WEEKEND THREAD | B.O numbers Page 28: Final Divergent movie opens at $29m, Zoo: $38m

[SchumacherFTW]

14 minutes ago, Napoleon said:

I think its OW will be higher than expected just like Friday, I'm predicting $32-34M and with good word of mouth I expect AT LEAST the same multiple as Insurgent's, so $80-85M. It will face competition from BVS but it will have better WOM, so...

Dropping nearly 50% from your predecessor can never be spun positively dude 

[kayumanggi]

$4.15M FRI for #MiraclesFromHeaven going to about $12M wknd & $15M+ over 5day span w/ #Easter breaks still to come.

— Gitesh Pandya (@GiteshPandya)

March 19, 2016

MIRACLES FROM HEAVEN earned an estimated $4.15M on Friday. 3-day domestic total is now $7.7M. #MiraclesFromHeaven

— BoxOffice (@BoxOffice)

March 19, 2016

Edited March 19, 2016 by kayumanggi

[Napoleon]

2 minutes ago, SchumacherFTW said:

Dropping nearly 50% from your predecessor can never be spun positively dude 

I'm not saying it's positive, it's just not the disaster haters were hoping for. There were people predicting a $20M OW 

Edited March 19, 2016 by Napoleon

[WrathOfHan]

Rank*	Title	Friday 3/18 (Estimates)	Saturday 3/19	Sunday 3/20	Monday 3/21
1	THE DIVERGENT SERIES: ALLEGIANT Lionsgate/Summit 3,740	$11,900,000 -- / $3,182 $11,900,000 / 1	N/A	N/A	N/A
2	ZOOTOPIA Buena Vista 3,959	$9,629,000 +111.7% / $2,432 $173,394,497 / 15	N/A	N/A	N/A
3	MIRACLES FROM HEAVEN TriStar 3,047	$4,150,000 +148.6% / $1,362 $7,707,053 / 3	N/A	N/A	N/A
4	10 CLOVERFIELD LANE Paramount 3,427	$3,665,000 +147.1% / $1,069 $36,341,639 / 8	N/A	N/A	N/A
5	DEADPOOL Fox 2,924	$2,250,000 +120.5% / $769 $335,191,383 / 36	N/A	N/A	N/A
6	LONDON HAS FALLEN Focus Features 3,011	$1,870,000 +118.4% / $621 $45,065,820 / 15	N/A	N/A	N/A
7	WHISKEY TANGO FOXTROT Paramount 2,079	$764,000 +110.2% / $367 $17,234,840 / 15	N/A	N/A	N/A
8	THE PERFECT MATCH Lionsgate 925	$584,000 +163.1% / $631 $5,990,179 / 8	N/A	N/A	N/A
9	THE BROTHERS GRIMSBY Sony / Columbia 2,235	$420,000 +70.7% / $188 $4,932,670 / 8	N/A	N/A	N/A
10	THE REVENANT Fox 935	$317,000 +118.5% / $339 $180,253,538 / 85	N/A	N/A	N/A
11	GODS OF EGYPT Lionsgate/Summit 1,075	$305,000 +70.2% / $284 $28,687,776 / 22	N/A	N/A	N/A
12	RISEN Sony / Columbia 1,205	$290,000 +61.6% / $241 $33,616,670 / 29	N/A	N/A	N/A
-	KAPOOR & SONS - SINCE 1921 FIP 143	$275,000 -- / $1,923 $275,000 / 1	N/A	N/A	N/A
-	KUNG FU PANDA 3 Fox 719	$250,000 +24.4% / $348 $137,663,515 / 50	N/A	N/A	N/A
-	STAR WARS: THE FORCE AWAKENS Buena Vista 568	$240,000 +68.9% / $423 $931,598,187 / 92	N/A	N/A	N/A
-	ANOMALISA Paramount 573	$192,000 +7205.9% / $335 $2,876,684 / 80	N/A	N/A	N/A
-	EDDIE THE EAGLE Fox 682	$177,000 +70.8% / $260 $14,303,502 / 22	N/A	N/A	N/A
-	THE BRONZE Sony Classics 1,167	$130,000 -- / $111 $130,000 / 1	N/A	N/A	N/A
-	DADDY'S HOME Paramount 267	$107,000 +288% / $401 $149,485,237 / 85	N/A	N/A	N/A
-	SPOTLIGHT Open Road Films 443	$106,040 +42.6% / $239 $43,682,578 / 134	N/A	N/A	N/A

