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grim22

Weekend #s. MJ2 51.6/75.7M, TGD 39.2/55.6M lowest Pixar opening since Bugs Life, Creed 30/42M biggest OW for a boxing movie

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Not as good as expected jumps for MJ2 and TGD. TGD will be Pixar's lowest 3 day weekend apart from Bug's Life and among their lower openers even considering the 5 day, TGD will end the 5 day stretch trailing Tangled by over 10M, MJ2 will trail MJ1 by over 30M, Creed will actually overperform expectations.

 

@BoxOffice: CREED earned an estimated $11.7M on Friday. 3-day domestic total is $24.18M. #Creed

 

@BoxOffice: THE GOOD DINOSAUR earned an estimated $15.663M on Friday. 3-day domestic total is $32.04M. #TheGoodDinosaur

 

@BoxOffice: THE HUNGER GAMES: MOCKINGJAY - PART 2 earned an estimated $21.25M on Friday. Domestic total is now $168.0M. #Mockingjay #TheHungerGames

 

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Deadline is so persistent to use cinemascores like they mean something, it's actually kinda really annoying at this point.

 

Okay for Mockingjay, poor for TGD (actual WOM looks to be kinda mixed), and good for Creed.

Edited by Daniel Dylan Davis
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1). The Hunger Games: Mockingjay – Part 2 (LGF), 4,175 theaters (0) / $20.8M Fri. (+100%) / 3-day cume: $48.9M (-52%) /5-day cume:$73M /Total cume: $195.6M/Wk 2

2). The Good Dinosaur (DIS), 3,749 theaters / $15.1M Fri. (+130%) / 3-day cume: $38M /5-day cume: $54.4M /Wk 1

3). Creed (MGM/New Line/WB), 3,404 theaters / $11.2M Fri. (+74%) / 3-day cume: $27.3M /5-day cume: $39.7M /Wk 1

4). Spectre (SONY), 2,940 theaters (-719)/ $5.2M Fri. (+94%)/ 3-day cume: $12.9M (-14%)/5-day cume: $18.3M/ Total cume: $176.2M /Wk 4

5). The Peanuts Movie (FOX), 3,006 theaters (-665)/ $3.9M Fri. (+172%) / 3-day cume: $9.7M (-27%)/5-day cume:$13.6M/Total cume: $116.8M /Wk 4

6). The Night Before (SONY), 2,960, theaters (0)/ $2.9M Fri.(+75%)/ 3-day cume: $7.3M (-26%)/5-day cume:/Total: $10.6M/Total cume: $23.2M/Wk 2

7). Secret In Their Eyes (STX), 2,392 theaters / $1.7M Fri.(+130%) / 3-day cume: $4.5M (-32%)/5-day: $6M/Total cume: $14.1M/Wk 2

8). Spotlight (OPRD), 897 theaters (+299) / $1.6M Fri. (+178%) / 3-day cume: $4.3 (+22%) /5-day:$5.5M/ Total cume: $12.2M /Wk 4

9). Love The Coopers (LGF), 1,951 theaters (-652)/ $1.26M Fri. (+66%) / 3-day cume: $3.3M (-20%) /5-day cume:$4.6M/Total cume: $20.7M/Wk 3

10). The Martian (FOX), 1,407 theaters (-679) / $1.28M Fri. (+100%)/ 3-day cume: $3.1M (-18%)/5-day: $4.35M/ Total cume: $218.5M / Wk 9

11). Brooklyn (FSL), 824 theaters (+713) / $1.28M Fri. (+163%)/3-day cume: $3.3M (+181%)/5-day: $4.3M/Total cume: $6.7M /Wk 4

12). Victor Frankenstein (FOX), 2,737 theaters / $804K Fri. (+71%)/3-day cume: $2M/5-day: $3.1M/Wk 1

Notables:

Tamasha (UTV), 182 theaters / $68K Fri./3-day cume: $699K / 5-day: $1.1M/Wk 1

Legend (UNI), 40 theaters / $100K Fri. (+87%) /3-day cume: $252K (+190%)/3-day PTA: $6K /5-day: $372K/Total cume: $482K/Wk 2

Carol (TWC), 4 theaters / $70K Fri. (+110%) /3-day cume: $194K (-23%) /3-day PTA: $49K/5-day cume: $267K/Total: $579K/Wk 2

The Danish Girl (FOC), 4 theaters / $68K Fri./3-day cume: $189K / Per screen: $47K /Wk 1

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Really sad for TGD. It is closer to Rise of the Guardian's 5 day opening than Frozen's. Not sure I get what the deal is there, especially since a mere few weeks ago many were predicting a 5 day opening higher than Frozen and tracking suggested that as well. It better have great WOM or I will officially be angry about its performance. 

