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Weekend Estimates: JW: 102 IO 91...RTH: Sun JW 38.3 | IO 25.3 with possible upsides PG 287, possible 107M for JW weekend

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The competition was overrated. JW is a PG-13 film that no responsible parent should be taking their little kids to.

Define little...

I saw my first pg-13 movie in theaters when I was 5, and on DVD probably 3 or 4.

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Ummm...I was 7 when I saw JP1 and that movie is by all accounts scarier than JP4. Parents today are even more lenient than they were in 1993. Just look at all the violent video games and stuff on television that little kids watch today. JP4 is playing to all demographics. You don't reach $400m in 10 days without everyone contributing in big numbers.

 

It seems to me that JW is more violent but JP1 is scarier.

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The competition was overrated. JW is a PG-13 film that no responsible parent should be taking their little kids to.

 

 

Kids were crying at my showing. I know I had nightmares when I saw Jaws 3 when I was a kid. (For multiple reasons obviously)

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Domestic Box Office (Estimates) Weekend of Jun 19-21 RSS Feed: Studio Reported 3 Day Estimates
RANK TITLE DISTRIBUTOR NAME WEEKEND REVENUE CUME REVENUE
REVENUE # OF LOCATIONS* LOC AVG
1 Jurassic World Universal $102,018,525 4,291 23,775 $398,230,180
2 Inside Out Disney $91,056,000 3,946 23,075 $91,056,000
3 Spy 20th Century Fox $10,500,000 3,558 2,951 $74,374,449
4 San Andreas Warner Bros. $8,240,000 3,177 2,593 $132,228,894
5 Dope Open Road $6,017,929 2,002 3,005 $6,017,929
6 Insidious Chapter 3 Focus Features $4,112,000 2,553 1,610 $45,370,448
7 Pitch Perfect 2 Universal $3,294,110 2,146 1,535 $177,458,490
8 Mad Max: Fury Road Warner Bros. $2,815,000 1,424 1,976 $143,601,829
9 Avengers: Age Of Ultron Disney $2,723,000 1,662 1,638 $449,322,953
10 Tomorrowland Disney $2,009,000 1,764 1,138 $87,696,300
11 Entourage Warner Bros. $1,900,000 1,304 1,457 $29,610,134
12 Love & Mercy Roadside Attractions $1,694,868 794 2,134 $7,150,673

 

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The competition was overrated. JW is a PG-13 film that no responsible parent should be taking their little kids to.

If anything, JW holding well against Inside Out just proves Ted 2, Terminator and Minions won't hurt it too much. Ted 2 is an R comedy, Terminator is a PG-13 tentpole with minimal buzz, while Minions is PG and targets mostly kids. 

 

Ted 2 and Max combined should do $75-80 million at the most. Plus the 3rd weekend is when late legs start to develop. 40-45% drop due to inflated Sunday this week is likely. 

 

Terminator should do $30-40 million over the 3-day. Nothing compared to IO's $91 million OW. Add in a July 4th frame... 30-40% drop since Terminator isn't as kid-friendly as Jurassic World. 

 

Minions should help Jurassic World in the same way JW helped Pitch Perfect 2. Sellouts will cause people to spill over to JW or IO. Another 35-40% drop.

 

I see 30-40% drops until Ant-Man, personally. Then 4 weekends of 45-60% drops due to a new tentpole every week. 

 

Inside Out should hold solidly, too. 

 

June 2015 might set the record if Ted 2 surpasses the original's BO. 

Edited by mahnamahna
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Define little...

I saw my first pg-13 movie in theaters when I was 5, and on DVD probably 3 or 4.

Not every PG-13 is the same. Jurassic Park is in part a horror film, and this is a horror film too. Most little kids shouldn't be watching it.

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