[Nutterbutter]

Just now, Napoleon said:

I'm not saying it's positive, it's just not the disaster haters were hoping for. There were people predicting a $20M OW 

 

Yes! It did better than a very few people's absolute worst-case Armageddon-esque scenario! GOOOOOOOOAAAAAAAAAALLLLLLLLl!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

[WrathOfHan]

Miracles weekend with Risen holds:

 

4.2M Friday

4.7M Saturday

3.5M Sunday

12.4M Weekend

[MrPink]

3 minutes ago, WrathOfHan said:

Rank*	Title	Friday 3/18 (Estimates)	Saturday 3/19	Sunday 3/20	Monday 3/21
1	THE DIVERGENT SERIES: ALLEGIANT Lionsgate/Summit 3,740	$11,900,000 -- / $3,182 $11,900,000 / 1	N/A	N/A	N/A
2	ZOOTOPIA Buena Vista 3,959	$9,629,000 +111.7% / $2,432 $173,394,497 / 15	N/A	N/A	N/A
3	MIRACLES FROM HEAVEN TriStar 3,047	$4,150,000 +148.6% / $1,362 $7,707,053 / 3	N/A	N/A	N/A
4	10 CLOVERFIELD LANE Paramount 3,427	$3,665,000 +147.1% / $1,069 $36,341,639 / 8	N/A	N/A	N/A
5	DEADPOOL Fox 2,924	$2,250,000 +120.5% / $769 $335,191,383 / 36	N/A	N/A	N/A
6	LONDON HAS FALLEN Focus Features 3,011	$1,870,000 +118.4% / $621 $45,065,820 / 15	N/A	N/A	N/A
7	WHISKEY TANGO FOXTROT Paramount 2,079	$764,000 +110.2% / $367 $17,234,840 / 15	N/A	N/A	N/A
8	THE PERFECT MATCH Lionsgate 925	$584,000 +163.1% / $631 $5,990,179 / 8	N/A	N/A	N/A
9	THE BROTHERS GRIMSBY Sony / Columbia 2,235	$420,000 +70.7% / $188 $4,932,670 / 8	N/A	N/A	N/A
10	THE REVENANT Fox 935	$317,000 +118.5% / $339 $180,253,538 / 85	N/A	N/A	N/A
11	GODS OF EGYPT Lionsgate/Summit 1,075	$305,000 +70.2% / $284 $28,687,776 / 22	N/A	N/A	N/A
12	RISEN Sony / Columbia 1,205	$290,000 +61.6% / $241 $33,616,670 / 29	N/A	N/A	N/A
-	KAPOOR & SONS - SINCE 1921 FIP 143	$275,000 -- / $1,923 $275,000 / 1	N/A	N/A	N/A
-	KUNG FU PANDA 3 Fox 719	$250,000 +24.4% / $348 $137,663,515 / 50	N/A	N/A	N/A
-	STAR WARS: THE FORCE AWAKENS Buena Vista 568	$240,000 +68.9% / $423 $931,598,187 / 92	N/A	N/A	N/A
-	ANOMALISA Paramount 573	$192,000 +7205.9% / $335 $2,876,684 / 80	N/A	N/A	N/A
-	EDDIE THE EAGLE Fox 682	$177,000 +70.8% / $260 $14,303,502 / 22	N/A	N/A	N/A
-	THE BRONZE Sony Classics 1,167	$130,000 -- / $111 $130,000 / 1	N/A	N/A	N/A
-	DADDY'S HOME Paramount 267	$107,000 +288% / $401 $149,485,237 / 85	N/A	N/A	N/A
-	SPOTLIGHT Open Road Films 443	$106,040 +42.6% / $239 $43,682,578 / 134	N/A	N/A	N/A

 

WHERE ARE MY SPECTRE NUMBERS

 

 

[TalismanRing]

7 minutes ago, narniadis said:

But again you can't use Cindy as a comparison. It's a live action film that did not play like a family film - as evidenced by the terrible Friday holds throughout its run. It's setting yourself up for bad comparisons (over estimates) all along the way. 