 

Edited by MovieMan89
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7 minutes ago, grim22 said:

1). The Hunger Games: Mockingjay – Part 2 (LGF), 4,175 theaters (0) / $20.8M Fri. (+100%) / 3-day cume: $48.9M (-52%) /5-day cume:$73M /Total cume: $195.6M/Wk 2

2). The Good Dinosaur (DIS), 3,749 theaters / $15.1M Fri. (+130%) / 3-day cume: $38M /5-day cume: $54.4M /Wk 1

3). Creed (MGM/New Line/WB), 3,404 theaters / $11.2M Fri. (+74%) / 3-day cume: $27.3M /5-day cume: $39.7M /Wk 1

4). Spectre (SONY), 2,940 theaters (-719)/ $5.2M Fri. (+94%)/ 3-day cume: $12.9M (-14%)/5-day cume: $18.3M/ Total cume: $176.2M /Wk 4

5). The Peanuts Movie (FOX), 3,006 theaters (-665)/ $3.9M Fri. (+172%) / 3-day cume: $9.7M (-27%)/5-day cume:$13.6M/Total cume: $116.8M /Wk 4

6). The Night Before (SONY), 2,960, theaters (0)/ $2.9M Fri.(+75%)/ 3-day cume: $7.3M (-26%)/5-day cume:/Total: $10.6M/Total cume: $23.2M/Wk 2

7). Secret In Their Eyes (STX), 2,392 theaters / $1.7M Fri.(+130%) / 3-day cume: $4.5M (-32%)/5-day: $6M/Total cume: $14.1M/Wk 2

8). Spotlight (OPRD), 897 theaters (+299) / $1.6M Fri. (+178%) / 3-day cume: $4.3 (+22%) /5-day:$5.5M/ Total cume: $12.2M /Wk 4

9). Love The Coopers (LGF), 1,951 theaters (-652)/ $1.26M Fri. (+66%) / 3-day cume: $3.3M (-20%) /5-day cume:$4.6M/Total cume: $20.7M/Wk 3

10). The Martian (FOX), 1,407 theaters (-679) / $1.28M Fri. (+100%)/ 3-day cume: $3.1M (-18%)/5-day: $4.35M/ Total cume: $218.5M / Wk 9

11). Brooklyn (FSL), 824 theaters (+713) / $1.28M Fri. (+163%)/3-day cume: $3.3M (+181%)/5-day: $4.3M/Total cume: $6.7M /Wk 4

12). Victor Frankenstein (FOX), 2,737 theaters / $804K Fri. (+71%)/3-day cume: $2M/5-day: $3.1M/Wk 1

Notables:

Tamasha (UTV), 182 theaters / $68K Fri./3-day cume: $699K / 5-day: $1.1M/Wk 1

Legend (UNI), 40 theaters / $100K Fri. (+87%) /3-day cume: $252K (+190%)/3-day PTA: $6K /5-day: $372K/Total cume: $482K/Wk 2

Carol (TWC), 4 theaters / $70K Fri. (+110%) /3-day cume: $194K (-23%) /3-day PTA: $49K/5-day cume: $267K/Total: $579K/Wk 2

The Danish Girl (FOC), 4 theaters / $68K Fri./3-day cume: $189K / Per screen: $47K /Wk 1

 

Top 10 3 day 159.3m vs 151.9m last year, 189.5m 2013

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TGD marketing campaign was going so so so well until October. Then it's like Disney didn't decide to kick it into second gear. I heard nobody talking about the movie online or in real life, which has never happened for Pixar. No non-trade reviews were released until this week which reeked of the studio being afraid of a wide broad reception too early in the month. The fact that this definitely appeared their most "kiddie" film in a while, coupled with the fact that their comeback/most "adult" movie exploded just this year, this apparently seemed like a film worth burying for the studio. I doubt they're too upset, Dory and Moana are gonna do great great business next year (I refuse to believe movies like Zootopia can still make money). 

 

Creed is our first real breakout since The Martian. WOM's fantastic too. Should be able to play through January. 

 

Peanuts might not break a 3x. That's crazy, inexplicable and terrible. Watch families come out for everything over Xmas in full force. 

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These last 5 years has been pretty awful for animated movies that opened on Thanksgiving weekend.

FLOPS:
Arthur Christmas (2011)
Rise of the Guardians (2012)
Penguins of Madagascar (2014)

Disappointing:
The Good Dinosaur (2015)

HITS:
Frozen (2013)

If an animated movie doesn't open high enough on Thanksgiving weekend, it kind of ends up falling off the map even with holiday weekdays.

The jury is still out on TGD, which really should be doing better because it is not like The Peanuts movie stole away all the audience or anything. Peanut's legs have been pretty bad for an animated film.

Edited by Mojoguy
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Deadlines 5 day cume for Creed are off. As of friday if the numbers is 27,3 after a 11,2 mill friday the 5 day will be in the 42-43 mill minimum and could go as high as 45 mill when WOM is this strong

Edited by fmpro
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2 hours ago, MovieMan89 said:

Really sad for TGD. It is closer to Rise of the Guardian's 5 day opening than Frozen's. Not sure I get what the deal is there, especially since a mere few weeks ago many were predicting a 5 day opening higher than Frozen and tracking suggested that as well. It better have great WOM or I will officially be angry about its performance. 

 

Well, tracking has just been shit lately, from this to HG to Spectre. I only expect that to continue with SW, BvS and Civil War.

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Haven't been following the numbers very much lately (getting married and having a kid almost immediately is life consuming) but how are the Creed numbers?

 

I'm really rooting for that movie because I'm a big MBJ and Rocky fan.

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