How HV sales used to turn big box office hits into massive box office GIANTS

[cannastop]

Here's the list for just Blu-Ray sales.

 

Week Ended August 21, 2016

http://www.homemediamagazine.com/top-sellers/top-20-selling-blu-ray-discs-week-ended-082116

 

Rank	Previous Week	Title	Studio	Index*
1	New	The Angry Birds Movie	Sony Pictures	100.00
2	1	Batman v Superman: Dawn of Justice	Warner	41.27
3	New	God's Not Dead 2	Universal	28.10
4	2	Batman: The Killing Joke	Warner	11.21
5	3	Zootopia	Disney	10.98
6	6	Deadpool	Fox	6.95
7	5	Allegiant	Lionsgate/Summit	6.42
8	7	Star Wars: Episode VII — The Force Awakens	Disney/Lucasfilm	5.63
9	4	The Boss	Universal	5.00
10	10	Kung Fu Panda 3	Fox/DreamWorks	3.88
11	16	13 Hours: The Secret Soldiers of Benghazi	Paramount	3.74
12	New	Gotham: The Complete Second Season	Warner	3.72
13	14	Miracles From Heaven	Sony Pictures	3.42
14	11	Criminal	Lionsgate	3.24
15	13	Hardcore Henry	Universal	3.10
16	15	The Bourne Classified Collection	Universal	3.06
17	9	Mother's Day	Universal	3.02
18	17	Gods of Egypt	Lionsgate	2.70
19	New	Once Upon a Time: The Complete Fifth Season	Disney/ABC	2.47
20	12	Keanu	Warner	2.45
Source: NPD VideoScan First Alert, powered by Nielsen (based on unit sales from reporting retailers)

[langer]

Nice to see Star Wars still in the top 10 nearly half a year after its release. 

[cannastop]

Zootopia might see a huge bump in video sales during the Christmas season. Disney could try to play consumer confusion to its favor and push Zootopia's DVD and Blu-Ray while Universal is hawking Sing.

 

Plus, Moana has the tagline "From the makers of..."

[cannastop]

New Published by the-numbers:

 

http://www.the-numbers.com/home-market/dvd-sales-chart/2016/06/19

 

United States DVD Sales Chart for Week Ending June 19, 2016

← Previous Chart

Chart Index

 

		Title	Units this Week	% Change	Total Units	Spending this Week	Total Spending	Weeks
1	(1)	Zootopia	353,342	-58%	1,184,982	$7,052,706	$23,652,241	2	Buy
2	(-)	London Has Fallen	173,286		173,286	$2,689,399	$2,689,399	3	Buy
3	(4)	Deadpool	81,240	+85%	1,262,421	$1,000,064	$18,662,356	8	Buy

 

 

http://www.the-numbers.com/home-market/packaged-media-sales-chart/2016/06/19

 

United States Combined DVD and Blu-ray Sales Chart for Week Ending June 19, 2016

← Previous Chart

Chart Index

 

Rank	Title	Units this Week	Total Units	Spending this Week	Total Spending	Weeks
1	Zootopia	701,498	2,794,708	$14,886,216	$56,691,920	2	Buy
2	London Has Fallen	399,222	399,222	$7,305,268	$7,305,268	3	Buy
3	Deadpool	234,422	3,900,828	$2,902,580	$69,962,312	8	Buy

 

Zootopia didn't quite match what I hoped for this week, but it's still pretty nice. It's now #3 on the yearly video chart, according to the-numbers.

 

The Holiday season is going to treat Zootopia well, for the reasons I said in my previous post.

Edited August 26, 2016 by cannastop

[John Marston]

the Numbers doesn't count digital sales I think and also doesn't count Walmart and some other places. I am not even sure if they count Amazon.  Most movies sales are underrepresented on The Numbers. 

Edited August 26, 2016 by John Marston

[John Marston]

anyone know how well 4k Blu rays are selling?

[cannastop]

6 minutes ago, John Marston said:

the Numbers doesn't count digital sales I think and also doesn't count Walmart and some other places. I am not even sure if they count Amazon.  Most movies sales are underrepresented on The Numbers. 

It's based on NPD data, and Wal-Mart has agreed to share data with NPD.

 

https://www.npd.com/wps/portal/npd/us/news/press-releases/pr_120203/

 

In any case, I think they try to fill in the gaps of missing data.

[cannastop]

9 minutes ago, John Marston said:

anyone know how well 4k Blu rays are selling?

Top 20 Sellers for the Week Ended 08/21/16

 

http://www.homemediamagazine.com/top-sellers/top-20-sellers-week-ended-082116

4k Blu Ray is the UHD part.

 

Looks like a miniscule part of the market, with only a 3% share for most titles.

Edited August 26, 2016 by cannastop

[cannastop]

With what I've learned about Disney's deal with netflix, and with the observation that Zootopia's DVD sales are sinking right now on amazon's rankings, I'm going to say that big packaged media sales are finished. People are already holding off purchases so that they can watch a movie on Netflix on September 20th. And it's going to be on Netflix for 18 months.

 

It's going to be the same for Disney's future movies as well. Disney's probably making money from this netflix deal, but the financial details aren't clear to outsiders.

