Wednesday Actuals: Jurassic World 9.44M | Inside Out 9.37M

[redfirebird2008]

TL is a flop no matter what so double feature would have been better with AoU.

 

TA2 could certainly use the help in trying to get past the original Star Wars at $461m.

[PDC1987]

If JW performs like Edge of Tomorrow did this weekend last year (from a 9m Thurs)--

 

15.1m Friday (+68%)

20.84m Saturday (+39%) 

15m Sunday (-28%) 

 

50.94m weekend

 

It has no reason to do 60m. Even if it followed its dailies from last weekend (including the Father's Day hold) it would do 54m. It's just not happening.

 

-50% from the Father's Day weekend is a great third weekend, though. 

EOT lost 677 of its 3,212 theaters (over 21%) that Friday.

 

All the other comparable films lost theaters too.

Edited June 25, 2015 by PDC1987

[druv10]

Inflation/3D/IMAX or not, this is still pretty impressive for JP4:

 

Day 13 - passed E.T.

Day 14 - passes Shrek 2

Day 15 - passes TDKR, TA2, and possibly original Star Wars

 

At this point, they could pull it tomorrow and JW run would be beyond epic. No words can describe how impressive this run has been. It's lead over TA1 is over 41M and continues to grow; 3rd weekend will be fairly close to TA1's 3rd weekend. At this point I don't see how it misses 650M and finish 2nd to only Avatar.   

[druv10]

TA2 could certainly use the help in trying to get past the original Star Wars at $461m.

 

Yeah without any help, it should get to 456-458M. Late legs have been fairly good for AoU certainly better than IM3, DF with IO would have certainly helped it reach SW's 461M. Now, Antman will need to give AoU boost to surpass SW. 

[Mango]

Hmm... If IO follows Wall-E's multiplier (Pixar's lowest non-sequel multi), it ends with $320 million.

[redfirebird2008]

EOT lost 677 of its 3,212 theaters (over 21%) that Friday.

 

All the other comparable films lost theaters too.

 

Edge of Tomorrow dropped 22% on Thursday due to a World Cup game between USA and Germany, so the 68% jump on Friday despite the big theater loss was likely boosted by the artificially deflated performance on Thursday. The theater situation should help JP4 though. I'm thinking a weekend in the low 50's.

Edited June 25, 2015 by redfirebird2008

[Mitch]

How many theaters is this going tom drop today?

 

610+ based on Edge of Tomorrow?

 

I know its not good to base on past films but whats a ball-park?

 

Thanks

[redfirebird2008]

JP4 is apparently losing 95 theaters on Friday. That compares favorably with TDK and Avengers, which both lost 100 theaters in weekend #3. Hilariously enough, TA2 didn't lose a single theater in weekend #3. That movie just coasted on the reputation of the first Avengers.

[Ethan Hunt]

At my theatre, Inside Out, Ted 2, and Jurassic World all have an equal number bof showings on Friday (15) with JW taking most of the 3D

[Mitch]

JP4 is apparently losing 95 theaters on Friday. That compares favorably with TDK and Avengers, which both lost 100 theaters in weekend #3. Hilariously enough, TA2 didn't lose a single theater in weekend #3. That movie just coasted on the reputation of the first Avengers.

Honestly, for what this film has done, losing any theaters is a shame for week #3

 

Anothe movie hit hard by theater losses is Mad Max

 

STILL, MAX remains in the top 5 in PER. Theater AVG.

 

If it only had screens,

 

Dropping any for JW is insane though!

Edited June 25, 2015 by Mitch

[redfirebird2008]

Honestly, for what this film has done, losing any theaters is a shame for week #3

 

Anothe movie hit hard by theater losses is Mad Max

 

STILL, MAX remains in teh top 5 in PER. Theater AVG.

 

If it only had screens,

 

Dropping any for JW is insane though!

 

It blows my mind that TDK, TA1, and JP4 lost theaters in weekend #3 after all three of them had such ridiculous runs (including weekdays) for their first two weeks.

 

The fact that the same theaters dropping TA1 after a $103m weekend or JP4 after a $106m weekend thought it was a good idea to keep TA2 after a $77m weekend is hilarious.

[MovieMan89]

Hmm... If IO follows Wall-E's multiplier (Pixar's lowest non-sequel multi), it ends with $320 million.

Which is very realistic given the unusually high OW it had, animation multis these days, and Minions.

[e1828]

JW reaches Top 10 DOM in only 13 days. Surely that's another record right?

 

Nope the record is 1 day, the top movie on the first day ever a movie was released for public consumption.

[mahnamahna]

Hmm... If IO follows Wall-E's multiplier (Pixar's lowest non-sequel multi), it ends with $320 million.

 

$52 million ($185 million) - 40%+ 2nd weekend drop (reasonable) 

$38 million ($261 million) - small 3rd weekend drop due to July 4th and zero family competition 

$17 million ($295 million) - Minions causes 50-55% drop 

$11.5 million ($318 million) - Double features with Ant-Man should help a little

$7.5 million ($333 million) - Pixels hurts it a little

$6.5 million ($346 million) - no family competition=small drop 

$4 million ($353 million) - Shaun will hurt this slightly 

$2.5 million ($357 million) - same with Underdogs 

$2 million ($359 million) - small drop 

$1.5 million ($361 million) - small drop

$2.5 million/$3.25 million ($364 million) - Labor Day boost

$370 million DOM 

 

$320-370 million DOM is likely. $320 million on the low end, $370 million on the high end. Of course, if IO manages $55-58 million for its 2nd weekend, maybe it'll transform into a leggy behemoth 

Which is very realistic given the unusually high OW it had, animation multis these days, and Minions.

