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Predict Early 2016 Oscar Nominations a Year Out

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I predict Tom Hardy win get his first Oscar Nomination and Leonardo DiCaprio his first win, both for The Revenant. 

 

So basically Leo's not even gonna get nominated :P Every time we peg him to win, he seems to never get nomianted. 

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It's nice to know dicaprio's win is "obvious" 13 months in advanced. watch him not even get nominated.

 

I say that because he's been making the rounds for awhile. Whether or not he delivers the best performance, I think he will win for 2015. The film is getting a lot of buzz already. Hollywood wants DiCaprio to win at some point - even if he isn't the best of the year.

 

For the record - I'm not a big fan of his. Phoenix for Her >>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>> DiCaprio for WOWW.

 

A lot of it boils down to the predictability of the politics behind who gets nominated.

Edited by coryallen30
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Alicia Vikander has already made my best performance of the year in Ex Machina. If Tulip Fever is good then I'd love her to win. 

Btw Panda, Light Between Oceans is set for 2016 not 2015.

 

I really have no idea what or who could win the awards tbh, though I expect Star Wars to win VFX, sound editing would be nice too.

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My predictions: (yeah, it's a bit early but...)

 

Best Picture:

St. James Place

The Hateful Eight

In the Heart of the Sea

The Walk 

Knight of Cups

Joy

The Revenant

Steve Jobs

Inside Out

Wild Cards: Demolition, Sea of Trees, Spectre, The Martian, Crimson Peak

Currently Rooting For: St. James Place

 

Best Director:

Alejandro Gonzalez Inarrittu for The Revenant

Quentin Tarantino for The Hateful Eight

Steven Spielburg for St. James Place

Danny Boyle for Steve Jobs

Fighting out for Last Spot: Ron Howard for In the Heart of the Sea, Robert Zemeckis for The Walk, Gus Van Sant for Sea of Trees

Rooting For: Steven Spielburg

 

Best Animated Feature:

Inside Out (Fifty cents this is a lock)

The Good Dinosaur

Minions

Le Petit Prince

Fighting out for Last Spot: Pixels, The Boy and the Beast, Evangelion: Final(?, Release unconfirmed)

Rooting For: You guessed it, Inside Out

 

Best Lead Actor:

Leonardo DiCaprio for The Revenant

Tom Hanks for St. James Place

Jake Gyllenhaal for Demolition

Michael Fassbender for Steve Jobs

Joseph Gordon-Levitt for The Walk

Rooting For: Tough choice between Leonardo DiCaprio and Tom Hanks

 

Best Lead Actress:

Jennifer Lawrence for Joy

Either of the two main actresses (Tina Fey or Amy Poehler) for Sisters

Cate Blanchett for Carol

Meryl Streep for Suffragrate

Kate Winslet for Steve Jobs

Rooting For: Jennifer Lawrence

 

Best Supporting Actor:

Robert De Niro for Joy

Tom Hardy for The Revenant

Mark Rylance for St. James Place

Seth Rogen for Steve Jobs

Ben Kingsley for The Walk

Wish Candidate: Christoph Waltz for Spectre

 

Best Supporting Actress: (The list might not make sense because I rarely pay attention to this)

Naomi Watts for Sea of Trees

Tilda Swinton for Hail, Caesar!

Eve Hewson for St. James Place

Helena Bonham Carter for Suffragrate

The other main actress (who wasn't nominated for Best Lead) for Sisters

 

Best Visual Effects:

Avengers: Age of Ultron

Star Wars Episode VII

Mad Max: Fury Road

Tomorrowland

Spectre

Rooting For: Avengers

 

Best Original Screenplay:

St. James Place

Inside Out

The Walk

The Hateful Eight

Knight of Cups

Rooting For: Tough choice between St. James Place and The Hateful Eight

 

Best Adapted Screenplay:

Steve Jobs

The Revenant

Joy

In the Heart of the Sea

The Martian

Rooting For: Steve Jobs

 

Best Cinematography:

The Revenant

Spectre

St. James Place

The Hateful Eight

Steve Jobs

Rooting For: The Revenant

 

Also, for those who are wondering where did Martin Scorsese's Silence went to, according to iMDB so far, it's a 2016 release, so yeah, I don't count it eligible for the Oscars 2016.

Edited by kw643520
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LOL I love Tina Fey and Amy Poehler but let's be honest now: they aren't getting anywhere even close to nominated for Sisters.

 

Definitely not in lead actress. There's a history of some comedy performances getting supporting nods, like Robert Downey Jr. in Tropic Thunder and Melissa McCarthy in Bridesmaids. But it's a long shot either way. 

