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CJohn

Tuesday Numbers | Inside Out - 6.4M; Jurassic World - 4.8M; Terminator Genisys - 4M; Magic Mike XXL - 3.2M (Actuals Page 13)

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rthandhisMinions, on 08 Jul 2015 - 01:14 AM, said:

Definitely in need of something

don't believe i'm doing this, roughly

IO 6.1,JP4 4.5,TG 3.6,MM2 3.3

 

 

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Opening a Tuesday numbers thread at 5pm Pacific? Seriously CJohn? These numbers can change hugely from now through midnight.

They were given by Rth. That is how we roll. 

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Magic Mike could have a 4+ multiplier from the 12M weekend. Only needs around 14M more for that.

 

??? Are you including the $15m from last Wednesday/Thursday and then calculating the multiplier only based on the weekend? To get a 4 multi from the weekend, it needs to reach $51m excluding the $15m it made Wednesday/Thursday and $66m including those days.

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??? Are you including the $15m from last Wednesday/Thursday and then calculating the multiplier only based on the weekend? To get a 4 multi from the weekend, it needs to reach $51m excluding the $15m it made Wednesday/Thursday and $66m including those days.

For BSG purposes we only look at 3 day weekend for multipliers. MMXXL could end up screwing a lot of people if it hits 50M.

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For BSG purposes we only look at 3 day weekend for multipliers. MMXXL could end up screwing a lot of people if it hits 50M.

 

How can you do that on a Wednesday opener? If anything you would need to average the 3-day and 5-day to come up with a reasonable idea of how it would have opened on a Friday.

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Magic Mike could have a 4+ multiplier from the 12M weekend. Only needs around 14M more for that. The weekend numbers were hilariously awful for it but weekday numbers have been somewhat respectable.

 

Always funny how the multipliers end up with non-Friday openers.  Take The Amazing Spider-Man for instance, its opening weekend was $62 million, and its total domestic gross was over $262 million, this would suggest a multiplier over 4.2 suggesting very good legs, but it opened on a Tuesday and already had burned through $75 million (much higher than its opening weekend), similar to Magic Mike XXL, which opened on Wednesday and already banked $15 million prior to its opening weekend (which was less than its first two days).

 

Always thought a better comparison was to take a film's first 7 days and extrapolate legs from there.  This is a better (but not perfect) apples - to apples comparison to try to minimize the effect of having had weekdays prior to the opening weekend.  For The Amazing Spider-Man that would equate to a 1.81, compare that to The Dark Knight, opening weekend $158,411,483, total domestic gross of $533,345,358 for a multiplier of 3.37, by that logic then The Amazing Spider-Man had better legs than The Dark Knight?  But if we use the first 7 days $238,615,211, we get a multiplier of 2.23, showing by this example that The Dark Knight had much better legs than The Amazing Spider-Man.  

 

​Another example would show The Incredible Hulk (2008) to be 1.799 and Spiderman (2002) to be 2.66.  On the other end of the spectrum is Titanic with a 7 day multiplier of 11.34.

 

Just have to figure out what's considered "poor" legs, "great" legs, "average" etc. using this metric.

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