Christmas Numbers: Unbroken 15.59, ITW 15.1, BOFTA 13.1, NATM 7.35 (official estimates) | full BOM list on p22

[riczhang]

It's pretty much due to Jolie fans being insanely insecure.

One was the star in one of the best sitcoms in the history of television, the other was the star in the 1993 direct to VHS movie "Cyborg 2".

It's easy to understand why Jolie fans are so weak.

Yes and Oscars. Jolie 1 - 0 Aniston

And guess who's more famous now?

It's not about us being insecure. It's about us putting the upstart anistans in their place. Because Dame is far superior.

Edited December 26, 2014 by riczhang

[Ethan Hunt]

Just wanna take the time to say I totally called these Unbroken numbers.

[forg]

This Oscar season re-ignited the Team Jolie vs Team Aniston fan war eh?

[Rthmessiah]

Think just going 2go now with 14-16 both Unb/ITW, BOFA shouldn't be too far behind other holding

[forg]

I didn't see it a few months ago, but starting the last month or so it seemed like it would be pretty successful. It has been Disnomination ever since Frozen after all. This year absolutely belongs to them at the B.O., especially with Frozen's 2014 holdover thrown in.

 

True even Alexander made money but Planes 2 and *sigh* Muppets Most Wanted  disappointed but at least Planes 2 will make money on merchandising.

[kitik]

Think just going 2go now with 14-16 both Unb/ITW, BOFA shouldn't be too far behind other holding

 

 

Even better!!

[forg]

Think just going 2go now with 14-16 both Unb/ITW, BOFA shouldn't be too far behind other holding

 

Great for both

 

Any numbers for the holdovers?

[AJG]

This Oscar season re-ignited the Team Jolie vs Team Aniston fan war eh?

IT NEVER ENDED!!!!!

Pick a side and join us in glorious battle.

[grim22]

Think just going 2go now with 14-16 both Unb/ITW, BOFA shouldn't be too far behind other holding

 

Great numbers all around. Hobbit should finish the weekend at #1 if it isn't too far behind the new openers today.

[riczhang]

Think just going 2go now with 14-16 both Unb/ITW, BOFA shouldn't be too far behind other holding

YAAAAAAAAAS Slay Goddess seeing this again tomorrow to help second day BO.

[DAR]

In the Aniston vs Jolie battle I'd go with Aniston only because I'd have a better shot. Granted it would a micro micro micro micro micro micro micro micro shot

[DAR]

Think just going 2go now with 14-16 both Unb/ITW, BOFA shouldn't be too far behind other holding

Anything regarding American Sniper or the Gambler?

[Empire]

Think just going 2go now with 14-16 both Unb/ITW, BOFA shouldn't be too far behind other holding

That is awesome! Great battle between the two!

Edited December 26, 2014 by Empire

[La Binoche]

14-16 is a great result for both. Especially impressive for Woods given that it's under 2500 screens. 

[Ozymandias]

This Oscar season re-ignited the Team Jolie vs Team Aniston fan war eh?

 

Team Jolie vs. Team Aniston is like Team Edward vs. Team Jacob.

[Plain Old Tele]

No matter who wins, we all lose.

[riczhang]

Team Jolie vs. Team Aniston is like Team Edward vs. Team Jacob.

I don't know why anyone would be team anistan tho. It's like consciously betting on the horse from dumbo.

[Claire of Themyscira]

I know I've done this before, but I ain't for pitting women against women. We should be thankful for successful women in such a sexist industry.

I think it's stupid and only makes it worse, which is why I've been trying to really stop that, unless that person is trash like Igloo Australia.

[grim22]

Meanwhile in India, PK is on its way to becoming the biggest movie of all time: http://forums.boxofficetheory.com/index.php?/topic/11446-indian-box-office-thread-pk-en-route-to-becoming-the-biggest-movie-of-all-time/page-83

 

Will most likely be the biggest movie from Bollywood at the US box office as well before the new year.

