Mojoguy Posted July 1, 2015 Share Posted July 1, 2015 Your the Man IO 8.8,JP4 7.4, Ted2 3.8 Thanks for the #s! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Dark Alfred Posted July 1, 2015 Share Posted July 1, 2015 IO keeps pulling away from JW, defo staying ahead over the weekend. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pepsa Posted July 1, 2015 Share Posted July 1, 2015 So... I want to see if I've acquired any RTH power. Let's see how these numbers turn out today: Inside Out: 8.9m (+29%) Jurassic World: 7.5m (+15%) Ted 2: 3.7m (flat) Rth would aprove Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pepsa Posted July 1, 2015 Share Posted July 1, 2015 Why does minions get released next week, why???? It could have had a drop of 25% next week, but now it will get destroyed +50% drop Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
goldenstate5 Posted July 1, 2015 Share Posted July 1, 2015 (edited) Why does minions get released next week, why???? It could have had a drop of 25% next week, but now it will get destroyed +50% drop Because Universal loves making money and parents irritated at their children imitating minions Edited July 1, 2015 by goldenstate5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
redfirebird2008 Posted July 1, 2015 Share Posted July 1, 2015 Why does minions get released next week, why???? It could have had a drop of 25% next week, but now it will get destroyed +50% drop Inside Out is having a great run and will finish with a really big total regardless of Minions. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Asyulus Posted July 1, 2015 Share Posted July 1, 2015 I hope IO is not gonna smacked down by Minions. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahnamahna Posted July 1, 2015 Share Posted July 1, 2015 (edited) Why does minions get released next week, why???? It could have had a drop of 25% next week, but now it will get destroyed +50% drop Two factors to consider: As Baumer has pointed out, 2009's post July 4th weekend all had sub-50% holds. Even though Bruno was the only competitor, Terminator/MMXXL won't exactly crowd the marketplace, while JW is on the tail end of its phenomenal run. Inside Out/Pixar have far more adult appeal than Minions/Illumination. It's clear that Minions is a fluffy comedy for little kids, while Inside Out is leaving adults in tears. Similar to how Spy and Ted 2 managed to co-exist despite both being R-rated comedies, I could see IO dropping 40-45% against Minions and then having 10-30% drops until Labor Day. IO also has better WOM than Monsters U, so it shouldn't drop 56+% against Minions. Especially if it opens to $80-90 million, instead of the $120-140 million many are expecting. If it holds 25-30% this weekend, and does 40-45% against Minions (48-52% much more likely), then it'll make a run for $400 million DOM. Either way, two animated films are going to do $300 million+ DOM, after a year where none made it to $260 million DOM. Good Dinosaur could still do it, too! Especially if Peanuts ends up disappointing. Edited July 1, 2015 by mahnamahna 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
redfirebird2008 Posted July 1, 2015 Share Posted July 1, 2015 Two factors to consider: As Baumer has pointed out, 2009's post July 4th weekend all had sub-50% holds. Even though Bruno was the only competitor, Terminator/MMXXL won't exactly crowd the marketplace, while JW is on the tail end of its phenomenal run. Inside Out/Pixar have far more adult appeal than Minions/Illumination. It's clear that Minions is a fluffy comedy for little kids, while Inside Out is leaving adults in tears. Similar to how Spy and Ted 2 managed to co-exist despite both being R-rated comedies, I could see IO dropping 40-45% against Minions and then having 10-30% drops until Labor Day. IO also has better WOM than Monsters U, so it shouldn't drop 56+% against Minions. Especially if it opens to $80-90 million, instead of the $120-140 million many are expecting. If it holds 25-30% this weekend, and does 40-45% against Minions (48-52% much more likely), then it'll make a run for $400 million DOM. Either way, two animated films are going to do $300 million+ DOM, after a year where none made it to $260 million DOM. Good Dinosaur could still do it, too! Especially if Peanuts ends up disappointing. Aren't you pretty optimistic on just about everything? Why lowball Minions by that much on the opening? I think it's going to be enormous and I tend to be pretty conservative with my predictions. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahnamahna Posted July 1, 2015 Share Posted July 1, 2015 Aren't you pretty optimistic on just about everything? Why lowball Minions by that much on the opening? I think it's going to be enormous and I tend to be pretty conservative with my predictions. I was just saying it's possible. I fully expect $110-130 million OW but because of how adult-skewing Inside Out is, I don't think Minions will cause it to completely collapse. 55-60% drop isn't happening with this kind of WOM. Especially if it drops 25-30% this weekend. 45-50% is more likely. I think both can co-exist quite easily. Especially since the animated film market isn't too crowded this summer 2013: DM2 - $370 million MU - $270 million Epic - $110 million Planes - $90 million Turbo - $80 million Smurfs 2 - $70 million 2015 Minions - $450 million IO - $375 million Underdogs - $35 million Shaun - $20 million $875 million vs. $990 million. So even if both do $350 million+ DOM, the animated film lineup will be $115 million+ behind summer 2013. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lilmac Posted July 2, 2015 Share Posted July 2, 2015 Hiya Jurassic World is at 62,426,100 while Spider man(2002) ended with 69,484,700. It will beat it this week. Oh and hey people, new here(although I've been following the box office threads for some time now.) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Asyulus Posted July 2, 2015 Share Posted July 2, 2015 I was just saying it's possible. I fully expect $110-130 million OW but because of how adult-skewing Inside Out is, I don't think Minions will cause it to completely collapse. 55-60% drop isn't happening with this kind of WOM. Especially if it drops 25-30% this weekend. 45-50% is more likely. I think both can co-exist quite easily. Especially since the animated film market isn't too crowded this summer 2013: DM2 - $370 million MU - $270 million Epic - $110 million Planes - $90 million Turbo - $80 million Smurfs 2 - $70 million 2015 Minions - $450 million IO - $375 million Underdogs - $35 million Shaun - $20 million $875 million vs. $990 million. So even if both do $350 million+ DOM, the animated film lineup will be $115 million+ behind summer 2013. Only $10m for $1b, thats terrific. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
