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Official Weekend Est: MJ1 56.9M Penguins 25.8m BH6 18.77m Interstellar 15.8M

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1). The Hunger Games (LGF), 4,151 theaters (0) / $24.4M Fri.  (-56% from first Friday)/ 3-day cume: $58.4M (-52%) / 5-day cume: $84M / Total cume: $227M/ Wk 2
 
2). The Penguins Of Madagascar (FOX), 3,764 theaters  / $10.4M Fri. / 3-day cume: $26.2M/ 5-day cume: $36.4-$38M / Wk 1
 
3). Big Hero 6 (DIS), 3,365 theaters (-285) / $7.75M Fri. / 3-day cume: $19.5M/ 5-day cume: $26.7M/ Total cume: $167.9M /Wk 4
 
4). Interstellar (PAR), 3,066 theaters (-349) / $6.7M Fri. / 3-day cume: $16.1M / 5-day cume: $22.3M/ Total cume: $162.4M / Wk 4
 
5). Horrible Bosses 2 (WB), 3,375 theaters / $6M Fri. / 3-day cume: $15.3M/ 5-day cume: $22-23M / Wk 1 (includes Tuesday night previews)
 
6). Dumb and Dumber To (UNI), 3,130 theaters (-58) / $3.4M Fri./3-day cume: $8.4M / 5-day cume:  $11.7M/ Total cume: $72.3M /Wk 3
 
7). The Theory Of Everything (FOC), 802 theaters (+662) / $1.8M Fri. / 3-day cume: $4.6M / 5-day cume: $5.9M/ Total cume: $9.1M / Wk 4
 
8). Gone Girl (FOX), 1,174 theaters (-435) / $985K Fri. / 3-day cume: $2.5M/ 5-day cume: $3.3M/ Total cume: $160.8M / Wk 9
 
9). Beyond the Lights (REL), 1,187 theaters (-579)/ $790K Fri. / 3-day cume: $1.9M / 5-day cume: $2.4M / Total cume: $13.1M /Wk 3
 
10). Birdman (FSL), 710 theaters (-152) / 704K Fri. /3-day cume: $1.8M/ 5-day cume: $2.4M  / Total cume: $17.2M /Wk 7
 
Noteworthy:
Whiplash (SPC), 178 theaters (-153) / $159K Fri. / 3-day cume: $159K / 5-day cume: $538K / Total cume: $3.8M / Wk 8
 
The Imitation Game (TWC), 4 theaters  / $177K Fri. / 3-day cume: $487K/ Per Screen Avg: $122K/ Wk 1

 

Edited by Sorcerer Supreme
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If Mp1 makes 84 M during 5D Thanksgiving it means it GOTG has won the year.

 

NM 5D Thnkgv: 66,2M; Tot after Thnksgv: 230,9M; Tot Dom: 296,6M; Money made after Thnksg65,7M

DH1 5D Thnkgv: 75,0MTot after Thnksgv: 219,1M; Tot Dom: 296,0MMoney made after Thnksg76,9M

BD1 5D Thnksgv: 61,9MTot after Thnksgv: 220,8M; Tot Dom: 281,3MMoney made after Thnksg=60,5M

BD2 5D Thnksgv: 64,4MTot after Thnksgv: 227,4M; Tom Dom: 292,3MMoney made after Thnksg=64,9M

CF 5D Thnksgv: 109,9M; Tot after Thnksgv:296,3M; Tot Dom: 424,7M; Money made after Thnksg=128,4M (*1,16 5DThnkg)

 

Mp1 5D Thnksgv: 84M (est.); Tot after Thnksgv: 227M (est); Tot Dom= 227+84*1=311M or Tot Dom=227+84*1,16=324M. 

 

Mp1 311-324 range. I'll go with 315-320M

Edited by Filmovie
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That is excellent for MJ! It's been following DH1 closely, but that number has broken that trend. Also, that's a bigger increase than CF.

 

That's a great number for Interstellar too. 180m should happen for sure.

Edited by Heretic
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Meh for Penguins. If it follows ROFG pattern (unlikely) it will make 116-120M Domestic.

 

Bad for HB2. It won't crack 60M Dom. 52-55 is more likely.

 

BH6 will finish at around 210-220M IMHO.

Edited by Filmovie
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Based on comparison with 9 other animated films that played during Thanksgiving (Bolt, Happy Feet, Frozen, Tangled, Wreck-It Ralph, The Muppets, Rise of the Guardians, Megamind and Madagascar 2), Penguins will earn $36-37M over 5 days. That is higher than the $32.3M 5-day opening of Rise of the Guardians. However, that film was Christmas-themed which allowed it to have a very impressive post-Thanksgiving weekend hold (-43%) and very small decreases in the weekends leading to the Christams holidays (no bigger drops than -31%). Guardians made $103M in total. Penguins had a lower CinemaScore (A- vs A) and is a prequel so it will definitely be more front-loaded. I don't see how it could cross $100M. Also, if we compare it to The Muppets, another franchise-based film that opened over Thanskgiving to $41.5M, Penguins could earn less than $80M by the end of its run.

Edited by Quigley
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Maybe Cumberbatch really is a draw.

 

Strong numbers for the holdovers, not so much for the (wide) openers. Overall though, this is still going to be a big weekend, just not as big as many of us hoped

 

I'm guessing it's limited in LA or NY (or both) and the Oscar talk might draw a lot of people working in the industry.

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