Weekend Estimates: Bond 35.4M, Peanuts 24.2M, Coopers 8.4M, Martian 6.7M, 33 5.8M

[grim22]

If anyone cares: http://deadline.com/2015/11/spectre-second-weekend-by-the-sea-bombing-angelina-jolie-brad-pitt-1201622151/

 

James Bond remains the guy with the golden gun at No. 1 as Sony/MGM/Eon’s Spectre is looking at a second Friday that’s off by 55%-60% from a week ago with $11M-$12M and a second frame that’s in the range of $33M-$35M at 3,929 venues.  Like its opening weekend, Spectre‘s second weekend is second best among the 007 Daniel Craig canon, ranking above Casino Royale‘s sophomore sesh of $30.8M and behind Skyfall‘s $41.1M. By Sunday, Spectre could be as high as $130.3M. Bond is still holding his Imax and PLF cards before Katniss arrives next Thursday night to steal them away.

 

20th Century Fox’s The Peanuts Movie is looking at a -45% second FSS in No. 2 with $28.7M for a 10-day cume of $87M. The studio’s The Martian is looking at another fantastic hold of -25% in its seventh week putting it at $6.8M and $207.5M by Sunday. 

 

Alcon Entertainment’s The 33 from Warner Bros. is not looking so hot, with a FSS that’s between $3.5M-$6M in 2,452 venues. Similar to Coopers, some are expecting the low side. While the film is going after the faith-based, it has the upper hand over Clarius Entertainment’s football dramaMy All American which is also coveting the same crowd. Keep in mind, My All American isn’t even on as many screens, only 1,565, and it’s looking at a low score of $1M-$2M.

[Jake Gittes]

That would be great for Spectre if it happened. No matter how different the audiences of Bond and Twilight might be, it definitely helps to not have a 70m opener (like QoS did) or a 140m opener (like Skyfall did) in your second weekend. 

[Dementeleus]

Thrilling numbers.

 

I bet SPECTRE comes in somewhat lower for the weekend; those numbers seem a touch optimistic.

[WrathOfHan]

Eh for Spectre and Peanuts

Great for The Martian

New releases  

[WrathOfHan]

My predictions for The Martian's weekends until the end of the year (including Deadline's estimate for this weekend):

 

6.8

5.1

4.6 (Thanksgiving)

3.5

2.5

1.8

1.5 (Christmas)

 

220 is locked and 240 is possible. If it gets a lot of Oscar nominations then it could have more strong weekend holds.

Edited November 13, 2015 by WrathOfHan

[Ozymandias]

Solid for SPECTRE, hopefully it ends up on the high end.

 

Botany Powers still impressing.

 

[Jayhawk the Hutt]

That would be great (relatively) for Spectre. Solid for Peanuts, hopefully it can increase. Martian keeps chugging along. I wonder if 250m is possible at the rate it's going, especially with the holidays and awards season coming up.

[Ethan Hunt]

Oh shit... For some reason I was surprised to see this thread

 

 

[John Marston]

It's interesting how the 50th anniversary hype was pretty much the only reason why Skyfall was so huge 

[Ethan Hunt]

1 minute ago, John Marston said:

It's interesting how the 50th anniversary hype was pretty much the only reason why Skyfall was so huge 

 

 

[Maxmoser3]

Spectre and Peanuts are doing okay holds but Spectre will probably drop next Friday.

[Wrath]

Wow. Dreadful if those new release numbers hold up.

[RichWS]

Star Wars didn't open this weekend? Shit.

[filmlover]

Hardly surprising that these collectively and astonishingly unappealing looking openers are looking to be puny grossers. By the Sea's awful limited numbers are hardly a surprise, all the starpower in the world could never save a poorly reviewed movie that was dumped into 10 theaters with zero marketing.

[Tau Ceti]

25 minutes ago, Jake Gittes said:

That would be great for Spectre if it happened. No matter how different the audiences of Bond and Twilight might be, it definitely helps to not have a 70m opener (like QoS did) or a 140m opener (like Skyfall did) in your second weekend. 

 

I agree. I don't know why people were so down on Spectre's chances to beat Peanuts this weekend. It's as close to competition free as you can get. Still early though.

 

Disappointed in The 33. It seems topical enough, decent cast, reasonably exciting. I was hoping it could drum up a million admissions at least.

 

Running out of things to say about The Martian. Will hit a 4 multi before Thanksgiving. Pacing to be at least top 20 multiplier ever among +50M openers.

[MovieGuyKyle17]

Not surprised about the new releases. None of them looked appealing at all. Next week will be great with Hunger Games and Seth Rogen's Christmas film.

Sent from my SM-G900V using Tapatalk

[Ethan Hunt]

You know what we could do to.make this weekend fun? 

 

Stage an all out war between The Hunger Games fandom and the Star Wars fandom

[grim22]

15 minutes ago, MovieGuyKyle17 said:

Not surprised about the new releases. None of them looked appealing at all. Next week will be great with Hunger Games and Seth Rogen's Christmas film.

 

Sent from my SM-G900V using Tapatalk

 

 

 

Weird thing I noticed about MJ2's release - none of the big movies from next year are attaching their trailers to it. BvS, Civil War, Apocalypse, ID4-2 and others are all waiting till Star Wars. MJ2 is getting Allegiant and Gods of Egypt - both Lionsgate releases.

[RichWS]

2 minutes ago, Ethan Hunt said:

You know what we could do to.make this weekend fun? 

 

Stage an all out war between The Hunger Games fandom and the Star Wars fandom

 

Lobot > Every character in Hunger Games

[CoolioD1]

I'm trying to remember the names of hunger games characters. I got jennifer lawrence, thor's brother, peter but spelled in a dumb way. i'm pretty sure PSH's character is something stupid like Honeycomb Dongleberry or whatever.