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Star Wars The Force Awakens: Opening Weekend | Actuals In 1st Post | $247,966,675 | The Force Awoke... and it's not sleeping anytime soon | 119, 68, 60

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1 minute ago, The Panda Menace said:

So 

119m

68m

60m

 

My overly optimistic calculations

Mon: 40.2m (-33%)

Tue: 44.2m (+10%)

Wed: 36.7m (-17%)

Thu: 31.2m (-15%)

400m 1st week total

 

Fri: 64m (+105%)

Sat: 51.2m (-20%)

Sun: 44.5m (-13%)

159.7m 2nd Weekend (-35.5%)

559.9m 10 Day total

 

Mon: 27.6m (-38%)

Tue: 32.6m (+18%)

Wed: 27.1m (-17%)

Thu: 20.3m (-25%)

667.5m 2 Week Total, 2015 Total

 

Fri: 45.7m (+125%)

Sat: 41.1m (-10%)

Sun: 32.9m (-20%)

119.7m 3rd Weekend

787.2m

 

Over Avatar in three weeks :ph34r:

that christmas eve drop is highly unrealistic, as are the tuesday increases, historical daily patterns do not support this prediction

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4 minutes ago, The Panda Menace said:

So

119m

68m

60m

 

My overly optimistic calculations

Mon: 40.2m (-33%)

Tue: 44.2m (+10%)

Wed: 36.7m (-17%)

Thu: 31.2m (-15%)

400m 1st week total

 

Fri: 64m (+105%)

Sat: 51.2m (-20%)

Sun: 44.5m (-13%)

159.7m 2nd Weekend (-35.5%)

559.9m 10 Day total

 

Mon: 27.6m (-38%)

Tue: 32.6m (+18%)

Wed: 27.1m (-17%)

Thu: 20.3m (-25%)

667.5m 2 Week Total, 2015 Total

 

Fri: 45.7m (+125%)

Sat: 41.1m (-10%)

Sun: 32.9m (-20%)

119.7m 3rd Weekend

787.2m

 

Over Avatar in three weeks :ph34r:

I know it's overly optimistic, but no way does Thursday only drop 15%. More like 30-40%. Oh hey, 2000 posts!

Edited by Jayhawk the Hutt
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A lot of people seem to think that Force Awakens will be frontloaded, but I feel like the same multiple as Avengers or Jurassic World (x3) is pretty much guaranteed. Even if this opened in the summer, if we look at the Friday:Weekend ratio without counting previews, it comes to roughly 1:3, which is the same as Avengers and Jurassic World. For comparison's sake, Avengers: Age of Ultron has a 1:2.87 or so ratio, and Furious 7 has a 1:2.54 ratio, and both of these films were much more frontloaded.

 

Now since it's Holiday season, weekdays are higher than during the summer, so I feel like Force Awakens should at least hit a 3.5 multiple for a 868M domestic total.

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So I just matched giantcalbears donation of 25 and added 50 of my own.....that $60.00 donation towards 2016 that you see up there is my $75.00 Canadian donation.  :)

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9 minutes ago, The Panda Menace said:

So 

119m

68m

60m

 

My overly optimistic calculations

Mon: 40.2m (-33%)

Tue: 44.2m (+10%)

Wed: 36.7m (-17%)

Thu: 31.2m (-15%)

400m 1st week total

 

Fri: 64m (+105%)

Sat: 51.2m (-20%)

Sun: 44.5m (-13%)

159.7m 2nd Weekend (-35.5%)

559.9m 10 Day total

 

Mon: 27.6m (-38%)

Tue: 32.6m (+18%)

Wed: 27.1m (-17%)

Thu: 20.3m (-25%)

667.5m 2 Week Total, 2015 Total

 

Fri: 45.7m (+125%)

Sat: 41.1m (-10%)

Sun: 32.9m (-20%)

119.7m 3rd Weekend

787.2m

 

Over Avatar in three weeks :ph34r:

 

You don't think there could be an increase on Boxing Day? 2009 (same dates) had all movies except Sherlock increase.

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6 minutes ago, grey ghost said:

And Iger didn't want to push back the TFA release date to December.

 

Whoever convinced him to do it will probably get a promotion next Monday.

 

IT WAS ME!

 

Gimme da raise.

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2 minutes ago, ecstasy said:

So my theater's next 2d showing is sold out. That's interesting.  Let me check on other theaters. Wasn't expecting a sell out mid day. But then there are a lot of kids where I live.

For Monday posters reported sell-outs and 3h lines for the timeframe before midday

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36 minutes ago, Darth AndyLL said:

 

4.03274589668105

That final 5 is repeating, of course.

 

Edit - Here, 9 of today's 14 showings are sold out or nearly so (1-2 seats remaining), so I'm guessing holds might be ok.

Edited by Wrath
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So Disney proves AGAIN that they have no interest in "round numbers" or fudging.   Maybe they won't be accused of that next time during an OW wait.

 

17 hours ago, #ED2-D2 said:

Weekend Thread pages tho...

 

Not a record.

Probably because posters were too busy watching the movie.   :D

 

7 hours ago, terrestrial said:

Not seen in this detail I think

According to Forbes:

Age: it played 8% 12 & under, 9% 13-16, 20% 17-25, 26% 26-34, 24% 35-49, and 13% 50 and over.

 

Interesting.   So 63% of the audience was not even born when ANH came out...plus a portion of the 35-49 group too.   I think 65% is a good number.

 

2 hours ago, Darth Homer said:

The prequels didn't leave a bad taste in everyone's mouths. TPM and AOTC were both huge hits with the public and ROTS even won over many critics and fans who didn't care for the first two. It's revisionist history to claim that they were hated by everyone or devalued the SW brand. TFA wouldn't have opened as high as it did if the prequels hadn't grown the audience for the franchise. And Lucas never intended to write the script or direct TFA even before the sale, so there was no way it would have been another TPM, quality-wise. Probably the only difference if it had been made under his watch instead of Disney and KK's would be that it wouldn't have played the nostalgia card so heavily.

The problem here is that the "nostalgia card" had nothing to do with the PT.    If what you say is true, wouldn't they have thrown in some nostalgia for the PT too?

 

I think a big part of this was the perception that SW7 was going to divorce itself from the PT completely.

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Just got back from my 3rd viewing of TFA. Awesome theater, first off. NCG is the theater I just went too and paid 8 dollars for the Xtreme theater. (RPX) equivalent, could not believe how cheap it was. Next the 12:05 showing, just a regular 2D showing was sold out, and my showing is sold out. When I left the next 3-4 showings were sold out too by the time I got home. Pretty amazing for a Monday!

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28 minutes ago, B J said:

percentage wise, outside of the first week of may, it is insane, best ever actually.

 

It is also the biggest percentage difference between #1 and #2 ever when both of the movies in the top two spots were new releases. Alvin and the Chipmunks the Road Chips needs to be renamed Alvin and the Chipmunks: Roadkill.

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