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Presales Tracking Thread(Maoyan, Taopiaopiao etc)

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On 10/30/2017 at 10:54 PM, keysersoze123 said:

Thor 3 had around 2m PS yesterday. Not awful but not the super acceleration I expected since things were so slow until now. Its PS it tracking between Dr Strange and Guardians. 

 

Thor Ragnarok ( 2 days + 23 hours )
midnights: 1.14m
OD - 4.95m
Sat -  2.44m
Sun -  1.41m

 

Similar comps

 

Doctor Strange[3 days + 4.5 hours]
Midnight presales 816k
OD presales 3.81M
 
[3days + 5.5 hours]
Fantastic Beasts
Midnight presales 656k
OD presales 4.84M

Guardians 2 ( 3 days + 2 hours)
midnights - 1.46m
OD - 6.17m
sat - 2.86m
sun - 1.65m
 

 

 

23 hours ago, ZeeSoh said:

 

Black Panther (4 days before release)

 

Midnight - 1.87m

OD - 10.19m (37941 shows)

Sat - 4.25m

Sun - 1.79m

 

Close to 25% bump today. Lets see if it accelerates tomorrow or not 

 

Black Panther (3 days before release)

 

Midnight - 2.27m

OD - 14.03m (43621 shows)

Sat - 5.87m

Sun - 2.32m

 

 

Close to 40% rise for BP today which seems good. Still running wayyy ahead of any MCU movie from last year including Guardians and Spidey. 

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On 11/1/2017 at 12:27 AM, keysersoze123 said:

PS just increased 50% today. Looks like 23-24m final PS unless it explodes in next 2 days. If I have to predict its run I would put it at 320/600m. With DS level WOM it could hit 100m. 

 

[2 days to go ]
Thor Ragnarok
Midnight: 1.5m
OD: 7.34m
Sat: 3.57m
Sun: 1.86m


[2 days + 4.5 hours]
Doctor Strange
Midnight presales 1.02m
OD presales 5.9M
 
[2days + 5.5 hours]
Fantastic Beasts
Midnight presales 760k
OD presales 7.15M

Guardians 2 ( 2 days + 2 hours)
midnights - 1.82m
OD - 9.33m
sat - 3.98m
sun - 2.13m

 

22 hours ago, ZeeSoh said:

 

 

Black Panther (3 days before release)

 

Midnight - 2.27m

OD - 14.03m (43621 shows)

Sat - 5.87m

Sun - 2.32m

 

 

Close to 40% rise for BP today which seems good. Still running wayyy ahead of any MCU movie from last year including Guardians and Spidey. 

 

 

Black Panther (2 days before release)

 

Midnight - 2.77m

OD - 19.20 (55026 shows)

Sat - 8.59m

Sun - 3.19m

 

About 37% rise today for BP. OD 2 days out is already vlose to where DS and Thor 3 were at. Should cross JL tomorrow. Final PS maybe near SMH if it continues increasing like this

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18 minutes ago, ZeeSoh said:

 

 

 

Black Panther (2 days before release)

 

Midnight - 2.77m

OD - 19.20 (55026 shows)

Sat - 8.59m

Sun - 3.19m

 

About 37% rise today for BP. OD 2 days out is already vlose to where DS and Thor 3 were at. Should cross JL tomorrow. Final PS maybe near SMH if it continues increasing like this

will +70-80% on final day

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15 minutes ago, Pypa94 said:

3,6 or 3,3m for MN right?

at 3.6m now. that will at least double up to 7.2m

PS heading to 45-50m.

could try for 200m OD

630m/$100m OW possible with a 9.3 rating or higher

$90m is looking likely

Edited by POTUS
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16 minutes ago, POTUS said:

at 3.6m now. that will at least double up to 7.2m

PS heading to 45-50m.

could try for 200m OD

630m/$100m OW possible with a 9.3 rating or higher

$90m is looking likely

what?heard somewhere rating is not good even before release

hope it gonna opens like you said

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29 minutes ago, POTUS said:

at 3.6m now. that will at least double up to 7.2m

PS heading to 45-50m.

could try for 200m OD

630m/$100m OW possible with a 9.3 rating or higher

$90m is looking likely

Do I read well? $90m OW?

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32 minutes ago, POTUS said:

at 3.6m now. that will at least double up to 7.2m

PS heading to 45-50m.

could try for 200m OD

630m/$100m OW possible with a 9.3 rating or higher

$90m is looking likely

Wait...what movie is being discussed? Black Panther? Because Gavin’s tweet has it between $66-74m...

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3 minutes ago, Deja23 said:

Wait...what movie is being discussed? Black Panther? Because Gavin’s tweet has it between $66-74m...

Yes, Black Panther. It seems it can be way bigger than initially expected.

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45 minutes ago, RRA said:

You took the words out of my mouth.

 

40 minutes ago, GOXOG said:

what?heard somewhere rating is not good even before release

hope it gonna opens like you said

Sounds ok in neighboring HK and SK

deadline.com/2018/03/black-panther-third-weekend-red-sparrow-death-wish-operation-red-sea-detective-chinatown-2-international-box-office-1202310277/

Elsewhere, BP is the highest-grossing movie of all time in West and East Africa; the top MCU title in the Netherlands; and has run past the lifetime of Thor 3 in Hong Kong, Korea, Malaysia, the Philippines, Taiwan and Vietnam, demonstrating the strong appetite in South East Asia despite initial concerns.

27 minutes ago, peludo said:

Do I read well? $90m OW?

 

24 minutes ago, Deja23 said:

Wait...what movie is being discussed? Black Panther? Because Gavin’s tweet has it between $66-74m...

I thought lower too but PS are busting out the last 2 days

 

PS at 26.7m.  As Olive said, 70-80% increase should happen tomorrow to 48.4m(75%)

4x PS has been the norm for OD lately.  3.5x or 4.5x could happen.

so sticking with the middle road, 194m would be OD then 3.05x= 592m/$93.3m  OW

 

$82m is the bottom if the rating is below 8.  $100m+ possible

 

 

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15 minutes ago, POTUS said:

 

Sounds ok in neighboring HK and SK

deadline.com/2018/03/black-panther-third-weekend-red-sparrow-death-wish-operation-red-sea-detective-chinatown-2-international-box-office-1202310277/

Elsewhere, BP is the highest-grossing movie of all time in West and East Africa; the top MCU title in the Netherlands; and has run past the lifetime of Thor 3 in Hong Kong, Korea, Malaysia, the Philippines, Taiwan and Vietnam, demonstrating the strong appetite in South East Asia despite initial concerns.

 

I thought lower too but PS are busting out the last 2 days

 

PS at 26.7m.  As Olive said, 70-80% increase should happen tomorrow to 48.4m(75%)

4x PS has been the norm for OD lately.  3.5x or 4.5x could happen.

so sticking with the middle road, 194m would be OD then 3.05x= 592m/$93.3m  OW

 

$82m is the bottom if the rating is below 8.  $100m+ possible

 

 

What the hell...Ultron be sweating bricks right now 

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But wasn’t Lunar New Year part of the reason it opened so well in other the East Asian countries? It’d be great if it did what you predicted though. I wonder what’s driving the presales. Novelty? The MCU brand? It’s also the movie before Infinity War.  

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3 minutes ago, Deja23 said:

But wasn’t Lunar New Year part of the reason it opened so well in other the East Asian countries? It’d be great if it did what you predicted though. I wonder what’s driving the presales. Novelty? The MCU brand? It’s also the movie before Infinity War.  

I’d wager Marvel brand + American hype + maybe they’ve gotten word of what the movie is about and they might like it. 

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