Weekend Actual #'s | Furious 7 outperforms estimates -- $147.2m actuals!

[druv10]

Yes, a lot of the times we'll say something based on prior precedent... and while most of the time that might be the case, there are always exceptions.

Thats why absolutes can never be used with BO. Trends help but we always have outliers, FF7 being the latest.

[Neo]

Thats why absolutes can never be used with BO. Trends help but we always have outliers, FF7 being the latest.

Thats what I was saying for Sunday and that outliers exist and that everything can't be guided by past numbers.

Edited April 6, 2015 by Neo

[mahnamahna]

Furious 7 needs only a 2.04 multiplier to get to 300M. So the question is how inflated was this weekend's numbers considering Easter weekend isn't quite like other holiday weekends?

Considering this April has almost nothing other than Furious 7, it'll probably get the standard 2.4x that Fast 5 and 6 got. Possibly a 2.6x-2.7x if it gets some late legs over the last weekend of the month. 

 

2.5x would be $368 million. 2.4x would be $350 million? 

 

Either way, this year could actually get 6-7 $300 million+ DOM grossers. Furious 7, Avengers 2, Mockingjay 2, Star Wars 7... 4 locks. Minions, Jurassic World, Spectre and even Inside Out are all contenders for $300 million+ DOM, too.

 

A big year ahead 

[Plain Old Tele]

Considering this April has almost nothing other than Furious 7, it'll probably get the standard 2.4x that Fast 5 and 6 got. Possibly a 2.6x-2.7x if it gets some late legs over the last weekend of the month. 

 

2.5x would be $368 million. 2.4x would be $350 million? 

 

Either way, this year could actually get 6-7 $300 million+ DOM grossers. Furious 7, Avengers 2, Mockingjay 2, Star Wars 7... 4 locks. Minions, Jurassic World, Spectre and even Inside Out are all contenders for $300 million+ DOM, too.

 

A big year ahead 

Given the traditional legs of this franchise, anything over a 2.4x multipler would be fantastic.

[pepsa]

It seems the definition of WW OW is not quite clear.

If you follow Disney s Avengers logic, Universal should add Russia,China and Japan FF7 OW to the number we have right now.

 

Thats the problem, avengers didn't got all it's marked in it's OW. Than they should be added too.

I think it would be interesting if they would just count all the opening day of all the countrys and count them up and give that number. Just to see how huge it opend and how good it legs were.

Edited April 6, 2015 by pepsa

[Empire]

Wow! Can't believe this rose with actuals! 147M is so F'N huge!

[sfran43]

