Weekend Thread: Grimsby Bros leads the way with massive 3.1M, 10CL has decent 25.2M, Zootopia crumbles to $50M ;) P.31

[MCKillswitch123]

Aww, if these Friday numbers/weekend estimates are indeed true, bummer to not see 10CL reach 30M or above. Still, the current DHD estimate is possibly the exact type of number that it would've made in its entire run had it still been named Valencia, so yeah. But I expect (well, hope) that the numbers are just far off predictions, and the actuals come in and they're stronger than expected. I mean, c'mon, can we PLEASE get a 10M Friday at the very least? That would leave me happy. But oh well, if the number does indeed play as expected, it would essentially go right on target w/my Derby prediction, so yeah.

 

On the other hand, Zootopia still pulling nice numbers, it seems. I think a 50M weekend is definitely in play here, and 300M may be on the horizon. But it will be a big time stretch to get there thanks to BVS. At the very least from 200M to 250M is a given, though.

[goldenstate5]

Dat Zootopia drop 

[CJohn]

Dat Young Messiah/Grismby bombage.

 

Cloverfield  

[Krissykins]

Great for 10 Cloverfield Lane.

 

I was expecting high teens weekend. For a film that didn't really exist two months ago, this is great. Plus the original Cloverfield had awful word of mouth (even though I loved it). 

[baumer]

Love that drop for Deadpool.

[SWXII]

3 hours ago, zackzack said:

With that kind of drop, Zoo will clear $300M easily now. 

 

Your calculator needs new batteries.

[WrathOfHan]

Zootopia's drop is in line with what I predicted.

A B- Cinemascore for Cloverfield is good all things considered.

Outstanding drop for Deadpool, I think a sub-30 drop could be in play next weekend.

How is The Young Messiah bombing when it pretty much matched Risen in previews?

Grimsby  

[DAR]

I don't think I've seen one ad or trailer for Grimsby

[baumer]

Cloverfields number is pretty awesome imo. It literally didnt exist a month ago. Then BAM its here. 

[La Binoche]

Holy shit Slaytopia. 

 

As for 10CL it's already a winner. A $15m horror-ish movie opening north of $20m with a 91 on RT is a major win. It won't have legs but hopefully they don't crumble. 

[pepsa]

4 hours ago, picores said:

 

Lego had 27% drop on second weekend. It missed the 4x multiplier overall, which is what Zoo requires. Not saying it wont happen, but is far from easy. Could happen that BvS hit it harder than we expect....dont know. I'll go conservative and say 275m DOM. But yeah, 300m would be awesome.

 

Lego did have holidays on second weekend, with inflated the weekend numbers.

[filmlover]

Go Zootopia!

 

10 Cloverfield Lane's numbers are pretty good. Not much more could've been expected, although it's probably opening to what its total would've been had it stuck with its original title.

 

Hellish numbers for The Brothers Grimsby, but Cohen's appeal has fallen off completely over the years and the movie didn't look particularly funny. The other two openers are non-starters, as expected.

[POTUS 2020]

2 hours ago, WrathOfHan said:

Zootopia's drop is in line with what I predicted.

A B- Cinemascore for Cloverfield is good all things considered.

Outstanding drop for Deadpool, I think a sub-30 drop could be in play next weekend.

How is The Young Messiah bombing when it pretty much matched Risen in previews?

Grimsby  

Yeah, the preview numbers don't jive with estimates. Maybe someone smoking Crack over at DHD.

 

Crack kills. Don't smoke it or lick it

Edited March 12, 2016 by No Prisoners

[mahnamahna]

Would love to see Zootopia do:

$12.5 million

$24 million 

$17 million 

 

$53.5 million 2nd weekend, $145.8 million after 10 days. 

 

That would put the film on pace for $280-320 million DOM. 

 

[La Binoche]

how does deadline know 10cl will spike by at least 5 percent today 

[mahnamahna]

5 hours ago, picores said:

 

Lego had 27% drop on second weekend. It missed the 4x multiplier overall, which is what Zoo requires. Not saying it wont happen, but is far from easy. Could happen that BvS hit it harder than we expect....dont know. I'll go conservative and say 275m DOM. But yeah, 300m would be awesome.

2

I think Zootopia will do it... unlike LEGO, Zootopia doesn't have any major competition for over a month. LEGO had Frozen/Nut Job the couple weeks before and Muppets/Peabody not too long after. 

 

Zootopia's direct competition is Jungle Book (as a Disney film, it'll be paired in double features until Civil War) and R&C (a low-budget, likely sub-$25 million DOM grosser). It's also been over a month since KFP3, too. 

 

If it does $50 million+ this weekend and drops sub-30% next weekend, I'd say it's on pace for $300 million+ DOM due to Spring Break-boosted weekdays until early April. 

 

3rd weekend drop will determine where it ends up. 

 

Edited March 12, 2016 by mahnamahna

[Ethan Hunt]

Phenomenal hold for Zootopia

[a2k]

Just a 32% drop for ZOOTP.

51m takes it to 143m.

2.5x more gives it 127.5m + 143m = 270.5m

With barely any competition I think it could do 280-285m.

Edited March 12, 2016 by a2knet

[WrathOfHan]

23 minutes ago, La Binoche said:

how does deadline know 10cl will spike by at least 5 percent today 

Only predictions, but it'd be in line with The Witch and The Visit.

[sfran43]

10 CLOVERFIELD LANE earned an estimated $9.0M on opening day Friday. #10CloverfieldLane

— BoxOffice (@BoxOffice)

March 12, 2016