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CJohn

Weekend Estimates: Minions - 115.2M; JW - 18.1M; Inside Out - 17.1M; Gallows - 10M; Self/Less - 5.4M; MMXXL - 9.6M; T5 - 13.7M

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I thought the general consensus prior to MM:FR opening was that it was going to bomb because it sat on the shelf too long, nobody cared about Mad Max, the film was being thrown to the dogs by being put in a crowded summer slot. Or was that only before trailers dropped? Am I misrembering?

 

That was well before the release. General sentiment got (somewhat) upgraded to "well, it'll open around 30m, which isn't that good, and it probably won't get to 100m".

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Probably not... Well I guess it depends on how much over 70M were talking

 

If it has a 59% drop (what AOU had) from 70 it'll be at 28.7M. 55% (GOTG) would be 31.5M. Those are probably the worst/best case scenarios.

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#Minions

Date Daily Gross

Jul 12, 2015 $30,816,665

Jul 11, 2015 $38,859,535

Jul 10, 2015 $46,042,205

Awesome holds!

So Friday was 39.8 without the previews

Sat 38.9 (less than a million drop) a -3% drop without previews - almost flat

Sun 30.8

Especially Sunday. (-21% drop)

Edited by MinaTakla
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So could Pixels be another Pacific Rim style tracking freefall? I remember tracking OW predictions dropping from $50m to as low as $25m as the days went on.

I don't remember PR tracking ever being anywhere near $50 million.

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Pixels seems like a movie I would be all over if it didn't star Adam Sandler and Kevin James. Can't stand the two of them nowadays. If it were, say, Paul Rudd and Jason Segel in their roles, I'd be there opening weekend.

 

Exactly. First strike against it was Adam Sandler and Kevin James, then the unfunny trailer drove away any interest that might have been there.

 

Same concept could work with better jokes and better leads. This could bomb big time.

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BoxOffice.com

1 min ·

INSIDE OUT took in $17.67M this weekend. Domestic total stands at $284.20M. ‪#‎InsideOut‬

 

4th weekend multipliers

284.20 + 17.67*3.6 = 347.8m (TS3's multiplier)

284.20 + 17.67*3.7 = 349.6m (DM2's multiplier)

284.20 + 17.67*4.0 = 354.9m

284.20 + 17.67*4.3 = 360.1m

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I don't remember PR tracking ever being anywhere near $50 million.

OK, I just pulled that number out of my ass I guess. Whatever it was, I remember the eventual $25-30m tracking being a steep drop, to the point where the $37m OW was a recovery.

Edited by TServo2049
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