<<Last Weekend <Last Year	View Index: By Year | By Weekend
TW LW Title (click to view) Studio Weekend Gross % Change Theater Count / Change Average Total Gross Budget* Week # 1 N Furious 7 Uni. $147,187,040 - 4,004 - $36,760 $147,187,040 - 1 2 2 Get Hard WB $33,803,253 - 3,212 +37 $10,524 $77,882,570 $40 2 3 1 Home (2015) Fox $27,011,303 -48.2% 3,801 +93 $7,106 $95,241,397 $135 2 4 4 Cinderella (2015) BV $10,178,750 -40.3% 3,404 -411 $2,990 $167,139,868 $95 4 5 3 The Divergent Series: Insurgent LG/S $10,126,715 -53.0% 3,442 -433 $2,942 $103,511,529 $110 3 6 5 It Follows RTWC $2,513,459 -34.0% 1,655 +437 $1,519 $8,589,144 - 4 7 8 Run All Night WB $2,178,380 - 1,015 -1,362 $2,146 $26,841,469 $50 4 8 N Woman in Gold Wein. $2,091,551 - 258 - $8,107 $2,187,302 - 1 9 6 Kingsman: The Secret Service Fox $1,808,652 -39.0% 1,327 -458 $1,363 $122,366,182 $81 8 10 7 Do You Believe? PFR $1,544,423 -33.1% 1,218 -138 $1,268 $9,855,236 - 3 11 11 Focus (2015) WB $1,292,230 - 625 -635 $2,068 $53,668,852 $50.1 6 12 9 The Second Best Exotic Marigold Hotel FoxS $1,079,747 -49.0% 1,060 -438 $1,019 $30,140,329 $10 5 - 13 American Sniper WB $874,053 - 623 -347 $1,403 $346,632,481 $58.8 15 - 12 McFarland, USA BV $618,631 -44.9% 703 -423 $880 $41,774,129 - 7 - 24 While We're Young A24 $483,688 +112.4% 34 +30 $14,226 $789,041 - 2 - 10 The Gunman ORF $385,194 -81.1% 1,027 -1,789 $375 $10,089,669 $40 3 - 25 Danny Collins BST $347,815 +58.6% 83 +54 $4,191 $735,393 - 3 - 15 The SpongeBob Movie: Sponge Out of Water Par. $253,506 -58.7% 482 -872 $526 $160,839,111 $74 9 - 16 Fifty Shades of Grey Uni. $245,890 -55.8% 381 -173 $645 $165,463,125 $40 8 - 14 Chappie Sony $235,607 -70.4% 329 -673 $716 $30,797,402 $49 5 - 20 Wild Tales SPC $225,000 -24.2% 122 +6 $1,844 $1,935,000 - 7 - 26 Jupiter Ascending WB $194,356 - 222 -29 $875 $46,983,145 $176 9 - 21 Paddington W/Dim. $188,833 -30.7% 340 -114 $555 $75,023,932 $55 12 - N Let's Get Married CL $180,929 - 39 - $4,639 $180,929 - 1 - 23 What We Do in the Shadows U/P $180,393 -24.9% 125 -21 $1,443 $2,459,143 - 8 - 19 Still Alice SPC $173,000 -53.4% 235 -166 $736 $18,228,000 $5 12 - N David and Goliath REI $161,000 - 31 - $5,194 $161,000 - 1 - 17 The Lazarus Effect Rela. $144,862 -69.5% 284 -388 $510 $25,263,196 $3.3 6 - 22 The Imitation Game Wein. $139,523 -44.3% 202 -69 $691 $90,791,170 - 19 - 18 The DUFF LGF $106,267 -74.1% 246 -405 $432 $33,507,082 $8.5 7 - 35 Kumiko, The Treasure Hunter Ampl. $101,840 +15.9% 71 +41 $1,434 $289,927 - 3 - 28 Night at the Museum: Secret of the Tomb Fox $89,878 -25.8% 160 -24 $562 $113,302,758 $127 16 - 27 '71 RAtt. $83,942 -54.3% 95 -26 $884 $1,143,671 - 6 - 34 Big Hero 6 BV $71,716 -19.9% 151 -35 $475 $222,245,770 $165 22 - 31 The Wrecking Crew Magn. $71,502 -27.6% 65 +11 $1,100 $440,796 - 4 - 36 Seymour: An Introduction IFC $66,177 -19.5% 4,948 +4,917 $13 $303,017 - 4 - 43 The Salt of the Earth SPC $65,300 +45.4% 18 +14 $3,628 $137,500 - 2 - 41 Selma Par. $63,262 +2.4% 135 +71 $469 $51,998,118 $20 15 - 32 Taken 3 Fox $53,334 -41.5% 91 -41 $586 $89,058,271 $48 13 - 59 White God Magn. $52,290 +224.0% 11 +9 $4,754 $75,857 - 2 - 29 Gett: The Trial of Viviane Amsalem