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Dementeleus

AVENGERS Official Wknd Estimates: 191M - Disney

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This better at least get over 200m for the weekend

 

If it can hit 195 on its own, Disney will push it to 200 (and then just deflate the numbers over the next week). They kind of backed themselves into a corner yesterday with the announcement that they expected at least 200.

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It does make sense because as of now he was >10% off which is way more than any reasonable margin of error. Guy is a good resource but that's it.

It doesn't make sense. He sees the numbers and makes guesses based of the previous pattern films have followed. When a film creates a new pattern over the weekend there is only so much analysts can predict with little data.

He gets it right 95%+ of the time, which is much better than anyone else around.

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Gitesh deserves some props for sticking to his guns, however even he thought the preview # could lead to record #s so not completely accurate.

 

Well, it could have easily led to a record-shattering number. The movie has the screen count and the extra showtimes to put up a jawdropping number. All it would have taken was a good chunk of TA1's opening weekend audience mixed with a decent chunk of everyone else who waited until later in its run or even home video to see it. But for whatever reason people weren't as pumped as I expected.

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Like a month ago 70% of people thought it was going to do less like SM2 now today everyone keeps talking about how they expected it to do 225m and increase

 

When we say less like SM2 we mean less total. SM2 opened on a Wednesday and had a crazy big 6 day opening due to July 4th holidays. It still didn't reach the $400m total of SM1. Very few people here expected TA2 to reach TA1's total, but damn near everyone expected it to set a new opening weekend record. That is how sequels work when you're dealing with phenomenons like SM1, TA1, etc. Bigger opening and smaller total.

Edited by redfirebird2008
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It doesn't make sense. He sees the numbers and makes guesses based of the previous pattern films have followed. When a film creates a new pattern over the weekend there is only so much analysts can predict with little data.

He gets it right 95%+ of the time, which is much better than anyone else around.

We all know he gets it right often, didn't in this case (most followed OD/OW since TA1 so it's a decent miss this time).

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$82.7 million?

 

Even lower. $56 million Friday. $52.5 million Saturday, $45 million Sunday. $180.2 million weekend

 

Never mind. It's the wrong number..... :angry: ...lol

Edited by VGPOP
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