Weekend Actual #'s | Furious 7 outperforms estimates -- $147.2m actuals!

[Lordmandeep]

 

Top Thr Engagements

3-5/apr

All FF7

 

1-AMC Empire 25, New York City NY

2-AMC Burbank 30, Burbank CA

3-AMC Orange 30, Orange CA

4-AMC Gulf Pointe 30, Houston TX

5-Regal LA Live Stadium 14, Los Angeles CA

6-AMC Garden State 16, Paramus NJ

7-Regal South Gate 20, South Gate CA

8-Cobb Dolphin 24, Miami FL

9-Regal Kaufman Astoria , Astoria NY

10-AMC Studio 30, Houston TX

11-Regal New Roc city, New Rochelle NY

12-AMC Citywalk 19, Universal City CA

---

13-ST Palladium 22, Richmond TX

14-AMc Tysons Corner 16, Mclean VA

15-Regal Ontario Palace 22, Ontario CA

(combined with Mills 30 would be #1)

16-ST Palladium 19, San Antonio TX

17-Regal Sheepshead Bay 14, Brooklyn NY

18-Regal Houston Marq 22, Houston TX

19-Regal Long Beach 26, Long Beach CA

20-AMC Clifton Commons 16, Clifton NJ

21-AMc Metreon 16, San Francisco CA

 

Regency Van Nuys 16 that had insane round the clock sessions came in #91 , in GLA #25

 

 

Top Canada

1-CPLX Cineplex Vaughax, Vaughan ON, #2-CPLX Scotiabank Chinook 16, Calgary AB, #3-Scotiabank Edmonton, Edmonton AB

 

 

 

That was expected  

[forg]

Wow big increase from estimates!

[Deep Wang]

 

Top Thr Engagements

3-5/apr

All FF7

 

1-AMC Empire 25, New York City NY

2-AMC Burbank 30, Burbank CA

3-AMC Orange 30, Orange CA

4-AMC Gulf Pointe 30, Houston TX

5-Regal LA Live Stadium 14, Los Angeles CA

6-AMC Garden State 16, Paramus NJ

7-Regal South Gate 20, South Gate CA

8-Cobb Dolphin 24, Miami FL

9-Regal Kaufman Astoria , Astoria NY

10-AMC Studio 30, Houston TX

11-Regal New Roc city, New Rochelle NY

12-AMC Citywalk 19, Universal City CA

---

13-ST Palladium 22, Richmond TX

14-AMc Tysons Corner 16, Mclean VA

15-Regal Ontario Palace 22, Ontario CA

(combined with Mills 30 would be #1)

16-ST Palladium 19, San Antonio TX

17-Regal Sheepshead Bay 14, Brooklyn NY

18-Regal Houston Marq 22, Houston TX

19-Regal Long Beach 26, Long Beach CA

20-AMC Clifton Commons 16, Clifton NJ

21-AMc Metreon 16, San Francisco CA

 

Regency Van Nuys 16 that had insane round the clock sessions came in #91 , in GLA #25

 

 

Top Canada

1-CPLX Cineplex Vaughax, Vaughan ON, #2-CPLX Scotiabank Chinook 16, Calgary AB, #3-Scotiabank Edmonton, Edmonton AB

 

 

I was way off!  But look at Texas representing!

Edited April 7, 2015 by Boner Omega

[BadAtGender]

Does the A cinemascore indicate good legs?

 

Cinemascore indicates whatever you want it to indicate.

[Warhorse]

Wow.   Nice to see a weekend like that.

 

I wonder if I should give another one of those FF movies a chance.   Watched the first one and it seemed very generic...never watched another.   But they are on the SEVENTH one now and it does this?   I'm missing something.

It happens. I love the Bourne and Mission Impossible movies, but I can't get into James Bond to save my life. I myself loved the first F&F, but when the second one came out, it turned me off of the franchise as a whole. I would still watch the first one, but I just wouldn't bother with the others. I think I finally caught Fast 5 on tv one day, and then I watched the latest one, for Paul, but I have yet to sit down and watch 2, 3, 4 and 6.

[keysersoze123]

Cinemascore indicates whatever you want it to indicate.

 

its useless considering the sample size.

[Spidey Freak]

Wow, is this one of the biggest estimates to actuals rise?

[kowhite]

Wow, is this one of the biggest estimates to actuals rise?

Scream 2 laughs in reverse.

[BadAtGender]

Wow, is this one of the biggest estimates to actuals rise?

 

Funnily enough it's the second time THIS YEAR that a new release has beaten its estimate by 3.5m. FSoG also did it. (Slightly less than F7 in total, but a much larger bump percentage-wise.)

 

Man of Steel also beat its estimate by 3.5m.

 

The Avengers probably takes the cake: 7.1m underestimate.

Edited April 7, 2015 by DamienRoc

[keysersoze123]

RTH any monday estimate for F7.

[baumer]

Could we see a 15 mill Monday?

[picores]

Could we see a 15 mill Monday?

 

Definitely. 14-16m i'd say its the range.

[DeeCee]

Going by previous Easter Monday's you'd expect a drop of 50% so I'll say $16m.

[keysersoze123]

I agree. I am thinking 16m monday as well.

 

I hope spatulashack is back for Avengers to give us early numbers.

[RthDeadWov]

Mon looking around 13.9m

[baumer]

Iguess the ridiculous hold on Sunday had to be compensated for on Monday.

[water]

The Avengers probably takes the cake: 7.1m underestimate.

 

when your estimate is 200 i think that's excusable lol

[BadAtGender]

when your estimate is 200 i think that's excusable lol

 

Actually, it turns out that Avengers wasn't the biggest underestimate. I went through the entire archives BOM has for estimates (no further than the fall of 2002), and I think these are all the films that had actuals at least 3m higher:

 

The Passion        7.6

Avengers        7.1

Avatar            4

Valentine’s Day        3.9

Shrek 2         3.7

PotC: DMC        3.6

Furious 7        3.5

Man of Steel        3.5

Fifty Shades of Gray    3.5

Spider-Man 3        3.1

The Dark Knight        3.1

 

As expected, most of these are among the biggest openers of all time. Valentine's Day is quite an outlier, though, with it's relatively paltry sub-60m opening.

 

(There were a couple other non-opening weekends that also seemed to be underestimated by similarly high dollar amounts, but I think in most of those cases it was either an error on the part of the estimates or on BOM's transcribing the data. Moneyball's 3rd weekend comes to mind.)

 

If I get some time I'll probably go through and find the biggest discrepancies for percentages.

[ecstasy]

Actually, it turns out that Avengers wasn't the biggest underestimate. I went through the entire archives BOM has for estimates (no further than the fall of 2002), and I think these are all the films that had actuals at least 3m higher:

 

The Passion        7.6

Avengers        7.1

Avatar            4

Valentine’s Day        3.9

Shrek 2         3.7

PotC: DMC        3.6

Furious 7        3.5

Man of Steel        3.5

Fifty Shades of Gray    3.5

Spider-Man 3        3.1

The Dark Knight        3.1

 

As expected, most of these are among the biggest openers of all time. Valentine's Day is quite an outlier, though, with it's relatively paltry sub-60m opening.

 

(There were a couple other non-opening weekends that also seemed to be underestimated by similarly high dollar amounts, but I think in most of those cases it was either an error on the part of the estimates or on BOM's transcribing the data. Moneyball's 3rd weekend comes to mind.)

 

If I get some time I'll probably go through and find the biggest discrepancies for percentages.

 

Good work. All those late night shows and shows added at the last minute probably screws up all the math in real time.