MBox $51,397 -57.4% 64 -2 $803 $793,949 - 8 - 33 The Wedding Ringer SGem $49,714 -44.8% 107 -54 $465 $64,460,211 $23 12 - 47 Island of Lemurs: Madagascar (IMAX) WB $38,363 - 35 - $1,096 $9,226,874 - 53 - 49 The Hobbit: The Battle of the Five Armies WB $37,030 - 85 - $436 $255,156,818 - 16 - 54 Unfinished Business Fox $31,204 +18.5% 76 -27 $411 $10,188,479 $35 5 - 37 Into the Woods BV $30,597 -58.4% 80 -50 $382 $127,955,039 $50 15 - 50 Penguins of Madagascar Fox $24,184 -33.0% 64 -14 $378 $83,251,879 $132 19 - 30 Serena Magn. $23,802 -76.2% 32 -27 $744 $156,928 - 2 - 46 Birdman FoxS $21,366 -46.1% 39 -7 $548 $42,312,500 $18 25 - 48 Merchants of Doubt SPC $20,200 -45.7% 30 +3 $673 $192,400 - 5 - 65 The Hunting Ground RTWC $19,406 +84.0% 24 +12 $809 $160,704 - 6 - 44 Timbuktu Cohen $18,900 -56.6% 18 -30 $1,050 $1,016,500 - 10 - N 5 to 7 IFC $18,006 - 2 - $9,003 $18,006 - 1 - 45 Red Army SPC $18,000 -57.9% 47 -24 $383 $694,600 - 11 - 55 Wild (2014) FoxS $16,987 -30.0% 28 -9 $607 $37,828,266 - 18 - 63 An Honest Liar Abr. $15,833 +31.8% 15 +5 $1,056 $124,031 - 5 - 56 Strange Magic BV $15,793 -34.8% 46 -16 $343 $12,406,093 - 11 - 40 Deli Man Cohen $15,300 -76.0% - - n/a $432,300 - 6 - 61 Man From Reno FPE $14,948 -1.4% 7 +3 $2,135 $35,730 - 2 - 57 The Theory of Everything Focus $14,082 -29.7% 20 -19 $704 $35,868,938 $15 22 - 51 3 Hearts Cohen $14,000 -60.3% 22 -7 $636 $158,900 - 4 - N Lambert & Stamp SPC $13,500 - 3 - $4,500 $13,500 - 1 - 62 A Most Violent Year A24 $10,717 -19.5% 11 -7 $974 $5,707,408 $20 14 - 64 Song of the Sea GK $9,455 -11.5% 20 -8 $473 $816,179 - 16 - 58 Black or White Rela. $8,447 -56.5% 21 -24 $402 $21,420,382 $9 10 - 60 Above and Beyond ICir $7,460 -51.4% 4 -4 $1,865 $256,878 - 10 - 75 The Mafia Only Kills in Summer Distrib. $6,615 +131.5% 3 - $2,205 $14,109 - 5 - - Can't Stand Losing You: Surviving the Police Libre $6,550 - 4 - $1,638 $13,679 - 3 - 52 Love and Lost (Shi Gu) CL $5,541 -83.2% 5 -13 $1,108 $180,121 - 3 - 66 Ballet 422 Magn. $5,003 -51.0% 13 -8 $385 $309,300 - 9 - - Sagrada: The Mystery of Creation FRun $4,157 - 3 - $1,386 $52,523 - 29 - 74 Citizenfour RTWC $3,032 -1.2% 4 - $758 $2,779,112 - 24 - N SBK The-Movie HanM $2,650 - 6 - $442 $2,650 - 1 - 70 She's Beautiful When She's Angry ICir $2,397 -56.1% 9 -3 $266 $330,033 - 18 - 73 Human Capital FM $2,278 -43.2% 3 -1 $759 $152,543 - 13 - 80 Girlhood (2015) Strand $2,003 +119.6% 5 +3 $401 $52,698 - 10 - 77 Cupcakes Strand $1,606 -37.5% 3 +2 $535 $5,183 - 2 - 82 The Tales of Hoffmann (2015 re-issue) Rialto $1,589 +120.7% 1 - $1,589 $68,974 - 4 - 76 Like Sunday, Like Rain Mont. $1,552 -42.3% 4 -2 $388 $24,678 - 5 - 69 Ode to My Father CJ $1,469 -76.5% 1 -1 $1,469 $2,298,686 - 15 - 78 Ida MBox $1,428 -43.7% 4 - $357 $3,822,784 - 33 - - Eastern Boys FRun $808 - 1 - $808 $12,382 - 5 - 67 Detective K: Secret of the Lost Island CJ $771 -91.0% 1 -2 $771 $184,386 - 5 - 81 Amour Fou FM $334 -58.9% 1 - $334 $9,863 - 3 - N The Living Mont. $74 - 1 - $74 $74 - 1 - 83 3 Nights in the Desert Mont. $40 -93.5% 1 -1 $40 $1,279 - 5 TOTAL (41 MOVIES): $218,612,200 +45.5% 30,146 -7,106 $7,252
<<Last Weekend <Last Year	View Index: By Year | By Weekend

