Weekend Estimates (Page 25): Zootopia 73.7M | London Has Fallen 21.71M | Deadpool 16.4M | WTF 7.6M

[BenedictL11]

3 minutes ago, Dingdong123 said:

 

I think March is a different time of the year. Grosses are concentrated on the weekends, that's why some OW multipliers are not that high. I see the film's current target is at $240-260M, which will still be a massive success for Disney.

 

I'd definitely love if it exceeds my predictions tho.

Worse than Sherman's multiplier as the low range? Absolutely not. 

[MrFanaticGuy34]

8 minutes ago, goldenstate5 said:

 

Simpsons was extremely front-loaded though.

 

True. I agree....but it opened high. That's something we shouldn't forget.

[Jake Gittes]

8 minutes ago, BenedictL11 said:

255? No way it will go that low. It has a better chance of getting to $300M than only getting $255M (only a 3.5, That would be barely better than Mr. Peabody & Sherman's multiplier, which didn't have that strong WOM).

 

Just being cautious. It's possible to be a very well-received animated movie and not go above 3.5x. 

[BenedictL11]

Just now, Jake Gittes said:

 

Just being cautious. It's possible to be a very well-received animated movie and not go above 3.5x. 

It's good to be cautious but Sherman and Peabody (animated film from 2 years ago) didn't have that strong WOM (it was good though); yet, it managed it a 3.5 multiplier.

[POTUS 2020]

Did GOE close already?

No number reported 

[Jayhawk the Hutt]

Mid-high 200s ain't bad at all for Zootopia. 300m remains a nice stretch goal.

[WrathOfHan]

Damn, Zootopia has already outgrossed IO in China

 

 

[WrathOfHan]

TW	LW	Title (click to view)	Studio	Weekend Gross	% Change	Theater Count /Change		Average	Total Gross	Budget*	Week #
1	N	Zootopia	BV	$73,700,000	-	3,827	-	$19,258	$73,700,000	-	1
2	N	London Has Fallen	Focus	$21,714,000	-	3,490	-	$6,222	$21,714,000	$60	1
3	1	Deadpool	Fox	$16,400,000	-47.3%	3,624	-232	$4,525	$311,158,132	$58	4
4	N	Whiskey Tango Foxtrot	Par.	$7,600,000	-	2,374	-	$3,201	$7,600,000	$35	1
5	2	Gods of Egypt	LG/S	$5,000,000	-64.6%	3,117	-	$1,604	$22,848,320	$140	2
6	4	Risen	Sony	$3,885,000	-43.0%	2,507	-408	$1,550	$28,650,923	$20	3
7	3	Kung Fu Panda 3	Fox	$3,525,000	-60.4%	2,700	-596	$1,306	$133,831,833	-	6
8	10	The Revenant	Fox	$3,325,000	-15.9%	1,488	-157	$2,235	$175,976,921	$135	11
9	6	Eddie the Eagle	Fox	$3,100,000	-49.1%	2,044	+2	$1,517	$10,861,132	$23	2
10	7	The Witch	A24	$2,509,453	-50.5%	1,715	-489	$1,463	$20,920,027	-	3
11	5	Triple 9	ORF	$2,128,347	-65.2%	2,205	-	$965	$10,239,381	-	2
12	8	How to Be Single	WB	$2,115,000	-57.8%	1,602	-1,445	$1,320	$43,318,465	$38	4
13	21	Spotlight	ORF	$1,831,889	+148.9%	1,227	+542	$1,493	$41,628,028	-	18
14	11	Star Wars: The Force Awakens	BV	$1,811,000	-39.4%	1,021	-412	$1,774	$928,788,515	$200	12
15	9	Race (2016)	Focus	$1,486,000	-63.8%	1,286	-1,101	$1,156	$16,485,563	-	3
16	N	The Other Side of the Door	Fox	$1,200,000	-	546	-	$2,198	$1,200,000	-	1
17	13	Ride Along 2	Uni.	$717,000	-52.4%	607	-334	$1,181	$89,514,865	$40	8
18	15	The Lady in the Van	SPC	$708,468	-40.0%	429	-173	$1,651	$7,107,029	-	14
19	16	The Big Short	Par.	$535,000	-47.0%	314	-229	$1,704	$69,384,117	$28	13
20	23	Room	A24	$445,220	-23.2%	565	+35	$788	$14,145,117	-	21