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It's a lot more fun for me to think of this as just predicting what will be the film buff consensus best in each category, not whether the Oscars will actually nominate them or not

 

Best Picture

The Avengers: Age of Ultron

The Good Dinosaur

The Hateful Eight

Inside Out

Joy

The Revenant

Sicario

Star Wars: The Force Awakens

St. James Place

That's What I'm Talking About

 

Best Director

JJ Abrams - Star Wars

Alejandro G Inarritu - The Revenant

Richard Linklater - That's What I'm Talking About

Steven Spielberg - St. James Place

Quentin Tarantino - The Hateful Eight

 

Best Actor

Leonardo DiCaprio - The Revenant

Michael Fassbender - Steve Jobs

Joseph Gordon-Levitt - The Walk

Jake Gyllenhaal - Demolition

Tom Hanks - St. James Place

 

Best Actress

Emily Blunt - Sicario

Jennifer Lawrence - Joy

Julianne Moore - Freeheld

Natalie Portman - Jane Got a Gun

Meryl Streep - Ricki and the Flash

 

Best Supporting Actor

Alan Alda - St. James Place

Bradley Cooper - Joy

Benedict Cumberbatch - Black Mass

Bruce Dern - The Hateful Eight

Ken Watanabe - The Sea of Trees

 

Best Supporting Actress

Annette Bening - Danny Collins

Marion Cotillard - MacBeth

Nicole Kidman - Lion

Rooney Mara - Pan

Naomi Watts - Demolition

 

Best Original Screenplay

The Good Dinosaur

The Hateful Eight

Inside Out

St. James Place

That's What I'm Talking About

 

Best Adapted Screenplay

The Avengers: Age of Ultron

In the Heart of the Sea

The Revenant

Spectre

Steve Jobs

 

Best Animated Feature

The Good Dinosaur

Inside Out

The Little Prince

Shaun the Sheep

When Marnie was There

 

Best Visual Effects

The Avengers: Age of Ultron

Midnight Special

Pan

Star Wars: The Force Awakens

The Walk

 

Best Production Design

Pan

The Hateful Eight

The Revenant

St. James Place

Star Wars: The Force Awakens

 

Best Original Score

Roque Banos - In the Heart of the Sea

Alexandre Desplat - The Light Between Oceans

Michael Giacchino - Inside Out

Thomas Newman - The Good Dinosaur

John Williams - St. James Place

Edited by tribefan695
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Crazy year. Full of great directors with great Oscar past: Spielberg, Zameckis, Tarantino, Iñarritu, Van Sant, Scott, Howard, Boyle, O'Russell, Malick, Valleé, Del Toro, Stone, Hooper, Levinson... It's going to be a bloodbath!

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Strong bets on paper

St James Place - Spielberg + Hanks + Cold War + Coen bros = obvious biggest pre-contender

Joy - O'Russell + JLaw + Cooper + De Niro + Madsen + inspirational theme + December opening = strong chances

The revenant - Iñarritu + DiCaprio + possible big BO in January + true event + December opening = solid pre-contender

 

Wouldn't be surprising

In the heart of the sea - Ron Howard knows very well how to score with AMPAS. And story is powerful.

Hateful eight - Tarantino is a well respected auteur. Great cast and schedule will help. 

The walk - Zemeckis almost always delivers great films. The story is a sum of strong Oscar bait points.

 

Be careful with

The sea of trees - Gus Van Sant + McConaughey + Watanabe

Demolition - Jean-Marc Valleé + Gylenhall + Watts

Carol - Todd Haynes + 1950 lesbian drama + Blanchett + Mara

 

And there's also...

Inside Out / The good dinosaur - be careful with Pixar! But animated?

Snowden - Stone doing what he does best. But too controversial? 

Steve Jobs - Boyle and great casting. But another biopic?

 

Who knows?

The martian

Southpaw

Suffragette

The new Woody Allen film

Everest

Crimson Peak

The Danish girl

Spectre

Ricki and the flash

That's what I'm talking about

Knight of cups

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He wasn't nominated for any of the prequels, despite Episode 1 having the iconic Duel of the Fates. I assume the Oscars altered their rules between Return of the Jedi and Phantom Menace.

 

He wasn't nominated for TPM because he was already nommed for other score, Angela's ashes, because the movie had weak responses, and because the movie was released in May. Too early. Also, the original CD was a mess and did no justice to the full great score Williams had composed.

 

That year American beauty, Red violin and Cider house rules were locked to get a nom, for different reasons. I think for the 5th slot there was a close race between TPM, Sixth sense, Snow falling on Cedars, Sleepy Hollow, The green mile and Talented Mr Ripley, that got finally nominated.

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