ecstasy Posted August 21, 2014 Share Posted August 21, 2014 It should pass DOFP tomorrow, TF4 sometime on Saturday and Cap/Lego over Labor Day weekend. 290M+ and 300M is definitely possible, if it drops under 35% this weekend. It's 231m. My bad! It's rolling on. WOW. Biggest movie of summer and biggest of the year so far. Awesome! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jim Shorts Posted August 21, 2014 Share Posted August 21, 2014 Sorry, those franchises like their leads wooden and lifeless. 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wileECoyote Posted August 21, 2014 Share Posted August 21, 2014 GOTG's pattern, which while simultaneously gaining every week on it, is more frontloaded than Cap 2, indicates a 280m-285m finish. 300m looks unlikely now, IMO. Still amazing. I had it at that going into last weekend. Now I think it's going to go higher. Going with last year's equivalent weekend which was The Wolverine's 5th weekend. TW 5th weekend multiplier was 4.01. GotG looks to be ending Thursday with about 234 and given a 15M weekend, using TW, it'll end up with about 294 which puts 300 within reach since I assume that GotG will hold better than TW. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
terrestrial Posted August 21, 2014 Share Posted August 21, 2014 I had it at that going into last weekend. Now I think it's going to go higher. Going with last year's equivalent weekend which was The Wolverine's 5th weekend. TW 5th weekend multiplier was 4.01. GotG looks to be ending Thursday with about 234 and given a 15M weekend, using TW, it'll end up with about 294 which puts 300 within reach since I assume that GotG will hold better than TW. OMG, just realised, that would mean it surpasses a certain other franchise movie => troll high time at IMDb and similar 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Plain Old Tele Posted August 21, 2014 Share Posted August 21, 2014 I am still trying to analyse some 2014 numbers and have a question (related to the 22 - 24 day comparison) How influential are those days for the BO? Administrative Professionals Day Arbor Day Confederate Memorial Day Not influential at all. The only meaningful holidays are the federal ones that everyone gets off (New Years, MLK Day, Presidents Day, Memorial Day, July Fourth, Labor Day, Columbus Day, Veterans Day, Thanksgiving, and Christmas.) There are some days that may have an effect, depending on the film (Good Friday), and of course the day after Thanksgiving and most of the days between Christmas and New Years are when people take time off. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CJohn Posted August 22, 2014 Share Posted August 22, 2014 (edited) Not influential at all. The only meaningful holidays are the federal ones that everyone gets off (New Years, MLK Day, Presidents Day, Memorial Day, July Fourth, Labor Day, Columbus Day, Veterans Day, Thanksgiving, and Christmas.) Never heard of these 2. Don't they have an effect on box office? Edited August 22, 2014 by CJohn 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Plain Old Tele Posted August 22, 2014 Share Posted August 22, 2014 Never heard of these 2. Don't they have an effect on box office? A bit of an effect. Columbus Day is in October and Veterans Day is called Armistice Day in Europe. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
terrestrial Posted August 22, 2014 Share Posted August 22, 2014 Not influential at all. The only meaningful holidays are the federal ones that everyone gets off (New Years, MLK Day, Presidents Day, Memorial Day, July Fourth, Labor Day, Columbus Day, Veterans Day, Thanksgiving, and Christmas.) There are some days that may have an effect, depending on the film (Good Friday), and of course the day after Thanksgiving and most of the days between Christmas and New Years are when people take time off. O.K., thank you a lot. I have compared the 'big opener comparison list' with the USA and CAN holiday list and found for each movie spike a public holiday or similar But I can't find a reason for the only (outside of Easter) spike CA 2 had at that weekend around 26/27 April. The spike seems rather big to me, hence my wondering.... Tue $2,205,248 -15% / -53.3% $205,301,885 / 19 $1,356,513 -10.9% / -53.3% $175,048,230 / 19 $1,370,135 +18.8% / -49.1% $176,962,800 / 19 $2,021,629 +14.5% / -46.6% $193,343,016 / 19 $2,594,707 +28.7% / -50.4% $213,444,938 / 19 $3,511,416 +21.7% / -46.9% $229,057,703 / 19 Wed $1,773,553 -19.6% / -49.7% $207,075,438 / 20 $1,022,545 -24.6% / -50.6% $176,070,775 / 20 $1,117,001 -18.5% / -47% $178,079,801 / 20 $1,707,464 -15.5% / -39.5% $195,050,480 / 20 $1,950,628 -24.8% / -47.1% $215,395,566 / 20 $2,623,129 -25.3% / -45.9% $231,680,832 / 20 Thu $1,764,778 -0.5% / -59.1% $208,840,216 / 21 $1,030,417 +0.8% / -46.8% $177,101,192 / 21 $1,013,205 -9.3% / -45.1% $179,093,006 / 21 $1,389,681 -18.6% / -46.7% $196,440,161 / 21 $1,761,322 -9.7% / -49% $217,156,888 / 21 - WK 3 $33,925,762 $21,734,555 $16,661,449 $22,038,895 $24,625,590 - WEEK 4 Fri $4,415,521 +150.2% / -53.5% $213,255,737 / 22 $2,047,419 +98.7% / -55% $179,148,611 / 22 $1,781,428 +75.8% / -46.7% $180,874,434 / 22 $2,725,465 +96.1% / -39.6% $199,165,626 / 22 $2,793,230 +58.6% / -43.2% $219,950,118 / 22 - Sat $7,318,408 +65.7% / -29.2% $220,574,145 / 23 $3,070,201 +50% / -58.4% $182,218,812 / 23 $2,509,131 +40.8% / -52.2% $183,383,565 / 23 $3,730,153 +36.9% / -39.6% $202,895,779 / 23 $4,086,854 +46.3% / -38.6% $224,036,972 / 23 - Sun $4,485,096 -38.7% / -22% $225,059,241 / 24 $2,705,768 -11.9% / -44.4% $184,924,580 / 24 $1,830,620 -27% / -46.4% $185,214,185 / 24 $3,360,831 -9.9% / -24.8% $206,256,610 / 24 $2,965,636 -27.4% / -37.2% $227,002,608 / 24 - 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
terrestrial Posted August 22, 2014 Share Posted August 22, 2014 (edited) Never heard of these 2. Don't they have an effect on box office? Remembrance Day (also known as Poppy Day or Armistice Day) is a memorial day observed in Commonwealth countries since the end of World War I edit: those April dates I mentioned are the 22 to 24th day of release of CA 2 Edited August 22, 2014 by terrestrial 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Walt Disney Posted August 22, 2014 Share Posted August 22, 2014 Sorry, those franchises like their leads wooden and lifeless. There's a Man of Steel joke in there somewhere. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ddddeeee Posted August 22, 2014 Share Posted August 22, 2014 There's a Man of Steel joke in there somewhere. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rthmessiah Posted August 22, 2014 Share Posted August 22, 2014 figured might as well give you Thu looking like GOTG 2.6,TMNT 2.3,LBC 1.6 with Thu eve IIS is looking at doing a lot more than WTGST/SC2 combined 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
terrestrial Posted August 22, 2014 Share Posted August 22, 2014 figured might as well give you Thu looking like GOTG 2.6,TMNT 2.3,LBC 1.6 with Thu eve IIS is looking at doing a lot more than WTGST/SC2 combined Thank you a lot 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
