The Dark Rock Posted August 27, 2017 Share Posted August 27, 2017 Why it's releasing so late in US? By that time the movie will be already leaked online 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wildphantom Posted August 27, 2017 Share Posted August 27, 2017 It's very good. Great to see Doug Liman try something different and it's one of Cruise's better performances in the last 15 years or so, which is saying something. Think War Dogs/Wolf of Wall Street kind of time at the movies. Light on its feet and hugely enjoyable. Can see it doing $60-70 million domestic. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
filmlover Posted August 27, 2017 Share Posted August 27, 2017 I'm thinking this will have an identical run to Deepwater Horizon ($20M/$61M) from the same weekend last year. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WrathOfHan Posted August 27, 2017 Share Posted August 27, 2017 I think this will be #1 on OW with 25M. My forecast: Sep 29: 25M (9.5M weekdays, 34.5M Total) Oct 6: 15M (6M weekdays, 55.5M Total) Oct 13: 9.3M (3.8M weekdays, 68.6M Total) Oct 20: 5.6M (2.3M weekdays, 76.5M Total) Oct 27: 3.6M (1.5M weekdays, 81.6M Total) Nov 3: 2M (800k weekdays, 84.4M Total) Nov 10: 1.2M (500k weekdays, 86.1M Total) Final Total: 90M (3.6x) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Alli Posted August 27, 2017 Share Posted August 27, 2017 Rather poor opening in the uk Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Catty Posted August 27, 2017 Share Posted August 27, 2017 Quote Elsewhere, while there were no major wide releases at the international box office this weekend, Universal’s Tom Cruise-starrer American Made flew off to $6.7M in 21 markets. There were 11 No. 1s in all — the UK and Australia are the only major hubs to roll out this frame. Deadline 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Barnack Posted August 27, 2017 Share Posted August 27, 2017 5 hours ago, WrathOfHan said: I think this will be #1 on OW with 25M. My forecast: Sep 29: 25M (9.5M weekdays, 34.5M Total) Oct 6: 15M (6M weekdays, 55.5M Total) Oct 13: 9.3M (3.8M weekdays, 68.6M Total) Oct 20: 5.6M (2.3M weekdays, 76.5M Total) Oct 27: 3.6M (1.5M weekdays, 81.6M Total) Nov 3: 2M (800k weekdays, 84.4M Total) Nov 10: 1.2M (500k weekdays, 86.1M Total) Final Total: 90M (3.6x) That sound optimistic both OW and legs, that is the Town box office and not too far from Wolf of Wall street. Recent crime/criminal bio type of movie, ow is the biggest weekend on expansion for limited release: 19.1m / 150.1m - American hustle 18.3m / 117m dbo - Wolf of Wall street 27m / 75.6m - 2 guns 22.6m / 62.5m - black Mass 20.2m / 49.8m - Pain and Gain 14.6m / 43m - War dogs 10.4m / 32.38m - Nightcrawler 9.1 m / 33.68m - Gambler 5.8 / 27m - Hell of high water 5.7m / 14.7m - Criminal 6.1m / 12.6m - Triple 9 5.1 / 10.3 m - Live By Night That would put American Made second in opening weekend, below only Denzel and number 3 in domestic box office below only Russel assemble and Scorsese-DiCaprio, both acclaimed movies with a lot of buzz and Oscars nominations. ---------- Liman Cruise collaboration Edge of tomorrow: 28.76m / 100.2m dbo (3.48x legs) Tom Cruise recent non mission impossible opening: Mummy: 31.6m Jack Reacher 2: 22.8m Edge of Tomorrow: 28.76m Oblivion: 37m Jack Reacher: 15.2m (Christmas release, I would imagine an equilvant of a 25m regular weekend) Rock of Age: 14.4m Knight & Day: 20.1m Valkyrie: 21m Average: 23.85m Predicting (25/90) is predicting nearly the same performance than Edge of Tomorrow (a 168m summer giant blockbuster with a nice High concept) and above average Cruise opening (in a list of movies than include franchise and 160m+ action movies) for a movie that seem to be getting a bit of a strange world roll out with an 63 metascore (that could go down once the American reviews get int). It is not a bad weekend at all historically that last september weekend too and flatliner should not be a strong competition for adults, but War Dogs/Pain&Gain does not seem bad comparable for American Made imo, 18m OW/53m dbo +/- 25%. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Alli Posted August 27, 2017 Share Posted August 27, 2017 11 minutes ago, Barnack said: That sound optimistic both OW and legs, that is the Town box office and not too far from Wolf of Wall street. Recent crime/criminal bio type of movie, ow is the biggest weekend on expansion for limited release: 19.1m / 150.1m - American hustle 18.3m / 117m dbo - Wolf of Wall street 27m / 75.6m - 2 guns 22.6m / 62.5m - black Mass 20.2m / 49.8m - Pain and Gain 14.6m / 43m - War dogs 10.4m / 32.38m - Nightcrawler 9.1 m / 33.68m - Gambler 5.8 / 27m - Hell of high water 5.7m / 14.7m - Criminal 6.1m / 12.6m - Triple 9 5.1 / 10.3 m - Live By Night That would put American Made second in opening weekend, below only Denzel and number 3 in domestic box office below only Russel assemble and Scorsese-DiCaprio, both acclaimed movies with a lot of buzz and Oscars nominations. ---------- Liman Cruise collaboration Edge of tomorrow: 28.76m / 100.2m dbo (3.48x legs) Tom Cruise recent non mission impossible opening: Mummy: 31.6m Jack Reacher 2: 22.8m Edge of Tomorrow: 28.76m Oblivion: 37m Jack Reacher: 15.2m (Christmas release, I would imagine an equilvant of a 25m regular weekend) Rock of Age: 14.4m Knight & Day: 20.1m Valkyrie: 21m Average: 23.85m Predicting (25/90) is predicting nearly the same performance than Edge of Tomorrow (a 168m summer giant blockbuster with a nice High concept) and above average Cruise opening (in a list of movies than include franchise and 160m+ action movies) for a movie that seem to be getting a bit of a strange world roll out with an 63 metascore (that could go down once the American reviews get int). It is not a bad weekend at all historically that last september weekend too and flatliner should not be a strong competition for adults, but War Dogs/Pain&Gain does not seem bad comparable for American Made imo, 18m OW/53m dbo +/- 25%. Very well put. The opening in the UK seems to suggest a run similar to War Dogs. It opened at the same number as WD. add the weird roll out in the us and i don't see any big numbers for this. 15/44 is my prediction 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
