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Dementeleus

AVENGERS Official Wknd Estimates: 191M - Disney

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FIVE EXTRA HOURS

 

That means...if it were released at midnights (like normal films), then it would have done below TA1's OD!!!!!!

 

 

it doesn't seem any film has had a proper midnight only release since 2013 began. 

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No media outlet has a clue.  It's astonishing that after all these years, they don't put the effort in for decent extrapolations, or better yet, make public the data they're extrapolating from.  We could give a more precise projection/range if we were given Matinee gross.

 

To be fair, with number as high as 60M OD, even a tiny bit being off in modeling can lead to a very huge range.

it doesn't seem any film has had a proper midnight only release since 2013 began. 

 

Hobbit 2 did IIRC.

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No media outlet has a clue.  It's astonishing that after all these years, they don't put the effort in for decent extrapolations, or better yet, make public the data they're extrapolating from.  We could give a more precise projection/range if we were given Matinee gross.

 

Yep, as usual these numbers are usually more like darts until Rth comes along

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That would be great number

It would be, but at the same time, unlike IM3 and TA, where the previews accounted for around 22% of the OD, here they would accound for around 32%. That quite a bit more frontloaded and gives us a clue about the weekend as a whole. Anyway, let's see if the 87M figure holds first. 

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87m. Higher than the first and not a good number?

Its a good number. But with a much higher thursday it means lower friday..

And thats not good

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What time does Rth usually come around during these big weekends?

Maybe we should start on sacrificial ceremony to summon him.

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To be fair, with number as high as 60M OD, even a tiny bit being off in modeling can lead to a very huge range.

 

Hobbit 2 did IIRC.

 

Right, Hobbit 2 was 2013.  Oh I see, he said BEGAN.  Well, close enough. :D

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87m. Higher than the first and not a good number? 

 

Not great because of the increased frontloading. I mean, of course it's a solid, good number... but if it holds what it means is that TA2 is barely keeping pace despite being a sequel and 3 years of inflation and a wider IMAX release.

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This coming from someone who said he really liked the movie, but it's not a good movie as you put it..

 

Yeah, it's ok the like movies that aren't good...

 

:unsure:

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A 1:30pm prediction of 87M can actually mean a swing of 10% in either direction if the modeling is even slightly off. Will be interesting to see how the numbers evolve over the rest of the day.

 

In the case of TA1 they were off by close to 25%. Not saying it will happen again, but if it does TA2 is going over $100m by the end of the night.

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What time does Rth usually come around during these big weekends?

Maybe we should start on sacrificial ceremony to summon him.

 

The sooner we turn this into a sex thread, the sooner Rth will show

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FIVE EXTRA HOURS

 

That means...if it were released at midnights (like normal films), then it would have done below TA1's OD!!!!!!

 

No, it doesn't mean that. They would've packed a lot of showtimes into the post-midnight slot (a la TDKR).

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