 

And better legs don't mean that Rango and Lorax shouldn't be used for pattern basis. Of course Zoo is doing better and it will continue to do better because it is its own unique film. But use common sense in making comparisons please....

 

And again if I am wrong I will be glad to admit it.

 

I'm not basing my numbers on emotion.  I'm basing the initial pattern off of the similar Friday jump of 110%.  Cinderella not playing as much like a family film means it's jump should have been higher than Zootopia's on Friday but it wasn't so Zootopia over performed it.  I believe you were the one calling for a 90% Friday jump for it the other day.

 

Considering that BOM is calling for a $40m w/e then they too have similar ideas about a  stronger Saturday jump than 50% and a 4.15 w/e multiplier while I think it will be closer to a 3.8 or 3.9 multiplier.

[AniNate]

23 minutes ago, Napoleon said:

I think its OW will be higher than expected just like Friday, I'm predicting $32-34M and with good word of mouth I expect AT LEAST the same multiple as Insurgent's, so $80-85M. It will face competition from BVS but it will have better WOM, so...

 

What makes you think it'll have as good WOM as Insurgent let alone BvS?

[TalismanRing]

3 minutes ago, MrPink said:

 

WHERE ARE MY SPECTRE NUMBERS

 

 

 

Easy now.  Fudging isn't quick business.

[zackzack]

2 hours ago, Mockingjay Raphael said:

Can you guys believe that the movie of year will be already released next week?

 

You meant Civil War?

[Nutterbutter]

3 minutes ago, tribefan695 said:

 

What makes you think it'll have as good WOM as Insurgent let alone BvS?

 

Because in Napoleon's world, B Cinemascore and a 51% "would recommend" = good WOM

[MrPink]

2 minutes ago, TalismanRing said:

 

Easy now.  Fudging isn't quick business.

 

Looks like it's $3000 

 

http://www.boxofficemojo.com/movies/?page=daily&id=bond24.htm

 

I guess Sony is getting worried people noticed so they're trying to slow it down a bit. A slow steady crawl over the next two weeks.

[CJohn]

4 minutes ago, tribefan695 said:

 

What makes you think it'll have as good WOM as Insurgent let alone BvS?

He is trolling

 

[sfran43]

Deadpool is now in 9th place (soon to be 8th) for the top superheroes movies:

 

 