keysersoze123 Posted August 28, 2017 Share Posted August 28, 2017 This is bombing for sure. Low teens at best and finish around 35m. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HesAPooka Posted August 30, 2017 Share Posted August 30, 2017 This opened in Thailand and apparently they're loving it. It's trending on twitter over there. Wonder if that will translate to other Asian markets as well. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Alli Posted August 30, 2017 Share Posted August 30, 2017 Just now, HesAPooka said: This opened in Thailand and apparently they're loving it. It's trending on twitter over there. Wonder if that will translate to other Asian markets as well. eh small market. it bombed in the UK...where numbers actually matter 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
That One Girl Posted August 30, 2017 Share Posted August 30, 2017 Just now, Alli said: eh small market. it bombed in the UK...where numbers actually matter Because as we all know, a movie called AMERICAN Made should be blowing up the UK box office. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Alli Posted August 30, 2017 Share Posted August 30, 2017 2 minutes ago, That One Guy said: Because as we all know, a movie called AMERICAN Made should be blowing up the UK box office. American Sniper, American Hustle did awesome numbers in the UK Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Barnack Posted August 30, 2017 Share Posted August 30, 2017 War dogs Australia OW: 1,068,111 UK OW: 1,320,806 New zealand:137,677 American Made Australia OW: 1,696,902 UK OW: 1,374,742 New Zealand: 144,164 War dogs ended up doing: 43,200,000 oversea / 43m domestic. With Tom Cruise we should expect an higher Intl/Dom ratio and better performance in Asia/South America/Russia and a release in more markets like Japan. But in English speaking market more similar to the US, even thought it is opening clearly higher, it is not far from War Dogs. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
That One Girl Posted August 30, 2017 Share Posted August 30, 2017 2 minutes ago, Alli said: American Sniper, American Hustle did awesome numbers in the UK Hustle finished 21st in the year and Sniper finished 27th. Not exactly what I'd call "awesome" numbers but sure? 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HesAPooka Posted August 30, 2017 Share Posted August 30, 2017 (edited) 11 minutes ago, Alli said: eh small market. it bombed in the UK...where numbers actually matter And UK has what to do with my statement of hoping the Thai success translate well to other asian markets? Edited August 30, 2017 by HesAPooka 2 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Alli Posted August 30, 2017 Share Posted August 30, 2017 2 minutes ago, That One Guy said: Hustle finished 21st in the year and Sniper finished 27th. Not exactly what I'd call "awesome" numbers but sure? Hustle was a huge success in the UK. 22M is massive. AM opened to 1.3M. it's a bomb Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Barnack Posted August 30, 2017 Share Posted August 30, 2017 (edited) 7 hours ago, That One Guy said: Hustle finished 21st in the year and Sniper finished 27th. Not exactly what I'd call "awesome" numbers but sure? Well hustle was #46 in oversea box office, Sniper was #27 in oversea box office those year, they still performed better or equal in the UK (very compatible market) than in the average foreign market. Hustle #21 in the UK, not that different than number #17 domestic. Captain America: The First Avenger, finishing number 34 would probably be a better example of American in the name probably hurting him a little bit in foreign markets. Still in the UK: American Sniper: 3.8m, $20.7m total / 197m oversea total Captain america first avengers: 4,9m OW, 14.7m total / 193m oversea total American hustle: platform release, $22.5m total / 101m oversea total American Made: 1,374,742 OW Not adjusted for the exchange rate. Edited August 31, 2017 by Barnack Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HesAPooka Posted August 30, 2017 Share Posted August 30, 2017 @Alli first you wouldn't stop about how the movie was going to get mediocre reviews, but now that's it's getting good reviews you've moved on to it "bombing" in the UK despite opening to number 1 and you being told by users in the UK thread that the BO was down because of good weather which happens in the UK. You're so clearly trolling. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Plain Old Tele Posted August 31, 2017 Share Posted August 31, 2017 @Alli has been threadbanned for one week. 2 2 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
