Weekend Estimates (pg31): The Martian 37 | HT2 20.3 | Pan 15.5 | Intern 8.66 | Sicario 7.35 | The Walk 3.65 | Steve Jobs 521k

[Macleod]

99 Homes Foreclosed

 

 

Why did they open this so wide so fast?

 

I'm wondering if Zhang Yimou's Coming Home is gonna hit the top five this weekend (yes, sarcasm) -- I was one of five in my local theater on Friday night...the other four were two geriatric couples.

 

And the punchline is the box office guy heard me wrong and actually sold me a ticket for 99 Homes...so I didn't even give money to the film I wanted to...sigh. 

Edited October 11, 2015 by Macleod

[filmlover]

99 Homes Foreclosed

 

 

Why did they open this so wide so fast?

 

I think they were contractually obligated to. The movie had a lot of buzz when it screened at the festivals last fall and then was picked up, but then the studio sat on it for a year and decided to release at a time when there was so much competition that it would have no chance to survive.

Edited October 11, 2015 by filmlover

[filmlover]

Also, Freeheld won't even make half a million. Thank the movie gods for Still Alice last year.

[TStechnij]

Freeheld is really an epic flop.

Double featuring The Martian and Sicario today!

[TServo2049]

Also, BOM doesn't keep this list, but Pan's estimate just squeaks into the 10 worst openings in over 3,500 locations. For the actual to be in the bottom 10, it just has to not increase any more than $26k with actuals (which is how much it is under the Footloose remake).

In terms of attendance, Pan's estimate is either the 6th or 7th worst OW admissions in over 3,500 theaters (BOM's adjuster decreases the $15.5m to $15.1m, putting it under the adjusted OW for Nim's Island; since the Q3 average is not in yet, their adjuster is dividing the Q2 '15 average by the Q1+Q2 '15 average. BOM's quarter vs. year adjustments are strange...)

Either way, it sucks.

Edited October 11, 2015 by TServo2049

[Jake Gittes]

 

Also: Stephen Daldry's Trash made $10,000 from 17 theaters for an average of $588. 

 

Wait until it gets nominated for Best Picture anyway

[TStechnij]

Wait until it gets nominated for Best Picture anyway

I'm always mystified at how much The Academy likes him.

[FilmBuff]

Great hold for the Martian. Oscars here we come!

[Fancyarcher]

Wait until it gets nominated for Best Picture anyway

 

It's not getting a push, so I doubt any of the members of the academy will actually see it, unlike EL&IC.

[WrathOfHan]

Next weekend will be a fun one to watch, The Martian or any of the new releases could be number one and we might have 4 movies over 20M.

[grim22]

Next weekend will be a fun one to watch, The Martian or any of the new releases could be number one and we might have 4 movies over 20M.

 

It doesn't look that good for Crimson Peak to be honest, it has had pretty bad marketing and it isn't even a horror movie according to Del Toro. The younger audience has Goosebumps to go to, the older audience will choose Bridge of Spies (Spielberg + Hanks should get it a 20M OW at the very least), and of course The Martian and HT2 will both be holding well. Crimson Peak is coming in targeting no specific audience at all, it won't have enough horror for horror-junkies and doesn't look appealing enough for anyone else.

[WrathOfHan]

It doesn't look that good for Crimson Peak to be honest, it has had pretty bad marketing and it isn't even a horror movie according to Del Toro. The younger audience has Goosebumps to go to, the older audience will choose Bridge of Spies (Spielberg + Hanks should get it a 20M OW at the very least), and of course The Martian and HT2 will both be holding well. Crimson Peak is coming in targeting no specific audience at all, it won't have enough horror for horror-junkies and doesn't look appealing enough for anyone else.

I can see Crimson Peak having strong holds in weekends 2 and 3 but dropping off completely after that.

[filmlover]

For next weekend I have Goosebumps at $25M, Crimson Peak at $16M, and Bridge of Spies at $15M. Bridge of Spies looks too old-fashioned and dry to open any higher than mid-teens (especially when it's going to skew so old, like expect a 90%+ over 60 demographic report) but legs afterwards should be excellent since its only competition is Steve Jobs, which it can easily co-exist with.

