miketheavenger Posted August 5, 2014 Share Posted August 5, 2014 Yeah, you guys are probably right. But I don't think TMNT and Guardians will be that close to each other. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blackout Posted August 5, 2014 Share Posted August 5, 2014 I think Guardians will increase over 12m tomorrow, discount Tuesday has gotten larger since last year and spread into the US a little so I think the bump will be smaller than normal but still there.Thursday and Wednesday should also be smaller than normal drops.I think if the numbers keep going well we are in for a 46-47.5m weekend for Guardians. 47.5 is a <50% drop 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lilmac Posted August 5, 2014 Share Posted August 5, 2014 (edited) I hope so, DMan. But, I expect this one to finish right around where Caps 2 and LEGO finished. And, that's if it hold well this weekend and stays above $37M or so. I'm predicting $45m. #1 for the weekend. Biggest 2nd weekend this year (Cap2 had $41.74m) Edited August 5, 2014 by lilmac Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
miketheavenger Posted August 5, 2014 Share Posted August 5, 2014 47.5 is a <50% drop I'm predicting $45m I don't believe in a 50% drop yet. As long as it stays over 40m, I'll be happy. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lilmac Posted August 5, 2014 Share Posted August 5, 2014 After TMNT there's Sin City 2 and my summer season is over. Back to TV... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lilmac Posted August 5, 2014 Share Posted August 5, 2014 I don't believe in a 50% drop yet. As long as it stays over 40m, I'll be happy. $45m is about -53%. I think the WOM will help it weather the TMNT storm (only real comp...Into the Storm will not have much of a presence). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
miketheavenger Posted August 5, 2014 Share Posted August 5, 2014 $45m is about -53%. I think the WOM will help it weather the TMNT storm (only real comp...Into the Storm will not have much of a presence). It won't drop as steep as Godzilla or TASM 2, but a 55% drop is possible. I can see TMNT being quite big (especially overseas). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gopher Posted August 5, 2014 Share Posted August 5, 2014 I don't think so. Paramount has learned their lesson, I believe. We were saying that five years ago. We were wrong. We were so wrong. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Walt Disney Posted August 5, 2014 Share Posted August 5, 2014 We were saying that five years ago. We were wrong. We were so wrong. They did evolve though. They didn't use the Puerto Rico excuse this time. They learned that they can just fudge the numbers without giving a reason. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jake Gittes Posted August 5, 2014 Share Posted August 5, 2014 I'm predicting $45m. #1 for the weekend. Biggest 2nd weekend this year (Cap2 had $41.74m) Lego had $49.85m Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Caladbolg Posted August 5, 2014 Share Posted August 5, 2014 Lego had $49.85m Valentines Weekend though 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Claire of Themyscira Posted August 5, 2014 Share Posted August 5, 2014 Valentines Weekend though Still the 2nd biggest weekend of the year. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eddyxx Posted August 5, 2014 Share Posted August 5, 2014 Isn't THE AVENGERS III for 2018? No one knows. Wasn't it already confirmed that this date is Dr. Strange? No. Not yet. Its assumed because the film already has a director and they're looking for a lead actor. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gopher Posted August 5, 2014 Share Posted August 5, 2014 I'm hedging bets that they wanted to announce Strange at Comic Con but the contract disputes continued over it. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blankments Posted August 5, 2014 Share Posted August 5, 2014 Yes, but bragging about Salt making more than Lucy is like bragging T2 made more than the Rocketeer. Jolie is established, her niche is the female driven action movie. SJ is new to the game and before tracking came out, no one thought anything of Lucy. In fact, 4 people had it in their top 15 for the summer game. To be fair, it was scheduled for this weekend originally If it had always been scheduled for the July date, it would've definitely made my top 15 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
crazydom Posted August 5, 2014 Share Posted August 5, 2014 They likely see no point in announcing Strange until the lead actor is signed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mango Posted August 5, 2014 Share Posted August 5, 2014 If Guardians manages to go up to $12-12.5 million Tuesday I think a weekend drop just around 50% is in play. If not don't sweat it because I really don't think its going to drop more than like 55%. WOM is insanely good. Three of my coworkers today mentioned they heard it was good and planned on seeing it this weekend. 10 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
terrestrial Posted August 6, 2014 Share Posted August 6, 2014 I'm hedging bets that they wanted to announce Strange at Comic Con but the contract disputes continued over it. Or it is bcs they didnt knew for sure if they'll have a GotG 2 (team could have been appearing in another movie in case this one bombed) or they didn't exactly know when (e.g. Zoe Saldana 2 Avatar movies back-to-back, 1 Star Trek and getting twins) => details from each movie can influence details of other movies... story-wise = small adjustments (or bigger ones) and even a slight change can again change the availability of the eyed possible future cast members too Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
#ED Posted August 6, 2014 Share Posted August 6, 2014 If Guardians manages to go up to $12-12.5 million Tuesday I think a weekend drop just around 50% is in play. If not don't sweat it because I really don't think its going to drop more than like 55%. WOM is insanely good. Three of my coworkers today mentioned they heard it was good and planned on seeing it this weekend.We said this about DOFP and Apes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mango Posted August 6, 2014 Share Posted August 6, 2014 We said this about DOFP and Apes.You just like to suck the joy out of everything.(BTW it did happen for Apes) 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
