Official Weekend Est: MJ1 56.9M Penguins 25.8m BH6 18.77m Interstellar 15.8M

[Jonwo]

Hopefully Penguins does great OS!

 

I'm not so sure since the family competition is tough with NATM3, Annie and in some OS markets Paddington

 

It's probably too early for a WWW thread but I think Penguins should have one.

Edited November 29, 2014 by Jonwo

[DAJK]

I know it isn't very likely still, but wouldn't it be great if Paramount "Godzilla'd" Interstellar to 200M?

[MrPink]

I know it isn't very likely still, but wouldn't it be great if Paramount "Godzilla'd" Interstellar to 200M?

 

They'd have to Godzilla it a good 25 million or so, its final resting place seems to indicate right around 175 million. Legs post Thanksgiving will be hurt by the typical weak first weekend of December and then Exodus followed by the Hobbit will take most of its theaters along with IMAX by Dec 17

[Ethan Hunt]

Penguins not doing too well isn't a good sign for Minions.

[Jonwo]

Penguins not doing too well isn't a good sign for Minions.

 

Minions will do well, it'll gross less than DM2 but that's a given and I imagine it'll be hugely profitable as Illumination films usually cost less than $80m.

[DAJK]

Penguins not doing too well isn't a good sign for Minions.

I don't think Minions box office will be in any way related to Penguins. Penguins isn't doing well not because it is a prequel featuring spin-off characters, but rather a lack of great marketing or little excitement.

[grim22]

Looks like all numbers were slightly above expectations. Wonder if drops today may be higher than the normal 10% due to that.

This thanksgiving box office just seems so underwhelming following both this years sucky box office as a whole, MJ1s unprecedented fall from CF and last years great Thanksgiving frame.

[redfirebird2008]

They'd have to Godzilla it a good 25 million or so, its final resting place seems to indicate right around 175 million. Legs post Thanksgiving will be hurt by the typical weak first weekend of December and then Exodus followed by the Hobbit will take most of its theaters along with IMAX by Dec 17

175 is a pretty nice total. Could make it to 180.

[Dingdong123]

Let's see how penguins will hold up with mixed critical reception. RotG had the christmas theme to carry it through the holidays, while this one doesn't. Won't be surprised if penguins end up with a close total with guardians dom.

[MrPink]

175 is a pretty nice total. Could make it to 180.

 

I agree. That over/under Contact adjusted club is looking very interesting.

[Fancyarcher]

I know it isn't very likely still, but wouldn't it be great if Paramount "Godzilla'd" Interstellar to 200M?

 

It's not happening. Interstellar won't get close to 200m. 180m would be a nice finish.

Edited November 29, 2014 by Pokearcher

[Olive]

Friday, November 28, 2014
 

	Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014	>Yr >Mo >Wk >>Next Day
TD YD Title (Click to View) Studio Daily Gross % +/- YD / LW Theaters / Avg Gross To-Date Day 1 1 The Hunger Games: Mockingjay - Part 1 LGF $24,100,000 +118% -56% 4,151 $5,806 $192,708,000 8 2 2 Penguins of Madagascar Fox $10,500,000 +166% - 3,764 $2,790 $20,700,000 3 3 4 Big Hero 6 BV $7,742,000 +153% +74% 3,365 $2,301 $156,181,000 22 4 5 Interstellar Par. $6,600,000 +117% +56% 3,066 $2,153 $137,890,000 24 5 3 Horrible Bosses 2 WB $6,200,000 +103% - 3,375 $1,837 $13,510,000 3 6 6 Dumb and Dumber To Uni. $3,400,000 +129% -22% 3,130 $1,086 $67,311,000 15 7 7 The Theory of Everything Focus $1,900,000 +161% +371% 802 $2,369 $6,422,000 22 8 8 Gone Girl Fox $1,000,000 +144% +25% 1,174 $852 $159,288,000 57 9 11 Birdman FoxS $735,000 +166% +45% 710 $1,035 $16,092,000 43 10 9 St. Vincent Wein. $719,000 +119% +12% 1,256 $572 $38,277,000 50 - 10 Fury (2014) Sony $655,000 +111% +21% 994 $659 $81,014,000 43 - - The Imitation Game Wein. $181,000 - - 4 $45,250 $181,000 1

 

[darkelf]

HOLY SHIT dat theater average for Imitation Game

[The Dark Alfred]

Really nice for IS. 200m could only happen if it picks up some Oscar steam.