Edited October 11, 2015 by filmlover

[TalismanRing]

Worldwide Box Office (Estimates) Weekend ending Oct 11

 

Title	Weekend BO Estimate			Weekend Cume Release			Distributor*
	Worldwide	International	Domestic	Worldwide	International	Domestic	Inter'l	# of Ter	Dom
Martian, The	$95,100,000	$58,100,000	$37,000,000	$227,710,329	$119,000,000	$108,710,329	FOX	75	FOX
Hotel Transylvania 2	$43,000,000	$22,700,000	$20,300,000	$207,721,641	$90,900,000	$116,821,641	SNY	60	SNY
Pan	$36,030,000	$20,500,000	$15,530,000	$40,630,000	$25,100,000	$15,530,000	WB	55	WB
Goodbye Mr. Loser	$32,350,000	$32,000,000	$350,000	$132,350,000	$132,000,000	$350,000	MUL	2	CHI
Intern, The	$23,460,000	$14,800,000	$8,660,000	$107,174,047	$57,600,000	$49,574,047	WB	63	WB
Inside Out	$22,040,000	$21,600,000	$440,000	$818,763,318	$464,400,000	$354,363,318	DIS	22	DIS
Maze Runner: The Sco...	$21,250,000	$16,000,000	$5,250,000	$239,543,390	$168,900,000	$70,643,390	FOX	62	FOX
Sicario	$13,750,000	$6,400,000	$7,350,000	$43,406,016	$16,700,000	$26,706,016	MUL	63	LGF
Everest	$11,131,600	$8,100,000	$3,031,600	$159,011,815	$120,800,000	$38,211,815	UNI	66	UNI
Walk, The	$8,850,000	$5,200,000	$3,650,000	$13,461,499	$7,100,000	$6,361,499	SNY	61	SNY
Fack ju Gohte 2	$7,300,000	$7,300,000		$125,000,000	$125,000,000		CON	2	N/A
Er ist wieder da	$7,300,000	$7,300,000		$7,300,000	$7,300,000		CON	2	N/A
Lost In Hong Kong	$7,200,000	$7,200,000		$240,032,787	$239,000,000	$1,032,787	MUL	6	N/A
Chronicles of the Gh...	$6,000,000	$6,000,000		$100,000,000	$100,000,000		MUL	1	N/A
Black Mass	$5,730,000	$2,600,000	$3,130,000	$63,568,791	$6,000,000	$57,568,791	WB	18	WB
Visit, The	$5,018,625	$2,600,000	$2,418,625	$83,253,150	$22,200,000	$61,053,150	UNI	26	UNI
Advocate: A Missing ...	$3,700,000	$3,700,000		$3,760,000	$3,760,000		CJE	1	N/A
Saving Mr. Wu	$3,500,000	$3,500,000		$25,000,000	$25,000,000		MUL	4	N/A

 

[CJohn]

Crimson Peak is gonna bomb pretty hard. I am thinking it barely cracks 10M OW at this point.

[WrathOfHan]

Crimson Peak predictions:

 

Week 1: 20M OW, 4M from weekdays

Week 2: 13M Weekend, 2M from weekdays (39M)

Week 3: 9M Weekend, 1.5M from weekdays (49.5M)

 

Drops like a rock after that and legs to 60M.

[filmlover]

Crimson Peak is gonna bomb pretty hard. I am thinking it barely cracks 10M OW at this point.

I won't too be surprised, to be honest. I want to see it but I just don't think there's much of an audience today for a Victorian era horror costume romance that relies more on atmosphere building than "boo" moments. Universal is pushing Steve Jobs much more, at least from the TV I've watched.

 

In other news, Steve Jobs is opening here next weekend. Can't wait!

Edited October 11, 2015 by filmlover

[CJohn]

I won't too be surprised, to be honest. I want to see it but I just don't think there's much of an audience today for a Victorian era horror costume romance that relies more on atmosphere building than "boo" moments. Universal is pushing Steve Jobs much more, at least from the TV I've watched.

 

In other news, Steve Jobs is opening here next weekend. Can't wait!

Oh yeah, I can't wait to see Crimson Peak as well. But I am not the GA

 

Steve Jobs only opens internationally on the November 12 weekend At least we are getting it on that weekend. 

[WrathOfHan]

It's pretty amazing how weak the legs on Black Mass are. It had a 51% drop on the second weekend, 47 last, and 46.5 this weekend. 

[Jonwo]

Universal are only distributing CP as Legendary fully funded so they're not going to lose out much.

Edited October 11, 2015 by Jonwo