Weekend Estimates: JW: 102 IO 91...RTH: Sun JW 38.3 | IO 25.3 with possible upsides PG 287, possible 107M for JW weekend

[MovieMan89]

Ant Man could be a disaster judging by AOU's under-performance. Actually Disney is putting out the only movies under-performing instead of over-performing so far this summer. It's like the exact opposite of what happened last summer.

[kayumanggi]

Been going over this for ages and atm don't see how IO doesn't do 30-32 , in fact I had higher numbers but brought it down (actually had done same with JW last friday but it even went higher than what I thought the higher result might be)

JW going with 31-35 for now

 

[Empire]

Been going over this for ages and atm don't see how IO doesn't do 30-32 , in fact I had higher numbers but brought it down (actually had done same with JW last friday but it even went higher than what I thought the higher result might be)

JW going with 31-35 for now

That is awesome for both!

[Dementeleus]

It would be hilarious because every defense of Avatar more or less comes down to how much money it made, and if a merely okay "homage/sequel/whatever" to an all time classic beats it... oh boy.

Oh, not for me. I'm happy to defend it on creative levels.

[grey ghost]

Xmas comp is too strong. Alvin 4 will take out $100 million. Then another $100 million will by taken by Daddys Home. And then Untitled Blumhouse 2 will take care of the rest.

It doesn't look like IO took much away from JW and SW is on another level.

Oh wait, this was sarcasm, right?

[CoolioD1]

175 m dom/500 m ww is a lock for all future MCU movies.

What this post presupposes is... maybe it isn't?

[MovieMan89]

If IO hits 100 OW, I'm just throwing out 150m for Minions right now.

[Deep Wang]

All it needs is to have a super fucking fan servicey last 15 minutes. no matter how mind-numbingly stupid and illogical it is, if it's jacking off the original in front of an audience of families people will go nuts for it. I'm just basing this off of jurassic world's run so far.

Goddamn. I love you.

[grey ghost]

Ant Man could be a disaster judging by AOU's under-performance. Actually Disney is putting out the only movies under-performing instead of over-performing so far this summer. It's like the exact opposite of what happened last summer.

Inside Out is Disney.

[BoxOfficeZ]

Our hsx holdings for JW are about to take another big jump. 

[Avatree]

A couple of recent overperformances doesn't mean every single movie you are interested in the near future is going to massively overperform.

[MovieMan89]

Inside Out is Disney.

True, though Pixar has felt like its own entity for a long time to me, despite the Disney ownership.

[BenedictL11]

Ant Man could be a disaster judging by AOU's under-performance. Actually Disney is putting out the only movies under-performing instead of over-performing so far this summer. It's like the exact opposite of what happened last summer.

Ant-Man is this year's Watchmen but it'll have better WOM and legs than it. However, it won't get much more than a 2.6 multiplier with a $52M OW (my prediction)

[Mango]

The hilarity that would ensue if Inside Out ends up having Finding Nemo legs and grossing $450-500 million, effectively bumping AoU to 4th place for the year domestically.

Edited June 20, 2015 by Mango

[grim22]

Looks like Nielsen may sell of their NRG division aka the people who provide tracking numbers for movies. Will be interesting to see who takes it over and whether they continue that business: http://deadline.com/2015/06/nielsen-nrg-research-company-jordan-edmiston-1201440331/

[CoolioD1]

A couple of recent overperformances doesn't mean every single movie you are interested in the near future is going to massively overperform.

I like the "all the upcoming dinosaur movies are gonna blow up now!" logic too. tell that shit to the mid-90s.

[MovieMan89]

Ant-Man is this year's Watchmen but it'll have better WOM and legs than it. However, it won't get much more than a 2.6 multiplier with a $52M OW (my prediction)

I'm very weary about Rudd being able to lead any tent-pole like that too. He just seems like someone who should probably stick to his adult comedy type casting.

[VGPOP]

$104.5 million weekend for JW.

 

Love it

[Jandrew]

It doesn't look like IO took much away from JW and SW is on another level.

Oh wait, this was sarcasm, right?

Nope. Alvin 4 is being severly underestimated.

[CoolioD1]

$104.5 million weekend for JW.

 

Love it

I want every weekend of jurassic world's run to be $1 million over whatever the avengers # was for that weekend.