Rank	Title (click to view)	Studio	Lifetime Gross / Theaters		Opening / Theaters		Date
1	Marvel's The Avengers	BV	$623,357,910	4,349	$207,438,708	4,349	5/4/12
2	The Dark Knight	WB	$534,858,444	4,366	$158,411,483	4,366	7/18/08
3	Avengers: Age of Ultron	BV	$459,005,868	4,276	$191,271,109	4,276	5/1/15
4	The Dark Knight Rises	WB	$448,139,099	4,404	$160,887,295	4,404	7/20/12
5	Iron Man 3	BV	$409,013,994	4,253	$174,144,585	4,253	5/3/13
6	Spider-Man	Sony	$403,706,375	3,876	$114,844,116	3,615	5/3/02
7	Spider-Man 2	Sony	$373,585,825	4,166	$88,156,227	4,152	6/30/04
8	Spider-Man 3	Sony	$336,530,303	4,324	$151,116,516	4,252	5/4/07
9	Deadpool	Fox	$335,191,383	3,856	$132,434,639	3,558	2/12/16
10	Guardians of the Galaxy	BV	$333,176,600	4,088	$94,320,883	4,080	8/1/14
11	Iron Man	Par.	$318,412,101	4,154	$98,618,668	4,105	5/2/08
12	Iron Man 2	Par.	$312,433,331	4,390	$128,122,480	4,380	5/7/10
13	Man of Steel	WB	$291,045,518	4,207	$116,619,362	4,207	6/14/13
14	The Amazing Spider-Man	Sony	$262,030,663	4,318	$62,004,688	4,318	7/3/12
15	The Incredibles	BV	$261,441,092	3,933	$70,467,623	3,933	11/5/04
16	Captain America: The Winter Soldier	BV	$259,766,572	3,938	$95,023,721	3,938	4/4/14
17	Batman	WB	$251,188,924	2,201	$40,489,746	2,194	6/23/89
18	X-Men: The Last Stand	Fox	$234,362,462	3,714	$102,750,665	3,690	5/26/06
19	X-Men: Days of Future Past	Fox	$233,921,534	4,001	$90,823,660	3,996	5/23/14
20	Hancock	Sony	$227,946,274	3,965	$62,603,879	3,965	7/2/08
21	Big Hero 6	BV	$222,527,828	3,773	$56,215,889	3,761	11/7/14
22	X2: X-Men United	Fox	$214,949,694	3,749	$85,558,731	3,741	5/2/03
23	Batman Begins	WB	$206,852,432	3,858	$48,745,440	3,858	6/15/05
24	Thor: The Dark World	BV	$206,362,140	3,841	$85,737,841	3,841	11/8/13
25	The Amazing Spider-Man 2	Sony	$202,853,933	4,324	$91,608,337	4,324	5/2/14
26	Superman Returns	WB	$200,081,192	4,065	$52,535,096	4,065	6/28/06
27	Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles (2014)	Par.	$191,204,754	3,980	$65,575,105	3,845	8/8/14
28	Batman Forever	WB	$184,031,112	2,893	$52,784,433	2,842	6/16/95
29	Thor	Par.	$181,030,624	3,963	$65,723,338	3,955	5/6/11
30	Ant-Man	BV	$180,202,163	3,868	$57,225,526	3,856	7/17/15
31	X-Men Origins: Wolverine	Fox	$179,883,157	4,102	$85,058,003	4,099	5/1/09
32	Captain America: The First Avenger	Par.	$176,654,505	3,715	$65,058,524	3,715	7/22/11
33	Batman Returns	WB	$162,831,698	2,644	$45,687,711	2,644	6/19/92
34	X-Men	Fox	$157,299,717	3,112	$54,471,475	3,025	7/14/00
35	Fantastic Four (2005)	Fox	$154,696,080	3,619	$56,061,504	3,602	7/8/05
36	Megamind	P/DW	$148,415,853	3,949	$46,016,833	3,944	11/5/10
37	X-Men: First Class	Fox	$146,408,305	3,692	$55,101,604	3,641	6/3/11
38	Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles	NL	$135,265,915	2,377	$25,398,367	2,006	3/30/90
39	The Incredible Hulk	Uni.	$134,806,913	3,508	$55,414,050	3,505	6/13/08
40	Wanted	Uni.	$134,508,551	3,185	$50,927,085	3,175	6/27/08
41	Superman	WB	$134,218,018	817	$7,465,343	508	12/15/78
42	The Wolverine	Fox	$132,556,852	3,924	$53,113,752	3,924	7/26/13
43	Hulk	Uni.	$132,177,234	3,674	$62,128,420	3,660	6/20/03
44	Fantastic Four: Rise of the Silver Surfer	Fox	$131,921,738	3,963	$58,051,684	3,959	6/15/07
45	Green Lantern	WB	$116,601,172	3,816	$53,174,303	3,816	6/17/11
46	Ghost Rider	Sony	$115,802,596	3,620	$45,388,836	3,619	2/16/07
47	Superman II	WB	$108,185,706	1,878	$14,100,523	1,397	6/19/81
48	Watchmen	WB	$107,509,799	3,611	$55,214,334	3,611	3/6/09
49	Batman and Robin	WB	$107,325,195	2,942	$42,872,605	2,934	6/20/97
50	Daredevil	Fox	$102,543,518	3,474	$40,310,419	3,471	2/14/03