 

Dailies:

 

1

ZOOTOPIA Buena Vista 3,827

$19,469,000 -- / $5,087 $19,469,000 / 1

$31,755,000 +63.1% / $8,298 $51,224,000 / 2

$22,476,000 -29.2% / $5,873 $73,700,000 / 3

 

[MCKillswitch123]

Well, not the 90M I was hoping for, but even still, an incredible achievement for a movie that I thought looked lame when I was first introduced to it around the time of D23. I thought Moana and Gigantic looked vastly superior and that this could've been WDAS's 1st bad movie AND bomb since the start of the Disney 3D Renaissance (Winnie The Pooh obviously notwithstanding). But apparently, I was dead, dead wrong, and Moana is in a position of serious pressure to be just as good if not better than Zootopia now. Hell, Finding Dory is in a tough position after this. Third biggest debut ever for an entirely original film, only behind Avatar and Inside Out. Crazy.

 

Expecting a 2nd weekend drop of about 30% or slightly more, which will definitely be enough to pull over the one all eyes will be set on to see just how (sadly) enormous its Sunday drop will be in 10 Cloverfield Lane. Or that might just surprise everyone, who knows? Either way, it should definitely do repeat business at #1. Threepeating though, I still have my doubts.

[Jake Gittes]

2 minutes ago, BenedictL11 said:

It's good to be cautious but Sherman and Peabody (animated film from 2 years ago) didn't have that strong WOM (it was good though); yet, it managed it a 3.5 multiplier.

 

It also opened with just 40% of what Zoo made and didn't have a likely $150m+ opener waiting for it in its fourth week. 

[sfran43]