Unusually high? Incredibles, Monsters Inc, Toy Story 2 and Finding Nemo did $90-95 million, too  if anything, Inside Out is a return to classic Pixar OW levels (1999-2004). 

 

That 'animation multis' rule is bound to broken by something... a critically acclaimed original Pixar film like Inside Out has the best chance of doing it, IMO. LEGO would have just gotten a 4x ($19 million away from a 4x... if Muppets had stayed Christmas 2013, I think LEGO could have just made it), if Frozen hadn't become a juggernaut and Peabody/Muppets hadn't hurt its late legs 

 

Plus, Minions and IO do target slightly different demos of the family demo

IO=mature, slightly more sophisticated, adult-targeting 

Minions=fluffy, light-hearted, blatantly kiddish 

 

I think both can co-exist, better than MU and DM2. MU and DM2 were both fairly kiddie... and Planes/Turbo/Smurfs 2 didn't help lol. 

Edited June 25, 2015 by mahnamahna

[DAR]

TS3 and DM were able to co exist nicely

[A District 3 Engineer]

How many theaters is this going tom drop today?

 

610+ based on Edge of Tomorrow?

 

I know its not good to base on past films but whats a ball-park?

 

Thanks

 

 

Theater Counts > 2015 > Week 26

June 26 Updated Thursday afternoons   View Index Next Year > Next Week >> Rank LW Title Distributor Theater Count Change % Change Week # > NEW RELEASES 3 - Ted 2 Universal 3,442 - - 1 5 - Max (2015) Warner Bros. 2,855 - - 1 25 - A Little Chaos Focus Features 83 - - 1 36 - Big Game EuropaCorp 11 - - 1 38 - Batkid Begins Warner Bros. 4 - - 1 41 - The Third Man (2015 re-release) Rialto 3 - - 1 44 - Murder in the Park IFC 1 - - 1 > EXPANDING 2 2 Inside Out Buena Vista 4,132 +186 +4.7% 2 15 28 Me and Earl and the Dying Girl Fox Searchlight 354 +286 +420.6% 3 32 70 Infinitely Polar Bear Sony Classics 18 +13 +260.0% 2 33 73 Eden Broad Green Pictures 14 +11 +366.7% 2 34 60 The Salt of the Earth Sony Classics 14 +4 +40.0% 14 > NO CHANGE 29 37 Island of Lemurs: Madagascar (IMAX) Warner Bros. 35 - - 65 40 72 Chocolate City Freestyle Releasing 3 - - 6 42 - Barely Lethal A24 1 - - 8 > DECLINING 1 1 Jurassic World Universal 4,196 -95 -2.2% 3 4 3 Spy Fox 3,194 -364 -10.2% 4 6 4 San Andreas Warner Bros. 2,620 -557 -17.5% 5 7 7 Dope Open Road Films 1,851 -151 -7.5% 2 8 5 Insidious Chapter 3 Focus Features 1,612 -941 -36.9% 4 9 9 Avengers: Age of Ultron Buena Vista 1,097 -565 -34.0% 9 10 6 Pitch Perfect 2 Universal 1,053 -1,093 -50.9% 7 11 10 Mad Max: Fury Road Warner Bros. 961 -463 -32.5% 7 12 12 Love & Mercy Roadside Attractions 726 -65 -8.2% 4 13 8 Tomorrowland Buena Vista 714 -1,050 -59.5% 6 14 11 Entourage Warner Bros. 544 -760 -58.3% 4 16 14 Home (2015) Fox 275 -138 -33.4% 14 17 13 Aloha Sony / Columbia 240 -230 -48.9% 5 18 19 Paul Blart: Mall Cop 2 Sony / Columbia 236 -31 -11.6% 11 19 21 Hot Pursuit Warner Bros. 202 -53 -20.8% 8 20 16 Poltergeist (2015) Fox 187 -108 -36.6% 6 21 22 The Age of Adaline Lionsgate 154 -49 -24.1% 10 22 20 Far from the Madding Crowd Fox Searchlight 153 -103 -40.2% 9 23 23 The Divergent Series: Insurgent Lionsgate/Summit 145 -35 -19.4% 15 24 15 Woman in Gold Weinstein Company 141 -174 -55.2% 13 26 25 Ex Machina A24 81 -43 -34.7% 12 27 26 Get Hard Warner Bros. 77 -38 -33.0% 14 28 27 Testament of Youth Sony Classics 64 -8 -11.1% 4 30 42 The Water Diviner Warner Bros. 21 -2 -8.7% 10 31 36 Saint Laurent Sony Classics 19 -19 -50.0% 8 35 40 Beyond the Mask Gathr Films 11 -19 -63.3% 12 37 53 Slow West A24 8 -6 -42.9% 6 39 58 While We're Young A24 4 -7 -63.6% 14 43 77 Do You Believe? Pure Flix 1 -1 -50.0% 15

[Killimano3]

Pretty steep drops. But both had great tuesdays so probably nothing too bad

[Mr Terrific]

I'm not seeing the theater count update on BOM.

Where is this linked from?

[A District 3 Engineer]

BOM.

[Asyulus]

BOM.

You already realized that he already said BOM?