[MovieMan89]

So given no 3d it basically opened to IM3 attendance levels. Just crazy.

[Noctis]

Even better news, bitches, I'm back.

[sfran43]

<<Last Weekend <Last Year	View Index: By Year | By Weekend
Est. / Act. Diff Movie Title (click to view) Studio Studio Est. / Actual Diff % Diff Theaters Est. Total Actual Wk 1 1 - Furious 7 Uni. $143,623,000 $147,187,040 $+3,564,040 +2.5% 4,004 $143,623,000 $147,187,040 1 2 3 +1 Home (2015) Fox $27,400,000 $27,011,303 $-388,697 -1.4% 3,801 $95,621,000 $95,241,397 2 3 2 -1 Get Hard WB $12,925,000 $33,803,253 $+20,878,253 +161.5% 3,212 $57,004,000 $77,882,570 2 4 4 - Cinderella (2015) BV $10,289,000 $10,178,750 $-110,250 -1.1% 3,404 $167,251,000 $167,139,868 4 5 5 - The Divergent Series: Insurgent LG/S $10,000,000 $10,126,715 $+126,715 +1.3% 3,442 $103,385,000 $103,511,529 3 6 6 - It Follows RTWC $2,465,000 $2,513,459 $+48,459 +2.0% 1,655 $8,541,000 $8,589,144 4 7 8 +1 Woman in Gold Wein. $2,004,000 $2,091,551 $+87,551 +4.4% 258 $2,100,000 $2,187,302 1 8 9 +1 Kingsman: The Secret Service Fox $1,700,000 $1,808,652 $+108,652 +6.4% 1,327 $122,260,000 $122,366,182 8 9 10 +1 Do You Believe? PFR $1,500,000 $1,544,423 $+44,423 +3.0% 1,218 $9,811,000 $9,855,236 3 10 12 +2 The Second Best Exotic Marigold Hotel FoxS $1,000,000 $1,079,747 $+79,747 +8.0% 1,060 $30,059,000 $30,140,329 5 11 - -11 American Sniper WB $625,000 $874,053 $+249,053 +39.8% 623 $346,383,000 $346,632,481 15 12 7 -5 Run All Night WB $615,000 $2,178,380 $+1,563,380 +254.2% 1,015 $25,278,000 $26,841,469 4 13 - -13 McFarland, USA BV $563,000 $618,631 $+55,631 +9.9% 703 $41,719,000 $41,774,129 7 14 - -14 While We're Young A24 $493,000 $483,688 $-9,312 -1.9% 34 $791,000 $789,041 2 15 11 -4 Focus (2015) WB $430,000 $1,292,230 $+862,230 +200.5% 625 $52,806,000 $53,668,852 6 - - - The Gunman ORF $371,000 $385,194 $+14,194 +3.8% 1,027 $10,075,000 $10,089,669 3 - - - Danny Collins BST $324,000 $347,815 $+23,815 +7.4% 83 $954,000 $735,393 3 - - - Fifty Shades of Grey Uni. $248,000 $245,890 $-2,110 -0.9% 381 $165,465,000 $165,463,125 8 - - - The SpongeBob Movie: Sponge Out of Water Par. $230,000 $253,506 $+23,506 +10.2% 482 $160,816,000 $160,839,111 9 - - - Wild Tales SPC $225,000 $225,000 n/a +0.0% 122 $1,935,000 $1,935,000 7 - - - Paddington W/Dim. $192,000 $188,833 $-3,167 -1.6% 340 $75,027,000 $75,023,932 12 - - - What We Do in the Shadows U/P $188,000 $180,393 $-7,607 -4.0% 125 $2,466,000 $2,459,143 8 - - - Let's Get Married CL $180,000 $180,929 $+929 +0.5% 39 $180,000 $180,929 1 - - - Still Alice SPC $173,000 $173,000 n/a +0.0% 235 $18,228,000 $18,228,000 12 - - - David and Goliath REI $161,000 $161,000 n/a +0.0% 31 $161,000 $161,000 1 - - - The Imitation Game Wein. $133,000 $139,523 $+6,523 +4.9% 202 $90,784,000 $90,791,170 19 - - - The DUFF LGF $125,000 $106,267 $-18,733 -15.0% 246 $33,526,000 $33,507,082 7 - - - '71 RAtt. $84,400 $83,942 $-458 -0.5% 95 $1,144,500 $1,143,671 6 - - - Seymour: An Introduction IFC $73,500 $66,177 $-7,323 -10.0% 4,948 $310,300 $303,017 4 - - - The Salt of the Earth SPC $65,300 $65,300 n/a +0.0% 18 $137,500 $137,500 2 - - - Selma Par. $60,000 $63,262 $+3,262 +5.4% 135 $51,995,000 $51,998,118 15 - - - 5 to 7 IFC $19,600 $18,006 $-1,594 -8.1% 2 $19,600 $18,006 1 - - - The Hunting Ground RTWC $19,200 $19,406 $+206 +1.1% 24 $160,500 $160,704 6 - - - Timbuktu Cohen $18,900 $18,900 n/a +0.0% 18 $1,016,500 $1,016,500 10 - - - Deli Man Cohen $15,300 $15,300 n/a +0.0% 0 $432,300 $432,300 6 - - - 3 Hearts Cohen $14,000 $14,000 n/a +0.0% 22 $158,900 $158,900 4 - - - Love and Lost (Shi Gu) CL $5,300 $5,541 $+241 +4.5% 5 $179,300 $180,121 3 - - - Citizenfour RTWC $3,000 $3,032 $+32 +1.1% 4 $2,780,700 $2,779,112 24 TOTALS: $218,560,500 $245,752,091 $+27,191,591 +12.4% 34,965
<<Last Weekend <Last Year	View Index: By Year | By Weekend