Edited August 27, 2016 by cannastop

[MinaTakla]

ZOO sales compared to 1st 2 weeks of Minions and IO:

 

ZOO after 2 weeks: 2.8 million copies (blu+dvd)

MINIONS after 2 weeks: 4 million copies sold (blu+dvd)

IO: 2.5 million copies sold (blu+dvd)

Source: THE NUMBERS

CC: @cannastop@Jason

Edited August 28, 2016 by MinaTakla

[Mojoguy]

I'm glad Frozen was released before this Netflix deal, no way it would have sold as much if it had been on Netflix just 4 months after the video came out.

Netflix is killing the home video market.

Edited August 28, 2016 by Mojoguy

[langer]

Looks like Zootopia is following The Lego Movie on the Blu Ray sales in terms of $, but it's currently 70% ahead in terms of units.  This means Lego Blu rays sold for 35 $ / unit while Zootopia is around 21 $ / unit.  On  the other hand, Lego's DVD were sold at 15 $ / unit while Zootopia are being sold at 20$ / unit on average according to The Numbers. 

 

While the sequel to TMNT has been very soft compared to the reboot, it has had an impact on the HV sales of the latter, pushing it from 95M$ in combined sales to 98M$ as of June 26th.  Should probably be enough to tip it over to 100M$ by the end of the year.   With 82M$ DOM in its theatrical release, a 3rd movie is unlikely though. 

[Jandrew]

19 hours ago, Mojoguy said:

Netflix is killing the home video market.

 

The HV market has been dying long before then.

[cannastop]

19 hours ago, Mojoguy said:

I'm glad Frozen was released before this Netflix deal, no way it would have sold as much if it had been on Netflix just 4 months after the video came out.

Netflix is killing the home video market.

Netflix isn't killing Disney, that's for sure, though.

 

Although this year will be the one where we really see how big of a dent Netflix makes.

Edited August 29, 2016 by cannastop

[langer]

21 hours ago, MinaTakla said:

ZOO sales compared to 1st 2 weeks of Minions and IO:

 

ZOO after 2 weeks: 2.8 million copies (blu+dvd)

MINIONS after 2 weeks: 4 million copies sold (blu+dvd)

IO: 2.5 million copies sold (blu+dvd)

Source: THE NUMBERS

CC: @cannastop@Jason

 

Just note that Minions first two weeks were the last two weeks leading to Christmas.  It crashed 84-87% on its 4th week. 

[narniadis]

9 minutes ago, langer said:

 

Just note that Minions first two weeks were the last two weeks leading to Christmas.  It crashed 84-87% on its 4th week. 

 

this - can't truly compare sales for a kiddie flick released right before Christmas on HV... lol

[MinaTakla]

5 minutes ago, narniadis said:

 

this - can't truly compare sales for a kiddie flick released right before Christmas on HV... lol

It is still the 2nd highest selling DVD of 2015. Holidays or not.

After Jurassic World.

Also most dvd sales crashed on Chrismtas week by 70-90%. Not just Minions.

Edited August 29, 2016 by MinaTakla

[langer]

3 minutes ago, MinaTakla said:

It is still the 2nd highest selling DVD of 2015. Holidays or not.

After Jurassic World.

Also most dvd sales crashed on Chrismtas week by 70-90%. Not just Minions.

 

Just saying that the week to week comparison will not work until the 4th week for Minions.  Inside Out also had Black Friday on its 4th week and Christmas boost on its 7th end 8th week.  Comparisons with these movies for total units after 10+ weeks makes sense while doing week-to-week will not show the true story because of the different release dates.  Chances are good that Zootopia will have a BF boost in November too, 5 months into its HV run.  I believe Zootopia will end up beating these two movies in terms of $. 

[cannastop]

20 minutes ago, langer said:

 

Just saying that the week to week comparison will not work until the 4th week for Minions.  Inside Out also had Black Friday on its 4th week and Christmas boost on its 7th end 8th week.  Comparisons with these movies for total units after 10+ weeks makes sense while doing week-to-week will not show the true story because of the different release dates.  Chances are good that Zootopia will have a BF boost in November too, 5 months into its HV run.  I believe Zootopia will end up beating these two movies in terms of $. 

Even with Netflix streaming?

[langer]

21 minutes ago, cannastop said:

Even with Netflix streaming?

 

I think so yeah, at least matching them.  Minions and IO are at 108-109M$ at the moment 6 months after their release, while Lego stands at 124M$, 2 years after its release.   Lego was at 105M$ 6 months into its release after both Black Friday and Christmas boosts.  Lego also received a BF boost in its 2nd year of release.  Zootopia is running slightly ahead of Lego on Blu Ray but has a 30%+ lead on DVD (64M$ combined for Zoo vs 57M$ for Lego after 3 weeks).  It should stay in the top 30 charts until BF and Christmas and I don't think competition (FD - SLOP) will hurt it too much.   Minions will receive a sequel boost next year with DM3.  Zootopia has to pass it before then. 

 

I believe Zootopia, IO and Minions will all be around 115M$ after Christmas.