'biggest movie of all time' twice in a row.

[stuart360]

44 minutes ago, Deep Wang said:

 

I'm considered a 'doubter' because I think it will only make it to(at least) the top 15 Domestic and Top 3 Worldwide.

 

Think about that for just one second, please!

??? I didnt even reply to you, or reference you.😃

[IronJimbo]

5 minutes ago, Reddroast said:

I have it penciled in for 1.5-1.85 billion WW and I'm a Doubter. It's insane

I think even @Deep Wang agrees that is a doubter range for WW

[Deep Wang]

2 minutes ago, stuart360 said:

??? I didnt even reply to you, or reference you.😃

 

I know, it's more of a broad statement that I'm considered a doubter around these parts!

[M37]

50 minutes ago, Deep Wang said:

 

I'm considered a 'doubter' because I think it will only make it to(at least) the top 15 Domestic and Top 3 Worldwide.

 

Think about that for just one second, please!

Exactly! My $573 under line ($550-$600M) would still 13th all time DOM (I don’t follow WW enough to make a prediction there, but fwiw far less bearish on that end, probably same ballpark as you)

 

With that said, would still be a major drop-off in admissions from Avatar (and Titanic) with today’s ATP, so in some sense it is “doubting” Cameron to do it again. But that’s also a really high bar for expectations/success 

 

 

[Deep Wang]

35 minutes ago, IronJimbo said:

James Cameron's last two films

Avatar: #1 Domestic, #1 Worldwide

Titanic: #1 Domestic, #1 Worldwide

 

Yes, and in your world I'd still be a doubter if I was predicting $925m domestic and $2.8b worldwide.  So, yeah lol.

[stuart360]

2 minutes ago, Deep Wang said:

 

I know, it's more of a broad statement that I'm considered a doubter around these parts!

Well i havent checked the top 15 domestic charts in a while, but isnt there films like around 500mil and under in the top 15?. Thats a pretty ridiculous prediction for this film to be honest.

 

Same with some of those clubs Ironjimbo was referencing. I mean for a'enthusiast' box office forum, some of those clubs are pretty ridiculous, and stupid.

[Deep Wang]

3 minutes ago, stuart360 said:

Well i havent checked the top 15 domestic charts in a while, but isnt there films like around 500mil and under in the top 15?. Thats a pretty ridiculous prediction for this film to be honest.

 

Same with some of those clubs Ironjimbo was referencing. I mean for a'enthusiast' box office forum, some of those clubs are pretty ridiculous, and stupid.

 

15th place is Rogue One with $533m, which has been my minimum for years.  When I wrote that post in Jan 2019, it was actually 11th all time!   More importantly, I was flat WW, so around 2.7b at that time.  

 

I've never for once doubted this movie will be an insane earner.  There are just too many variables for me to blindly say, "Well, of course he's going to do it AGAIN."  

[stuart360]

2 minutes ago, Deep Wang said:

 

15th place is Rogue One with $533m, which has been my minimum for years.  When I wrote that post in Jan 2019, it was actually 11th all time!   More importantly, I was flat WW, so around 2.7b at that time.  

 

I've never for once doubted this movie will be an insane earner.  There are just too many variables for me to blindly say, "Well, of course he's going to do it AGAIN."  

Well yeah i mean all my predicitons (and i feel i have been quite conservative with my predicitions) are assuming the film will be great, and an amazing experience for movie fans.

If the film completely stinks (little chance imo) then maybe some of these lower predicitions will come into play.

[eddyxx]

Are all the protests in China likely to effect its gross there?

[Brainbug]

I kind of still doubt that it will come out btw

[IronJimbo]

38 minutes ago, eddyxx said:

Are all the protests in China likely to effect its gross there?

the covid lockdowns and the cause of the protests will impact the gross negatively

[XXRDJisDoctorDoom]

11 minutes ago, Brainbug said:

I kind of still doubt that it will come out btw

**Me when I think about the next Jurassic movie**