Weekend #s | 50SOG 81m, (RTH Sunday puts it at about 84M) Kings 35.6, AS 16m, JA 9.43m (official) | all #s on p1

[Jonwo]

So who's gonna predict a big drop for the sequel? I would think an OW would drop to about 65-70M, even if it opens next Valentines day.

If Universal can keep the budget at a similar level to the first then they'll be okay with a drop since it'll still be profitable

[John Marston]

sequel won't drop that much I feel if they give it a Valentines Day release. You will have the fans that will see it and casual audiences who will see it as a Valentine's Day choice. 

[TalismanRing]

Worldwide Box Office (Estimates) Weekend ending Feb 15

Title	Weekend BO Estimate			Weekend Cume Release			Distributor*
	Worldwide	International	Domestic	Worldwide	International	Domestic	International	# of Territories	Domestic
Fifty Shades Of Grey	$239,670,400	$158,000,000	$81,670,400	$239,670,400	$158,000,000	$81,670,400	UNI	59	UNI
Kingsman: The Secret...	$58,700,000	$23,100,000	$35,600,000	$79,400,000	$43,800,000	$35,600,000	FOX	39	FOX
Spongebob Squarepant...	$44,040,000	$13,500,000	$30,540,000	$139,972,561	$46,300,000	$93,672,561	PAR	30	PAR
Somewhere Only We Kn...	$30,000,000	$30,000,000		$43,000,000	$43,000,000		MUL	4	CHALION
Jupiter Ascending	$25,030,000	$15,600,000	$9,430,000	$91,451,146	$58,900,000	$32,551,146	WB	66	WB
American Sniper	$20,135,000	$3,700,000	$16,435,000	$389,833,293	$85,700,000	$304,133,293	WB	32	WB
Big Hero 6	$9,894,000	$9,200,000	$694,000	$521,085,680	$301,800,000	$219,285,680	DIS	33	DIS
Taken 3	$8,275,000	$7,100,000	$1,175,000	$278,849,727	$192,000,000	$86,849,727	FOX	51	FOX
Imitation Game, The	$7,545,000	$4,000,000	$3,545,000	$162,677,423	$83,000,000	$79,677,423	MUL	31	TWC
Night At The Museum:...	$7,100,000	$6,700,000	$400,000	$334,005,972	$223,000,000	$111,005,972	FOX	24	FOX
Detective K: The Lab...	$6,200,000	$6,200,000		$7,000,000	$7,000,000		SHO	1	N/A
Paddington	$5,105,000	$1,000,000	$4,105,000	$219,298,308	$157,000,000	$62,298,308	MUL	19	TWC
Seventh Son	$4,882,930	$730,000	$4,152,930	$97,623,370	$84,200,000	$13,423,370	MUL	28	UNI
Theory Of Everything...	$4,196,000	$3,400,000	$796,000	$98,330,703	$65,100,000	$33,230,703	MUL	42	FOC
Penguins Of Madagasc...	$4,100,000	$4,100,000		$349,159,425	$267,000,000	$82,159,425	FOX	21	FOX
Hobbit: The Battle O...	$3,900,000	$3,900,000		$950,161,689	$697,000,000	$253,161,689	WB	20	WB
Boonie Bears Movie 2	$3,800,000	$3,800,000		$37,000,000	$37,000,000		MUL	1	N/A
Papa ou maman?	$3,500,000	$3,500,000		$10,000,000	$10,000,000		PAT	1	N/A
Wedding Ringer, The	$3,400,000		$3,400,000	$59,743,017		$59,743,017	SNY	1	SNY
Birdman	$3,370,000	$2,500,000	$870,000	$72,170,685	$35,700,000	$36,470,685	FOX	40	FSL
Project Almanac	$3,070,000	$340,000	$2,730,000	$23,659,576	$4,100,000	$19,559,576	PAR	12	PAR

*Distributor names/abbreviations

[Ando918]

82 million dollars at the U.S. box office in 3 days, despite a 28% on Rotten Tomatoes.  The movies with the Best Actress nominees had an average wide opening weekend of only 9 million dollars.

 

What the average U.S. box office total of the movies with the Best Actress nominees will be - 50 million dollars.  What the average U.S. box office total of the movies with the Best Actor nominees will be - 100 million dollars.

[Cmasterclay]

But can the sequel match the original

without Firth, Jackson & Caine in it?