• Single Day
• Screens & Shows
• Weekly/weekend
• Full Week

<< PREVIOUS	Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 312002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Rank* Title Friday 3/4 (Estimates) Saturday 3/5 (Estimates) Sunday 3/6 (Estimates) Monday 3/7 1 ZOOTOPIA Buena Vista 3,827 $19,469,000 -- / $5,087 $19,469,000 / 1 $31,755,000 +63.1% / $8,298 $51,224,000 / 2 $22,476,000 -29.2% / $5,873 $73,700,000 / 3 N/A 2 LONDON HAS FALLEN Focus Features 3,490 $7,588,000 -- / $2,174 $7,588,000 / 1 $8,561,000 +12.8% / $2,453 $16,149,000 / 2 $5,565,000 -35% / $1,595 $21,714,000 / 3 N/A 3 DEADPOOL Fox 3,624 $4,700,000 +123.4% / $1,297 $299,458,132 / 22 $7,350,000 +56.4% / $2,028 $306,808,132 / 23 $4,350,000 -40.8% / $1,200 $311,158,132 / 24 N/A 4 WHISKEY TANGO FOXTROT Paramount 2,374 $2,430,000 -- / $1,024 $2,430,000 / 1 $3,204,000 +31.9% / $1,350 $5,634,000 / 2 $1,966,000 -38.6% / $828 $7,600,000 / 3 N/A 5 GODS OF EGYPT Lionsgate/Summit 3,117 $1,330,000 +95.1% / $427 $19,178,320 / 8 $2,240,000 +68.4% / $719 $21,418,320 / 9 $1,430,000 -36.2% / $459 $22,848,320 / 10 N/A 6 RISEN Sony / Columbia 2,507 $1,075,000 +113.1% / $429 $25,840,923 / 15 $1,625,000 +51.2% / $648 $27,465,923 / 16 $1,185,000 -27.1% / $473 $28,650,923 / 17 N/A 7 THE REVENANT Fox 1,488 $885,000 +109.4% / $595 $173,536,921 / 71 $1,536,000 +73.6% / $1,032 $175,072,921 / 72 $904,000 -41.1% / $608 $175,976,921 / 73 N/A 8 EDDIE THE EAGLE Fox 2,044 $880,000 +165.7% / $431 $8,641,132 / 8 $1,430,000 +62.5% / $700 $10,071,132 / 9 $790,000 -44.8% / $386 $10,861,132 / 10 N/A 9 KUNG FU PANDA 3 Fox 2,700 $780,000 +93.8% / $289 $131,086,833 / 36 $1,680,000 +115.4% / $622 $132,766,833 / 37 $1,065,000 -36.6% / $394 $133,831,833 / 38 N/A 10 THE WITCH A24 1,715 $776,869 +103.4% / $453 $19,187,443 / 15 $1,117,796 +43.9% / $652 $20,305,239 / 16 $614,788 -45% / $358 $20,920,027 / 17 N/A 11 HOW TO BE SINGLE Warner Bros. 1,602 $660,000 +74.6% / $412 $41,863,465 / 22 $910,000 +37.9% / $568 $42,773,465 / 23 $545,000 -40.1% / $340 $43,318,465 / 24 N/A 12 TRIPLE 9 Open Road Films 2,205 $639,816 +73.2% / $290 $8,750,850 / 8 $902,140 +41% / $409 $9,652,990 / 9 $586,391 -35% / $266 $10,239,381 / 10 N/A - SPOTLIGHT Open Road Films 1,227 $477,303 +233.8% / $389 $40,273,442 / 120 $820,961 +72% / $669 $41,094,403 / 121 $533,625 -35% / $435 $41,628,028 / 122 N/A - RACE (2016) Focus Features 1,286 $454,000 +60.5% / $353 $15,453,563 / 15 $666,000 +46.7% / $518 $16,119,563 / 16 $366,000 -45% / $285 $16,485,563 / 17 N/A - STAR WARS: THE FORCE AWAKENS Buena Vista 1,021 $417,000 +80.1% / $408 $927,394,515 / 78 $851,000 +104.1% / $833 $928,245,515 / 79 $543,000 -36.2% / $532 $928,788,515 / 80 N/A - RIDE ALONG 2 Universal 607 $188,000 +220.5% / $310 $88,985,865 / 50 $353,000 +87.8% / $582 $89,338,865 / 51 $176,000 -50.1% / $290 $89,514,865 / 52 N/A - THE BIG SHORT Paramount 314 $134,000 +84.1% / $427 $68,983,117 / 85 $251,000 +87.3% / $799 $69,234,117 / 86 $150,000 -40.2% / $478 $69,384,117 / 87 N/A - THE MERMAID (MEI REN YU) Sony / Columbia 106 $115,000 +129.8% / $1,085 $2,417,769 / 15 $155,000 +34.8% / $1,462 $2,572,769 / 16 $95,000 -38.7% / $896 $2,667,769 / 17 N/A - THE BOY (2016) STX Entertainment 339 $107,000 +174.3% / $316 $34,835,558 / 43 $198,000 +85% / $584 $35,033,558 / 44 $110,000 -44.4% / $324 $35,143,558 / 45 N/A - ZOOLANDER 2 Paramount 407 $103,000 -9.7% / $253 $28,057,467 / 22 $162,000 +57.3% / $398 $28,219,467 / 23 $90,000 -44.4% / $221 $28,309,467 / 24 N/A - BROOKLYN Fox Searchlight 287 $100,000 +35.6% / $348 $36,933,122 / 122 $178,000 +78% / $620 $37,111,122 / 123 $112,000 -37.1% / $390 $37,223,122 / 124 N/A - DADDY'S HOME Paramount 286 $90,000 +215.3% / $315 $148,619,705 / 71 $167,000 +85.6% / $584 $148,786,705 / 72 $93,000 -44.3% / $325 $148,879,705 / 73 N/A - THE CHOICE Lionsgate 337 $65,000 +23.8% / $193 $18,332,488 / 29 $90,000 +38.5% / $267 $18,422,488 / 30 $40,000 -55.6% / $119 $18,462,488 / 31 N/A - NEERJA FIP 100 $44,000 +133.7% / $440 $1,407,756 / 15 $77,500 +76.1% / $775 $1,485,256 / 16 $50,500 -34.8% / $505 $1,535,756 / 17 N/A - DIRTY GRANDPA Lionsgate 217 $41,000 +88.9% / $189 $35,280,525 / 43 $61,000 +48.8% / $281 $35,341,525 / 44 $38,000 -37.7% / $175 $35,379,525 / 45 N/A - 13 HOURS: THE SECRET SOLDIERS OF BENGHAZI Paramount 211 $39,000 +54.2% / $185 $52,407,494 / 50 $66,000 +69.2% / $313 $52,473,494 / 51 $40,000 -39.4% / $190 $52,513,494 / 52 N/A - BUSCO NOVIO PARA MI MUJER Lionsgate 79 $17,000 -2.7% / $215 $1,601,759 / 15 $29,500 +73.5% / $373 $1,631,259 / 16 $25,500 -13.6% / $323 $1,656,759 / 17 N/A - FIFTY SHADES OF BLACK Open Road Films 75 $14,700 +18.5% / $196 $11,481,046 / 36 $24,255 +65% / $323 $11,505,301 / 37 $15,766 -35% / $210 $11,521,067 / 38 N/A - NORM OF THE NORTH Lionsgate 177 $14,000 +37% / $79 $16,872,634 / 50 $36,000 +157.1% / $203 $16,908,634 / 51 $25,000 -30.6% / $141 $16,933,634 / 52 N/A - SPECTRE Sony / Columbia 63 $8,000 +195.1% / $127 $199,863,714 / 120 $13,000 +62.5% / $206 $199,876,714 / 121 $9,000 -30.8% / $143 $199,885,714 / 122 N/A - ANOMALISA Paramount 21 $6,000 -38.7% / $286 $2,632,978 / 66 $10,000 +66.7% / $476 $2,642,978 / 67 $6,000 -40% / $286 $2,648,978 / 68 N/A
<< PREVIOUS