51	The Green Hornet	Sony	$98,780,042	3,584	$33,526,876	3,584	1/14/11
52	Unbreakable	BV	$95,011,339	2,708	$30,330,771	2,708	11/22/00
53	The Mask of Zorro	Sony	$94,095,523	2,515	$22,525,855	2,515	7/17/98
54	Blade II	NL	$82,348,319	2,707	$32,528,016	2,707	3/22/02
55	Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles II	NL	$78,656,813	2,868	$20,030,473	2,868	3/22/91
56	Hellboy II: The Golden Army	Uni.	$75,986,503	3,212	$34,539,115	3,204	7/11/08
57	Blade	NL	$70,087,718	2,389	$17,073,856	2,322	8/21/98
58	Chronicle (2012)	Fox	$64,575,175	2,908	$22,004,098	2,907	2/3/12
59	Sky High	BV	$63,946,815	2,912	$14,631,784	2,905	7/29/05
60	Superman III	WB	$59,950,623	1,763	$13,352,357	1,759	6/17/83
61	Hellboy	SonR	$59,623,958	3,043	$23,172,440	3,028	4/2/04
62	Fantastic Four	Fox	$56,117,548	4,004	$25,685,737	3,995	8/7/15
63	Spawn	NL	$54,870,175	2,604	$19,738,749	2,536	8/1/97
64	Blade: Trinity	NL	$52,411,906	2,912	$16,061,271	2,912	12/8/04
65	Ghost Rider: Spirit of Vengeance	Sony	$51,774,002	3,174	$22,115,334	3,174	2/17/12
66	The Crow	Mira.	$50,693,129	2,119	$11,774,332	1,573	5/13/94
67	Kick-Ass	LGF	$48,071,303	3,065	$19,828,687	3,065	4/16/10
68	The Rocketeer	BV	$46,704,056	1,903	$9,600,754	1,616	6/21/91
69	The Legend of Zorro	Sony	$46,464,023	3,520	$16,328,506	3,520	10/28/05
70	Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles III	NL	$42,273,609	2,087	$12,419,597	2,087	3/19/93
71	Catwoman	WB	$40,202,379	3,117	$16,728,411	3,117	7/23/04
72	Mighty Morphin' Power Rangers	Fox	$38,187,431	2,409	$13,104,788	2,409	6/30/95
73	Judge Dredd	BV	$34,693,481	2,204	$12,291,536	2,204	6/30/95
74	Darkman	Uni.	$33,878,502	1,833	$8,054,860	1,786	8/24/90
75	The Punisher	Lions	$33,810,189	2,649	$13,834,527	2,649	4/16/04
76	The Shadow	Uni.	$32,063,435	1,769	$11,713,845	1,677	7/1/94
77	Mystery Men	Uni.	$29,762,011	2,142	$10,017,865	2,136	8/6/99
78	Kick-Ass 2	Uni.	$28,795,985	2,945	$13,332,955	2,940	8/16/13
79	Flash Gordon	Uni.	$27,107,960	-	$3,934,030	823	12/5/80
80	Superhero Movie	MGM/W	$25,881,068	2,965	$9,510,297	2,960	3/28/08
81	Elektra	Fox	$24,409,722	3,204	$12,804,793	3,204	1/14/05
82	My Super Ex-Girlfriend	Fox	$22,530,295	2,702	$8,603,460	2,702	7/21/06
83	The Spirit	LGF	$19,806,188	2,509	$6,463,278	2,509	12/25/08
84	The Crow: City of Angels	Mira.	$17,917,287	2,423	$9,785,111	2,423	8/30/96
85	The Phantom	Par.	$17,323,326	2,163	$5,072,346	2,159	6/7/96
86	Buffy the Vampire Slayer	Fox	$16,624,456	1,981	$4,515,541	1,959	7/31/92
87	Hero at Large	MGM	$15,934,737	-	$1,850,725	486	2/8/80
88	Superman IV: The Quest for Peace	WB	$15,681,020	1,511	$5,683,122	1,511	7/24/87
89	Iron Monkey	Mira.	$14,694,904	1,235	$6,014,653	1,225	10/12/01
90	Supergirl	TriS	$14,296,438	1,620	$5,738,249	1,608	11/21/84
91	The Legend of the Lone Ranger	Uni.	$12,617,845	-	$2,945,600	1,018	5/22/81
92	Black Mask	Art.	$12,504,289	988	$4,449,692	979	5/14/99
93	Zoom	SonR	$11,989,328	2,501	$4,510,408	2,501	8/11/06
94	The Powerpuff Girls Movie	WB	$11,412,414	2,340	$3,583,114	2,340	7/3/02
95	Turbo: A Power Rangers Movie	Fox	$8,363,899	2,113	$3,301,135	2,113	3/28/97
96	Punisher: War Zone	LGF	$8,050,977	2,508	$4,271,451	2,508	12/5/08
97	The Meteor Man	MGM	$8,016,708	1,060	$2,643,091	1,060	8/6/93
98	Blankman	Col.	$7,941,977	1,615	$3,715,480	1,615	8/19/94
99	Sheena	Col.	$5,778,353	1,496	$2,950,114	1,496	8/17/84
100	Batman: Mask of the Phantasm	WB	$5,617,391	1,506	$1,189,975	1,506	12/25/93
TOTAL (All Movies):			$13,517,702,570	-	-	-	-
AVERAGE (All Movies):			$126,333,669	2,826	$43,067,001	2,840	-
TOTAL (Wide Releases Only):			$13,461,067,779	-	-	-	-
AVERAGE (Wide Releases Only):			$134,610,678	3,022	$45,530,444	2,969	-