[sfran43]

Lol at Get Hard estimates vs. Actual, get it together BOM.

[CJohn]

Lol at Get Hard estimates vs. Actual, get it together BOM.

Run All Night is also fucked up. All WB movies seem to be.

 

Anyway, Sunday drop of Furious 7 was better than the Saturday drop. 

Edited April 6, 2015 by CJohn

[BadAtGender]

I think there's something wrong with that Get Hard number.

[MovieMan89]

I think there's something wrong with that Get Hard number.

Maybe it's a grower not a shower?

[4815162342]

 the early ones struck me as being more self-serious. 

 

The second's title is 2 Fast 2 Furious. That's as self-aware as you can get.

[Noctis]

Honestly, this is the most astonishing number for any opener I've ever seen in my life.

 

The numbers are beyond ridiculous. 

 

Fucking amazing.

 

Very interesting that it had 3D in 40+ countries. 

[Krissykins]

Congrats to everyone involved in Furious 7.

A fitting send off for Paul Walker.

[DeeCee]

Thats why absolutes can never be used with BO. Trends help but we always have outliers, FF7 being the latest.

Only the Sith deal in absolutes.

[miketheavenger]

Wait, Furious 7 actually increased from estimates by nearly $4m?

 

[kayumanggi]

Good KINGSMAN drop.