Weekend Actuals (Page 93): TFA 42.35M | The Revenant 39.83M | Daddy's Home 15.02M | The Forest 12.74M | Sisters 7.19M

[tokila]

5 minutes ago, Baumer said:

I don't see how Ride Along 2 isn't number one next weekend.  This site always under estimates films with a strong black audience.  Ride Along had a 3.25X and that is rather unusual for a this kind of film.  Plus you have MLK weekend, so I see no reason why RA2 doesn't win the weekend with about 35-40 million.

yep.

 

Ride Along 2 would have to be epically bad(sub 20% RT) to not get number 1 next weekend. This does not bother me at all. I think 95% of us predicted from the beginning that RA2 would be the movie to knock off TFA from number 1. 

 

I wont see RA2 in theaters, but if it decent I will definitely watch it on the playstation network in a few months. I enjoyed the 1st one, did not think it was great, but definitely gave me a few hard laughs. (The Call of Duty parody was great)

[wildphantom]

Ride Along will definitely top next weekend. I think it will go over $40 million. 

[baumer]

I like Kevin Hart and Ice Cube but RA was annoying to me.  I will not be seeing this one at all.  But that doesn't mean others didn't love it.

[baumer]

5 minutes ago, nickitaly said:

I hope 40 in 4 days...

 

Impossible.  

[terrestrial]

50 minutes ago, MonstersandRoy said:

...Avatar is the only wide December release I can remember (last 15 years) still achieving significant numbers by 2nd Saturday of Jan, and that was a 60.2% jump from $13.2 to $21.2m in 2010. Whereas the likes of LOTR were jumping from 3.8m to 6.5m and Hobbit1 2.3 to 4m, TFA is doing $10m to $19m. Don't see those jumps that often on that scale of business. But there isn't much to compare with it, as most December releases, like the ones you had mentioned had died down quite a bit to small grosses by 2nd weekend of Jan. Would also say all those films mentioned were probably aiming at a similar audience too, young+old.

 

I see a slight difference of conditions.... (meant as addition to the general discussion)

 

this weekend's estimate:

	Star Wars 7	$41,000,000	-55%	4,134	0	$9,918	$811,381,043		Disney
	The Revenant (2015)	$36,500,000	+8050%	3,375	3371	$10,815	$38,056,901		Fox

 

2nd January weekend 2010

TW	LW	Title (click to view)	Studio	Weekend Gross	% Change	Theater Count / Change		Average	Total Gross	Budget*	Week #
1	1	Avatar	Fox	$50,306,217	-26.6%	3,422	-39	$14,701	$430,846,514	-	4
2	2	Sherlock Holmes	WB	$16,585,327	-54.7%	3,626	-	$4,574	$165,153,093	$90	3
3	3	Alvin and the Chipmunks: The Squeakquel	Fox	$16,566,489	-52.9%	3,641	-106	$4,550	$178,451,165	$75	3
4	N	Daybreakers	LGF	$15,146,692	-	2,523	-	$6,003	$15,146,692	$20	1
5	4	It's Complicated	Uni.	$11,007,875	-41.5%	2,955	+58	$3,725	$76,370,540	$85	3
6	N	Leap Year	Uni.	$9,202,815	-	2,511	-	$3,665	$9,202,815	$19	1
7	5	The Blind Side	WB	$7,531,467	-36.8%	2,880	-46	$2,615	$218,978,376	$29	8
8	6	Up in the Air	Par.	$7,159,294	-33.2%	2,218	+323	$3,228	$54,801,035	$25	6
9	N	Youth in Revolt	W/Dim.	$6,888,334	-	1,873	-	$3,678	$6,888,334	$18	1
10	7	The Princess and the Frog	BV	$4,651,156	-52.7%	2,620	-708	$1,775	$92,546,727

[CJohn]

That is a pretty good Saturday number for both of them. 

[Jessie]

On 09/01/2016 at 0:27 PM, a2knet said:

 

I think it's tough to sell movies where antagonists and protagonists are not well defined. There is no one to root for/against in the promos as all are hateful. Even having one well defined good main character and/or one well defined bad one gives coherence to the trailer. Maybe Jackson was supposed to be that guy but the marketing doesn't make it clear.

 

Also, maybe he should have made a non-western after Django and then re-visited the genre.

 

Nah, hateful 8 was great, I'm glad he made it. 

[WrathOfHan]

What an insane jump for SW.

[Bishop54]

The wheels are coming off of Star Wars. 

[baumer]

11 minutes ago, Bishop54 said:

The wheels are coming off of Star Wars. 

 

[takerowns]

Star Wars wasn't even that great of a movie...

[mahnamahna]

$42 million for a 4th weekend is still amazing. A 50-55% drop should have been expected.

 

$39-40 million for The Revenant is excellent - should get a 3.5x-4x if it gets enough Oscar nods.

 

Both should be above $30 million next weekend... Ride Along 2 also. Then 13 Hours possibly going above $20 million. Big MLK weekend ahead 

[The Panda]

2 hours ago, Baumer said:

I don't see how Ride Along 2 isn't number one next weekend.  This site always under estimates films with a strong black audience.  Ride Along had a 3.25X and that is rather unusual for a this kind of film.  Plus you have MLK weekend, so I see no reason why RA2 doesn't win the weekend with about 35-40 million.

 

I think it's decreasing from the first one (in OW, legs, and WoM), but I am seeing that'll be a hit.

[WrathOfHan]

35 minutes ago, Bishop54 said:

The wheels are coming off of Star Wars. 

 

10 minutes ago, takerowns said:

Star Wars wasn't even that great of a movie...

 

 

[terrestrial]

BoxOffice ‏@BoxOffice

THE HATEFUL EIGHT took in an estimated $6.35M this weekend and has grossed $41.47M to date domestically. #TheHatefulEight

[terrestrial]

The Hateful Eight

$6,351,000

-60%

2,938

464

$2,162

$41,473,820

Carol

$1,474,000

25%

525

336

$2,808

$6,992,293

Son of Saul

$28,250

-14%

4

0

$7,063

$204,868

= early Studio estimates weekend

[WrathOfHan]

60% drop for Hateful Eight, wow.

[The Stingray]

@Telemachos Tele, Angus has passed away. 

 

[terrestrial]

47 minutes ago, The Good Olive said:

Sunday est:

SW7: 136M/346M($52.5M = cume)

Detective Chinatown 26.8M/634M

MR. SIX 14.8M/823M

SHERLOCK 10.4M/135M($20.6M)

 

24 minutes ago, The Good Olive said:

January 15th will see 4 wide releases, so EP7 will lose fair amount of screens if it doesn't hold well on weekdays.

January 15th:

The Last Witch Hunter

Royal Treasure：Go Fighting movie

The Secret

Boonie Bears III （opening on Saturday）

 

4 minutes ago, terrestrial said:

China Box Office ‏@ChinaBoxOffice 

#StarWars #TheForceAwakens earned est. $20.7M on Sunday, 35% drop from opening day. 2-day China total is $52.7M.

That account is connected to BO.com btw

Edited January 10, 2016 by terrestrial

[a2k]

55 minutes ago, Bishop54 said:

The wheels are coming off of Star Wars. 

 

It's normal, the Mach 7 is trying to land safely