[Napoleon]

6 minutes ago, tribefan695 said:

 

What makes you think it'll have as good WOM as Insurgent let alone BvS?

It's the best movie in the franchise. (I didn't say it would have better WOM than BVS though)

[TalismanRing]

2 minutes ago, MrPink said:

 

Looks like it's $3000 

 

http://www.boxofficemojo.com/movies/?page=daily&id=bond24.htm

 

I guess Sony is getting worried people noticed so they're trying to slow it down a bit. A slow steady crawl over the next two weeks.

 

 

A -79.3% drop from last Friday and yet the PTA is still three times bigger than two weeks ago.  Still, even at this rate it will require another 2 weeks.

 

 

[sfran43]

6 minutes ago, MrPink said:

 

Looks like it's $3000 

 

http://www.boxofficemojo.com/movies/?page=daily&id=bond24.htm

 

I guess Sony is getting worried people noticed so they're trying to slow it down a bit. A slow steady crawl over the next two weeks.

 

Sooo....you're telling them to slow their roll:

 

[a2k]

11 minutes ago, MrPink said:

 

Looks like it's $3000 

 

http://www.boxofficemojo.com/movies/?page=daily&id=bond24.htm

 

I guess Sony is getting worried people noticed so they're trying to slow it down a bit. A slow steady crawl over the next two weeks.

 

My goodness. This is becoming more ludicrous each weekend.

Next weekend is BvS, wonder what they will do. Probably increase the PTA...lol.

Edited March 19, 2016 by a2knet

[narniadis]

10 minutes ago, TalismanRing said:

 

I'm not basing my numbers on emotion.  I'm basing the initial pattern off of the similar Friday jump of 110%.  Cinderella not playing as much like a family film means it's jump should have been higher than Zootopia's on Friday but it wasn't so Zootopia over performed it.  I believe you were the one calling for a 90% Friday jump for it the other day.

 

Considering that BOM is calling for a $40m w/e then they too have similar ideas about a  stronger Saturday jump than 50% and a 4.15 w/e multiplier while I think it will be closer to a 3.8 or 3.9 multiplier.

 

I didn't say it's an emotional choice. And I already admitted that the Friday jump surprised me since I was expecting around 90%. And if the Saturday jump is huge then I will admit defeat and throw out all examples. But Cindy had an established pattern it's entire run that's not applicable to Zoo based off just 1 days gross - percentage performance. 

 

I do not see based on historical examples how Zoo can hit 40  let alone more than 36, but again examples are a small set in comparison to a films whole run.