Weekend revised estimates and 4 days totals pg 43 4 day est: RA2: 41.6: The Rev: 39.0... SW7: 32.5

[DAR]

NotN behold the power of Rob Schneider 

[MovieMan89]

1 minute ago, Fake said:

FRI: 6.4

SAT: 11.2 (+75%)

SUN: 7.9 (-30%)

MON: 5.5 (-30%)

 

31M 4-Day. I wonder what kind of multiplier DL is using........

Probably the ROTK/Hobbit patterns, where the Sat jump was in the 90% range. 

[babz06]

13 hours did about as well as it could considering it's not an awards season player and had no real movie stars. 

[Daxtreme]

10 minutes ago, Fake said:

FRI: 6.4

SAT: 11.2 (+75%)

SUN: 7.9 (-30%)

MON: 5.5 (-30%)

 

31M 4-Day. I wonder what kind of multiplier DL is using........

 

They probably went for a 20% sunday drop, and then a 25% monday drop.

 

SUN: 9

MON: 6.5

 

33M 4-day

Edited January 16, 2016 by Daxtreme

[MikeQ]

If the projections hold up (and who knows if they actually will, I don't trust Deadline), but if they are correct, that's a terrific second weekend for The Revenant. Only a 22% drop for the 3-day, and a mere 8% drop for the 4-day. That's a remarkable hold, especially since it had opened to nearly $40 million to begin with. We'll see if this actually comes to fruition or if it's lower with the real estimates & actuals.

 

Peace,

Mike

[MovieMan89]

8 minutes ago, DAR said:

NotN behold the power of Rob Schneider 

Truly amazing an actor could possess the kind of draw power in this day and age to score a 7 digit opening.

[RogueLeader]

So does TFA have ANY chance of being #1 this weekend?

 

Seems like a REAL long shot.

[picores]

RIDE ALONG 2 (Using RA1 drops)

 

Fri: 11.8

Sat: 13.6 (+16%)

Sun: 8.5 (-38%)

Mon: 5.8 (-32%)

 

3-Day: 33.9

4-Day: 39.7

 

 

STAR WARS. THE FORCE AWAKENS

 

Fri: 6.4

Sat: 11.5 (+80%)

Sun: 8.6 (-26%)

Mon: 6.5 (-25%)

 

3-Day: 26.5

4-Day: 33.0

 

 

REVENANT (Using Lone Survivor as pattern)

 

Fri: 9.3

Sat: 14.3 (+54%)

Sun: 7.2 (-50%)

Mon: 5.4 (-25%)

 

3-Day: 30.8

4-Day: 36.2

Edited January 16, 2016 by picores

[Biggestgeekever]

24 minutes ago, Fake said:

FRI: 6.4

SAT: 11.2 (+75%)

SUN: 7.9 (-30%)

MON: 5.5 (-30%)

 

31M 4-Day. I wonder what kind of multiplier DL is using........

Any reason you're using reason a worse Saturday bump than last week? 

Edited January 16, 2016 by Biggestgeekever

[RogueLeader]

Only 33 million for the 4 day weekend?

 

I was hoping for like 40 million for the 4 day weekend. I guess that will not be happening, then?

 

::SIGH::

 

What happened to those 30% drops everyone was saying this film would have?

Edited January 16, 2016 by RogueLeader

[picores]

25 minutes ago, MovieMan89 said:

If The Revenant wins BP it will probably hit 200 DOM. 

 

It's hitting 200m even without winning BP i think.

[Daxtreme]

7 minutes ago, RogueLeader said:

So does TFA have ANY chance of being #1 this weekend?

 

Seems like a REAL long shot.

 

Well, not really, although if it jumps by like 100%+ again Saturday, for 12.8+ total, and then drops only 20-25% on both sunday and monday, that would mean a ~37-38M 4-day week-end. Still not enough for #1

 

Unless, that is, if Ride Along 2 drops a lot more than expected, and The Revenant starts dropping a lot too, which is highly unlikely.

 

0.1% chance of happening I would say.

Edited January 16, 2016 by Daxtreme
typo

[dxmatrixdt]

NORM OF THE NORTH

[The Panda]

1 hour ago, filmlover said:

 

 

 

That's actually me starring in those commercials btw

[MinaTakla]

100M for the revenant in almost 12 days is remarkable given its almost 3 hours so less showtimes

 

[Fancyarcher]

16 minutes ago, The Panda said:

 

That's actually me starring in those commercials btw

 

Always figured you were a naturally talented actor.

Edited January 16, 2016 by Daniel Dylan Davis

[JonathanLB]

Wow! 6.4 would be fantastic. I agree anything 6+ is great. I don't care if Revenant killed TFA Friday - good for it! Great. I'm just happy about TFA

 

Also above, why did you write 5.5 Monday? Why would a day off be less than Friday? Probably it won't be. It may be flat. Not everyone has it off but many do..

[Rman823]

1 hour ago, Daniel Dylan Davis said:

 

I know. NOTN doesn't deserve a penny for trying to appeal to lowest common denominator possible. Just awful.

 

Thankfully kids are mostly ignoring it.

One of my Facebook friends took their kids and said it was the worst movie they had ever seen. Said it couldn't even keep their kids attention. At least it stopped some other parents from taking their kids. They chose Alvin instead which I guess is the lesser of two evils. 

[tokila]

1 hour ago, Fake said:

FRI: 6.4

SAT: 11.2 (+75%)

SUN: 7.9 (-30%)

MON: 5.5 (-30%)

 

31M 4-Day. I wonder what kind of multiplier DL is using........

your sunday drop is too hard. Sunday will play more like a saturday(slightly down because church and some people are not off Mon) because most people are off the next day. A 15% drop Sat to sun is feasible IMO.

Edited January 16, 2016 by tokila

[Fancyarcher]

1 minute ago, Rman823 said:

One of my Facebook friends took their kids and said it was the worst movie they had ever seen. Said it couldn't even keep their kids attention. At least it stopped some other parents from taking their kids. They chose Alvin instead which I guess is the lesser of two evils. 

 

Ha-ha!

 

I guess they made the right choice. At least TRC doesn't look like absolutely complete shit.