ZeeSoh Posted March 5, 2018 Share Posted March 5, 2018 On 10/30/2017 at 10:54 PM, keysersoze123 said: Thor 3 had around 2m PS yesterday. Not awful but not the super acceleration I expected since things were so slow until now. Its PS it tracking between Dr Strange and Guardians. Thor Ragnarok ( 2 days + 23 hours ) midnights: 1.14m OD - 4.95m Sat - 2.44m Sun - 1.41m Similar comps Doctor Strange[3 days + 4.5 hours] Midnight presales 816k OD presales 3.81M [3days + 5.5 hours]Fantastic Beasts Midnight presales 656k OD presales 4.84M Guardians 2 ( 3 days + 2 hours) midnights - 1.46m OD - 6.17m sat - 2.86m sun - 1.65m 23 hours ago, ZeeSoh said: Black Panther (4 days before release) Midnight - 1.87m OD - 10.19m (37941 shows) Sat - 4.25m Sun - 1.79m Close to 25% bump today. Lets see if it accelerates tomorrow or not Black Panther (3 days before release) Midnight - 2.27m OD - 14.03m (43621 shows) Sat - 5.87m Sun - 2.32m Close to 40% rise for BP today which seems good. Still running wayyy ahead of any MCU movie from last year including Guardians and Spidey. 4 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Olive Posted March 6, 2018 Author Share Posted March 6, 2018 Final Presales for recent SH movies Thor3 2.26m 22.9M(MN/OD) SMH 3.05m 35.5m X-A 2.79m 31.6m DS 1.46m 19.74m GOTG2 2.58m 28.9m JL 2.87m 24.6m 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ZeeSoh Posted March 6, 2018 Share Posted March 6, 2018 On 11/1/2017 at 12:27 AM, keysersoze123 said: PS just increased 50% today. Looks like 23-24m final PS unless it explodes in next 2 days. If I have to predict its run I would put it at 320/600m. With DS level WOM it could hit 100m. [2 days to go ]Thor Ragnarok Midnight: 1.5m OD: 7.34m Sat: 3.57m Sun: 1.86m [2 days + 4.5 hours]Doctor Strange Midnight presales 1.02m OD presales 5.9M [2days + 5.5 hours]Fantastic Beasts Midnight presales 760k OD presales 7.15M Guardians 2 ( 2 days + 2 hours) midnights - 1.82m OD - 9.33m sat - 3.98m sun - 2.13m 22 hours ago, ZeeSoh said: Black Panther (3 days before release) Midnight - 2.27m OD - 14.03m (43621 shows) Sat - 5.87m Sun - 2.32m Close to 40% rise for BP today which seems good. Still running wayyy ahead of any MCU movie from last year including Guardians and Spidey. Black Panther (2 days before release) Midnight - 2.77m OD - 19.20 (55026 shows) Sat - 8.59m Sun - 3.19m About 37% rise today for BP. OD 2 days out is already vlose to where DS and Thor 3 were at. Should cross JL tomorrow. Final PS maybe near SMH if it continues increasing like this 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Olive Posted March 6, 2018 Author Share Posted March 6, 2018 18 minutes ago, ZeeSoh said: Black Panther (2 days before release) Midnight - 2.77m OD - 19.20 (55026 shows) Sat - 8.59m Sun - 3.19m About 37% rise today for BP. OD 2 days out is already vlose to where DS and Thor 3 were at. Should cross JL tomorrow. Final PS maybe near SMH if it continues increasing like this will +70-80% on final day 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Pypa94 Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 3,6 or 3,3m for MN right? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
POTUS 2020 Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 (edited) 15 minutes ago, Pypa94 said: 3,6 or 3,3m for MN right? at 3.6m now. that will at least double up to 7.2m PS heading to 45-50m. could try for 200m OD 630m/$100m OW possible with a 9.3 rating or higher $90m is looking likely Edited March 7, 2018 by POTUS 2 6 2 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
raulbalarezo Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 7 minutes ago, POTUS said: at 3.6m now. that will at least double up to 7.2m PS heading to 45-50m. could try for 200m OD 630m/$100m OW possible with a 9.3 rating or higher $90m is looking likely Wut? 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RRA Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 5 minutes ago, raulbalarezo said: Wut? You took the words out of my mouth. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lor15 Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 Ok, after an OW like that they could take it out of cinemas and that would be great. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GOXOG Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 16 minutes ago, POTUS said: at 3.6m now. that will at least double up to 7.2m PS heading to 45-50m. could try for 200m OD 630m/$100m OW possible with a 9.3 rating or higher $90m is looking likely what?heard somewhere rating is not good even before release hope it gonna opens like you said Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
