ZeeSoh Posted May 9, 2018 Share Posted May 9, 2018 2 hours ago, fmpro said: 1,5 mill/hour now. So 130 mill is the floor around midnight. Should do more when it increases tonight. Lets hope it does 135~ish and a 50% increase tomorrow for 200 mill PS Its at 117 at 4:30pm with a 9.34% increase. Yesterday it had increased about 11% by 5:30pm and ended with about 20.5% total jump. So today is looking at about 20% jump again to about 128-129m. 135 is too optimistic unless a boatload of screens are added later in the evening. For comparision about 12k screens have been added today compared to a total of about 20k yesterday. So there is scope for acceleration tonight. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
POTUS 2020 Posted May 9, 2018 Share Posted May 9, 2018 56 minutes ago, fabiopazzo2 said: Wow 😯 54 minutes ago, Thanos Legion said: !!!!! 38 minutes ago, fmpro said: Thats the boldest prediction ever..... Like in ever Someone posted that douban was higher than a bunch of other movies including FF8 Why not? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
fabiopazzo2 Posted May 9, 2018 Share Posted May 9, 2018 (edited) 10 minutes ago, POTUS said: Someone posted that douban was higher than a bunch of other movies including FF8 Why not? Wait and see i hope for a + 8,8 on mayoan Edited May 9, 2018 by fabiopazzo2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stewart Posted May 9, 2018 Share Posted May 9, 2018 34 minutes ago, POTUS said: Mendelson- LOL - "easily throw in $200m total. Throw in $95-155m OW". He likes throwing softballs not hard balls https://www.forbes.com/sites/scottmendelson/2018/05/06/avengers-infinity-war-plunges-145m-in-weekend-two-but-is-still-a-huge-hit/#79c4612725d6 While Infinity War clearly doesn’t need a huge China payout to be a monster hit, it might get one anyway. The world’s largest moviegoing marketplace could easily throw in another $200 million, as Age of Ultron earned $240m in China while Civil War nabbed $190m. Deadpool 2 isn’t currently slated there (and, being a bawdy, R-rated action comedy, it may never play in China) while Solo isn’t going to be a problem. As we’ve seen, China loves Star Wars about as much as we love The Monkey King. Speculation alert, but it is possible Avengers: Infinity War has a decent hold thanks to a lack of competition (and the fact that folks clearly like the movie) and ends up with around $535 million domestic and $810m overseas by next Sunday without China. Throw in a $95-$155m+ opening weekend from China, and Avengers: Infinity War could end its third weekend just over the $1.519 billion cume of The Avengers. To think Scotty could lower his reputation any further 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
justvision Posted May 9, 2018 Share Posted May 9, 2018 OW total may not break NA OW record, but I think Sat gross may break all-time world wide record. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stewart Posted May 9, 2018 Share Posted May 9, 2018 4 minutes ago, justvision said: OW total may not break NA OW record, but I think Sat gross may break all-time world wide record. Officially TFA grossed $119m on OD Friday. Will be tough to beat that. Unless you mean biggest Saturday, in which case I think that's practically locked to beat A:IW domestic Sat of ~$82m If Saturday is greater than $119m though, that means OD is likely pushing $80-90m and Sunday could be almost $100m, putting a $300m OW in realm. That's a possible but incredibly difficult task. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
justvision Posted May 9, 2018 Share Posted May 9, 2018 5 minutes ago, feasby007 said: Officially TFA grossed $119m on OD Friday. Will be tough to beat that. Unless you mean biggest Saturday, in which case I think that's practically locked to beat A:IW domestic Sat of ~$82m If Saturday is greater than $119m though, that means OD is likely pushing $80-90m and Sunday could be almost $100m, putting a $300m OW in realm. That's a possible but incredibly difficult task. I mean excluding preview/early showings, so yes comparing Sat only (because AIW NA Sat was higher than any true Fridays). Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
POTUS 2020 Posted May 9, 2018 Share Posted May 9, 2018 8 minutes ago, feasby007 said: Officially TFA grossed $119m on OD Friday. Will be tough to beat that. Unless you mean biggest Saturday, in which case I think that's practically locked to beat A:IW domestic Sat of ~$82m If Saturday is greater than $119m though, that means OD is likely pushing $80-90m and Sunday could be almost $100m, putting a $300m OW in realm. That's a possible but incredibly difficult task. well, that OD doesn't count, $30m of that was made on Thursday before MN Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thrylos 7 Posted May 9, 2018 Share Posted May 9, 2018 1 hour ago, feasby007 said: To think Scotty could lower his reputation any further Isn’t his 810 million os , without China, after next weekend stupid too ? The movie is at 738 million after Monday so it will only do...72 million os until Sunday ? What the hell ? 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