[bartonfink]

Really nice for IS. 200m could only happen if it picks up some Oscar steam.

 

No, it won't. 

[filmlover]

The Imitation Game is the winner of Thanksgiving. Only The Grand Budapest Hotel has had a higher opening PTA this year.

[Olive]

Early Weekend Estimates (Domestic)FRI, NOV. 28 - SUN, NOV. 30

← PREVIOUS

WIDE (1000+)

#	TITLE	WEEKEND		LOCATIONS		AVG.	TOTAL	WKS.	DIST.
1	The Hunger Games: Mockingjay - Part 1	$56,300,000	-54%	4,151	0	$13,563	$224,907,805	2	Lionsgate
2	Penguins of Madagascar	$26,900,000	--	3,764	--	$7,147	$37,100,000	1	Fox / DreamWorks Animation
3	Big Hero 6	$19,400,000	-4%	3,365	-285	$5,765	$167,839,274	4	Disney
4	Interstellar	$15,900,000	4%	3,066	-349	$5,186	$147,190,272	4	Paramount
5	Horrible Bosses 2	$15,500,000	--	3,375	--	$4,593	$22,810,000	1	Warner Bros. / New Line
6	Dumb and Dumber To	$8,400,000	-40%	3,130	-58	$2,684	$72,310,925	3	Universal
7	Gone Girl	$2,300,000	-19%	1,174	-435	$1,959	$160,587,697	9	Fox
8	St. Vincent	$1,850,000	-18%	1,256	-451	$1,473	$39,404,661	8	Weinstein Company

 

[Jonwo]

I'm pleasantly surprised The Imitation Game is doing great, I would have thought the subject matter wouldn't appeal to American audiences.

[Hatebox]

No, it won't. 

 

At one point I thought the Academy might throw Nolan a bone with a director nom, but yeah - there'll be no awards traction for IS.

[Melvin Frohike]

#Penguins takes in $10.5M FRI heading to 5day debut of about $37M, lower than 3day openings of all #Madagascar pics.

— Gitesh Pandya (@giteshpandya) November 29, 2014

Final DOM gross projections based on Penguins of Madagascar's estimated $20.7M Wednesday-Friday Thanksgiving cume and the legs of the following Thanksgiving releases (in millions of dollars):

Enchanted - 91

Tangled - 105

Toy Story 2 - 112

Rise of the Guardians - 120

Frozen - 156

To a first-order approximation the movie would need Frozen's phenomenal legs to get past $150M, so that is pretty much out of the question. Enchanted and Rise of the Guardians are the closest comparisons in terms of absolute scale (in dollars). Enchanted may be a live-action movie, but it makes for a close comparison with animated features in terms of legs and appeal, and with Rise of the Guardians makes for a nice bracket for the current likely projected range of Penguins of Madagascar's final DOM gross...not that it couldn't do worse, however, given that it is part of an existing franchise.

 

Poor poor Dreamworks...

Did they movie Penguins to Thanksgiving so they could have a sure fire hit before Home?

Aside from Home needing more time for story fixes, I'm sure that's why PoM was moved up because DWA really needs a shot in the arm (especially while shopping for a buyer) after HTTYD 2 proved to merely be a huge hit (WW) instead of the billion-dollar mega-blockbuster they had expected. This is bad....

 

Maybe they should have just stuck with the original release, and have Home underperform initially, but have Penguins open to much more in March.

You might be right, but on the other hand it probably isn't performing this badly just because of its release date, as Thanksgiving is typically a fine release date for animated features and family movies.

 

Imagine a world where penguins didn't exist. Baymax would've soared even higher. Haha.

Actually, I wonder if given the benefit of hindsight, Disney might be kicking themselves for not going head-to-head against PoM with Big Hero 6. PoM would have been clobbered, and while this would have placed Big Hero 6 closer to the other competition in December, there would still be a cushion and the movie could have taken better advantage of the holidays.

 

Penguins not doing too well isn't a good sign for Minions.

While it is true that spin-offs to popular franchises haven't been doing so hot, I wouldn't count out the Minions just yet. That said, it should put a dent into the certainty that so many of us have (myself included) that their upcoming movie will be a huge hit.