[mahnamahna]

 

So there's a new trend?

 

2006 saw an increase in ticket sales from 2005. Then both 2007 and 2008 saw declines. 2009 saw an increase again. Then both 2010 and 2011 decreased. 2012 increased a lot from 2011 but 2013's sales dropped and obviously 2014's will drop. So an increase for 2015? Isn't that obvious already? Ha ha.

 

Year Total

Gross*

Change Tickets

Sold

Change # of

Movies

Total

Screens

Avg.

Ticket

Price

Avg.

Cost^

#1 Movie 2014 $9,934.4 - 1,223.4 - 672 - $8.12 - Guardians of the Galaxy 2013 $10,923.6 +0.8% 1,343.6 -1.3% 687 - $8.13 - Catching Fire 2012 $10,837.4 +6.5% 1,361.5 +6.1% 665 - $7.96 - The Avengers 2011 $10,174.3 -3.7% 1,283.0 -4.2% 602 - $7.93 - Harry Potter / Deathly Hallows (P2) 2010 $10,565.6 -0.3% 1,339.1 -5.2% 536 - $7.89 - Toy Story 3 2009 $10,595.5 +10.0% 1,412.7 +5.3% 521 - $7.50 - Avatar 2008 $9,630.7 -0.3% 1,341.3 -4.5% 608 - $7.18 - The Dark Knight 2007 $9,663.8 +4.9% 1,404.6 -0.1% 631 - $6.88 - Spider-Man 3 2006 $9,209.5 +4.2% 1,406.0 +2.0% 608 - $6.55 - Dead Man's 

 

The only way 2015 doesn't increase in gross and ticket sales from 2014 is if Avengers 2 and Star Wars Episode VII aren't released 

 

Those two will get 2015 to $10.5-11.5 billion fairly easily. 

 

Early 2015 is looking solid as well

 

January

1. Taken 3 (Even a decline would mean $90-110 million as the end result)
2. Selma (Looks to be a $150 million+ crowdpleaser)
3. American Sniper (2015's ZDT/Lone Survivor) 
4. The Wedding Ringer (first original R-rated comedy since Let's Be Cops... Kevin Hart too) 
5. Paddington (critically acclaimed and Annie/NATM3 will both have died down by Jan 16) 

February

1. SpongeBob 2 (Could do anywhere from $80 million to $160 million depending on WOM) 
2. Kingsman - The Secret Service (Seems like a mild surprise hit in the making)
3. 50 Shades of Grey (2015's first blockbuster hit) 

March

1. Chappie (could be a comeback... plus Hugh Jackman might draw some people in)
2. Cinderella (the Frozen trailer should make this a solid hit... $180-240 million is its range)
3. In the Heart of the Sea (could breakout - Noah numbers would be solid enough)
4. Insurgent (with 3D, this should be able to get $160-170 million) 
5. Get Hard (Will Ferrell and Kevin Hart together... if it's any good, $150-170 million) 

April 

1. Furious 7 (great marketing might get this to $300-325 million. Also likely to be the BO/ticket sales peak for this franchise) 
2. The Longest Ride (Nicholas Sparks... can't discount it just yet) 

Summer 2015 should easily rebound from 2014. 3 out of 4 months have bonafide blockbusters. Avengers 2 for May. Jurassic World for June. Minions for July. 

 

August-October 2015 is probably going to be next year's "slump". Other than Jungle Book, The Walk, St. James Place and the Vacation reboot, that three-month span seems really dry as far as BO potential. 

 

November-December 2015 is practically locked for massive numbers. Bond 24, Peanuts, Mockingjay Part 2 (should get a $50-100 million increase from Part 1), Good Dinosaur, The Martian (I still believe Ridley Scott can pull off another masterpiece), Star Wars Episode VII, MI5, Joy, Hateful Eight... 

 

2015 might reach 2009 levels of attendance (or surpass them) f everything lines up and delivers.