* Ranked by selected day. Click on the day at the top of the chart to sort by that day.

[efialtes76]

Spectre

Son y

$30,000

+50.0%

63

-29

$476

$199,885,714

 

 

 

Edited March 6, 2016 by efialtes76

[AniNate]

They'd both be under pressure regardless. A sequel to Pixar's most successful film and a large-scale Disney fairy tale musical. Only difference now is Disney has some insurance.

[sfran43]

Just now, efialtes76 said:

Spectre

Sony

$30,000

+50.0%

63

-29

$476

$199,885,714

$245

18

 

 

 

 

[cookie]

KFP3's drop 

 

Triple 9 dropped worse than Gods of Egypt 

[BenedictL11]

3 minutes ago, Jake Gittes said:

 

It also opened with just 40% of what Zoo made and didn't have a likely $150m+ opener waiting for it in its fourth week. 

I hope the best for Zootopia.

[Jayhawk the Hutt]

I haven't been impressed with Dory's marketing at all, but anyone who thinks it won't make a absolute fuck-ton of $ is kidding themselves. Domestically, IO #s are the low end.

[Ethan Hunt]

I'm still hoping for the 300M dream but I'll say I think it finishes around 275M

[Mockingjay Raphael]

8 minutes ago, WrathOfHan said:

Damn, Zootopia has already outgrossed IO in China

 

 

 

For some weird reason, China hates Pixar

[SWXII]

Oh my. 

 

What an interesting year.