POTUS 2020 Posted May 9, 2018 Share Posted May 9, 2018 (edited) On 4/12/2017 at 1:21 PM, Proxima Olive said: [1 day+5 hours] Fast and Furious 8 PS showtimes midnights - 24.18m - 12447 OD - 95.64m - 126608 Sat - 47.70m - 98934 Sun - 18.12m - 84777 Tot - 185.64m [1 day+5 hours] IW PS showtimes midnights - 28.1m +16% - 13234 +6% OD - 120.2m +26% - 150662 +19% Sat - 87.7m +84% - 120614 +22% Sun - 38.6m +113% - 100570 +19% Tot - 274.6m +48% FF8 had 150k shows at 0000 OD, 163k eventual total IW at 150k already, Its looking like 20% more shows will happen, 195k, necessary to break $250m. That Saturday PS looking great for a decent bump MN 70m/$11m OD 500m/$78.4m Sat 650m/$102m Sun 450m/$70.6 Total 1670m/$262m Tune in Thursday at 1am EDT/1pm Beijing to see if the hourly run rate is 4m for the PS bump to be 50%. Hope so or the wheels fall off @ZeeSoh or @fmpro track the rate, I'll be asleep Edited May 9, 2018 by POTUS 5 3 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gavin Feng Posted May 9, 2018 Share Posted May 9, 2018 Forbes is such a joke. 4 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
POTUS 2020 Posted May 9, 2018 Share Posted May 9, 2018 7 minutes ago, Gavin Feng said: Forbes is such a joke. what are you thinking for OW? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ZeeSoh Posted May 9, 2018 Share Posted May 9, 2018 IW with 13.7% jump at 8pm. Yesterday it was at 14.6% at 7:30pm and finished with a 20.6% jump. It looks like it will miss 20% today and end up up somewhere around 127m OD PS. 2k less screens added today as compared to yesterday 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
justvision Posted May 9, 2018 Share Posted May 9, 2018 (edited) 1 hour ago, Thrylos 7 said: Isn’t his 810 million os , without China, after next weekend stupid too ? The movie is at 738 million after Monday so it will only do...72 million os until Sunday ? What the hell ? This guy is a SW fan, and he can't even mask his bias against MCU. Edited May 9, 2018 by justvision Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Mad Titan Posted May 9, 2018 Share Posted May 9, 2018 4 hours ago, POTUS said: based on the douban number, 9.5 should happen I’m not sure how the Maoyan or Douban ratings equate because RPO is a 9.1 / 8.9 but Rampage is a 9.0 / 6.7 So IW is currently 8.4 but when you look at the differences above idk what that means. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
fabiopazzo2 Posted May 9, 2018 Share Posted May 9, 2018 32 minutes ago, ZeeSoh said: IW with 13.7% jump at 8pm. Yesterday it was at 14.6% at 7:30pm and finished with a 20.6% jump. It looks like it will miss 20% today and end up up somewhere around 127m OD PS. 2k less screens added today as compared to yesterday Good/normal increase ? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ZeeSoh Posted May 9, 2018 Share Posted May 9, 2018 (edited) 8 minutes ago, fabiopazzo2 said: Good/normal increase ? IW’s run has been so strong till now that even a less than expected increase is OK. But I was hoping/expecting for at least 25% rise today which wont happen. This means that reaching 200m Yuan in total OD presales is unlikely. Still cant say much as the difference is only of a few point. Will have to see how much it jumps tomorrow to get an idea Edited May 9, 2018 by ZeeSoh 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gavin Feng Posted May 9, 2018 Share Posted May 9, 2018 1 hour ago, POTUS said: what are you thinking for OW? Firstly, any results over $160M OW is enough for me... Then, here is my guess, average ticket price*number of audience per showtime*showtimes Thu: 37*85*200K=63M Fri: 38*63*180K=431M Sat: 40*69*200K=552M Sun: 38*50*195K=371M Opening Weekend: 1417M = $222M 8 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Olive Posted May 9, 2018 Author Share Posted May 9, 2018 IW will definitely be weaker than Fast movies on small cities or towns. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ZeeSoh Posted May 9, 2018 Share Posted May 9, 2018 15 minutes ago, Gavin Feng said: Firstly, any results over $160M OW is enough for me... Then, here is my guess, average ticket price*number of audience per showtime*showtimes Thu: 37*85*200K=63M Fri: 38*63*180K=431M Sat: 40*69*200K=552M Sun: 38*50*195K=371M Opening Weekend: 1417M = $222M Thats around where I am at as well. I have it jumping less on saturday and dropping a little less on Sunday than you. Btw it should be 20k in Thursday not 200k. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...