Those guys all did add to the marketing and did an excellent job, sure, but they aren't such massive stars/iconic characters they can't be replaced. Heck, Leo was supposed to be the baddie in this one. Get Neeson, Leo, and McKellan and it's still gravy.

[Ethan Hunt]

Those guys all did add to the marketing and did an excellent job, sure, but they aren't such massive stars/iconic characters they can't be replaced. Heck, Leo was supposed to be the baddie in this one. Get Neeson, Leo, and McKellan and it's still gravy.

Really, cause from the marketing I didn't even know Caine was in the movie.

[CJohn]

Really, cause from the marketing I didn't even know Caine was in the movie.

You didn't even see a Spot or a trailer properly then because Caine is in all of them.

[TheJosher360]

50SOG2 wont be as successful as the first one though. Only fans and maybe some valentine couples will go.

[ChD]

50SOG2 wont be as successful as the first one though. Only fans and maybe some valentine couples will go.

 

And horny people. Don't forget horny people.

[Mango]

Ugh, fuck you guys for posting Kingsmen spoilers. They were in spoiler tags so it's my fault (came into the thread not paying attention) but still, fuck you.

Edited February 15, 2015 by Mangostasia Steele

[filmlover]

Keep in mind that the Northeast got hit by some snow last night so grosses today could be impacted and come in lower than estimated all around.

[Ethan Hunt]

You didn't even see a Spot or a trailer properly then because Caine is in all of them.

[baumer]

Those of you freaking out about the projected Sunday drop for Grey need to look past valentine's history particularly 2004 and 2010 while the 60% is steep it's not totally out of the realm of possibilities. Add to that the factors we already know - front loaded presales and older audience who is less likely to be effected by a holiday on Monday and it makes perfect sense.

I actually think that Sniper and Kingsmen will be overestimated due to some of the same circumstances.

 

At least Universal is going on the high side.  They've already made a pile of money this weekend so they have nothing left to prove.  And this way, if the drop is only 50%, bonus.  As for Sniper, why only a 40% drop?  Didn't they learn their lesson last weekend?

[baumer]

82 million dollars at the U.S. box office in 3 days, despite a 28% on Rotten Tomatoes.  The movies with the Best Actress nominees had an average wide opening weekend of only 9 million dollars.

 

What the average U.S. box office total of the movies with the Best Actress nominees will be - 50 million dollars.  What the average U.S. box office total of the movies with the Best Actor nominees will be - 100 million dollars.

AIN'T IT COOL?

 

 

 

 

[Fancyarcher]

Fifty Shades had no appeal to teenagers, it was.made for 40+ year old women

 

Is that why some theaters had teenage girls in them? 

Edited February 15, 2015 by Greyarcher

[baumer]

Does it really matter where the money comes from?  80 million is spent the same way whether it comes from 15 year old brown girls with a lisp or from 50 year old green women going through menopause.

[Blankments]

I want a buddy comedy starring Eddie Redmayne's character from Jupiter Ascending and Samuel L. Jackson's character from Kingsman. 

 

It'd be stupendous on every level.

[sfran43]

Ugh, fuck you guys for posting Kingsmen spoilers. They were in spoiler tags so it's my fault (came into the thread not paying attention) but still, fuck you.

 

Which is why I stayed faaaar away from any spoiler tagged comments in regards to Kingsman until I went to see it yesterday. No way was I going to see this movie knowing what was going to happen beforehand.

[Kalo]

Well that's a whole different issue. This is a forum made up of individuals. Some people do what you describe and some don't. I'm not trying to fight with you I just try see it all from another perspective. I remember times when people would make crazy clubs and when it fails they disappear from the forums.   Some like CJohn stay around and take their lumps. It was all in fun. Now it just seems like everyone is so serious about it. I say let people have their moment of sorrow.   Well everyone except John Marston.

speaking of Clubs, I need to find my Battle of Five Armies, under Desolation of Smaug thread. and do a little victory dance. it was close but there is now a 99.9% chance that it won't cross it.

[miketheavenger]

speaking of Clubs, I need to find my Battle of Five Armies, under Desolation of Smaug thread. and do a little victory dance. it was close but there is now a 99.9% chance that it won't cross it.

At the end of December, it looked like it would beat DOS, but now it'll come down below it.  BotFA deserved to be the highest-grossing out of the Hobbit movies IMO.