peludo Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 29 minutes ago, POTUS said: at 3.6m now. that will at least double up to 7.2m PS heading to 45-50m. could try for 200m OD 630m/$100m OW possible with a 9.3 rating or higher $90m is looking likely Do I read well? $90m OW? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deja23 Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 32 minutes ago, POTUS said: at 3.6m now. that will at least double up to 7.2m PS heading to 45-50m. could try for 200m OD 630m/$100m OW possible with a 9.3 rating or higher $90m is looking likely Wait...what movie is being discussed? Black Panther? Because Gavin’s tweet has it between $66-74m... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
peludo Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 (edited) 3 minutes ago, Deja23 said: Wait...what movie is being discussed? Black Panther? Because Gavin’s tweet has it between $66-74m... Yes, Black Panther. It seems it can be way bigger than initially expected. Edited March 7, 2018 by peludo Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
POTUS 2020 Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 (edited) 45 minutes ago, RRA said: You took the words out of my mouth. 40 minutes ago, GOXOG said: what?heard somewhere rating is not good even before release hope it gonna opens like you said Sounds ok in neighboring HK and SK deadline.com/2018/03/black-panther-third-weekend-red-sparrow-death-wish-operation-red-sea-detective-chinatown-2-international-box-office-1202310277/ Elsewhere, BP is the highest-grossing movie of all time in West and East Africa; the top MCU title in the Netherlands; and has run past the lifetime of Thor 3 in Hong Kong, Korea, Malaysia, the Philippines, Taiwan and Vietnam, demonstrating the strong appetite in South East Asia despite initial concerns. 27 minutes ago, peludo said: Do I read well? $90m OW? 24 minutes ago, Deja23 said: Wait...what movie is being discussed? Black Panther? Because Gavin’s tweet has it between $66-74m... I thought lower too but PS are busting out the last 2 days PS at 26.7m. As Olive said, 70-80% increase should happen tomorrow to 48.4m(75%) 4x PS has been the norm for OD lately. 3.5x or 4.5x could happen. so sticking with the middle road, 194m would be OD then 3.05x= 592m/$93.3m OW $82m is the bottom if the rating is below 8. $100m+ possible Edited March 7, 2018 by POTUS 3 5 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HouseOfTheSun Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 15 minutes ago, POTUS said: Sounds ok in neighboring HK and SK deadline.com/2018/03/black-panther-third-weekend-red-sparrow-death-wish-operation-red-sea-detective-chinatown-2-international-box-office-1202310277/ Elsewhere, BP is the highest-grossing movie of all time in West and East Africa; the top MCU title in the Netherlands; and has run past the lifetime of Thor 3 in Hong Kong, Korea, Malaysia, the Philippines, Taiwan and Vietnam, demonstrating the strong appetite in South East Asia despite initial concerns. I thought lower too but PS are busting out the last 2 days PS at 26.7m. As Olive said, 70-80% increase should happen tomorrow to 48.4m(75%) 4x PS has been the norm for OD lately. 3.5x or 4.5x could happen. so sticking with the middle road, 194m would be OD then 3.05x= 592m/$93.3m OW $82m is the bottom if the rating is below 8. $100m+ possible What the hell...Ultron be sweating bricks right now Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deja23 Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 But wasn’t Lunar New Year part of the reason it opened so well in other the East Asian countries? It’d be great if it did what you predicted though. I wonder what’s driving the presales. Novelty? The MCU brand? It’s also the movie before Infinity War. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HouseOfTheSun Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 3 minutes ago, Deja23 said: But wasn’t Lunar New Year part of the reason it opened so well in other the East Asian countries? It’d be great if it did what you predicted though. I wonder what’s driving the presales. Novelty? The MCU brand? It’s also the movie before Infinity War. I’d wager Marvel brand + American hype + maybe they’ve gotten word of what the movie is about and they might like it. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
fabiopazzo2 Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 90M OW? Or 90m total?? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
commendable Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 So with average WoM, 90m opening, what's the final gross? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HouseOfTheSun Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 6 minutes ago, fabiopazzo2 said: 90M OW? Or 90m total?? Opening 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...